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August model and weather disco


weathafella
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7 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

:lol:. I mean, the cmc and gfs both have been dry for several runs. 12z today are the driest runs yet.

The euro has been the wettest to this point, so we’ll see what it spits out in a bit.

I am concerned it plays out a lot like today. Just vanished as it moves east.

Concerned about what? You had 7” in Julorch with another very humid and wet pattern locking in

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7 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

:lol:. I mean, the cmc and gfs both have been dry for several runs. 12z today are the driest runs yet.

The euro has been the wettest to this point, so we’ll see what it spits out in a bit.

I am concerned it plays out a lot like today. Just vanished as it moves east.

Cold fropa goes through tomorrow evening there so at least you have that going for you

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23 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

:lol:. I mean, the cmc and gfs both have been dry for several runs. 12z today are the driest runs yet.

The euro has been the wettest to this point, so we’ll see what it spits out in a bit.

I am concerned it plays out a lot like today. Just vanished as it moves east.

wouldn't use any of those models for convective precip....

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1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That’s all we do . We tell and tell and tell. And they post pics of Coc ks and hippy concerts 

Something about living in the present vs the future… keep trying to erase it like the past 10 days didn’t happen ;).

At first it was a couple days.  Then it was first week. Then it was August 12th.  Now it’s August 18th before the GEFS show a similar 500mb to July.

Again though it’s just data, we don’t all have the KFS data on model sites.

B41AFE9E-A76A-45F7-8B68-7BB3D7C272F4.thumb.png.a250404a10f1ffe31fd4c3c8c94d9793.png

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28 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Something about living in the present vs the future… keep trying to erase it like the past 10 days didn’t happen ;).

At first it was a couple days.  Then it was first week. Then it was August 12th.  Now it’s August 18th before the GEFS show a similar 500mb to July.

Again though it’s just data, we don’t all have the KFS data on model sites.

B41AFE9E-A76A-45F7-8B68-7BB3D7C272F4.thumb.png.a250404a10f1ffe31fd4c3c8c94d9793.png

Nailed it.

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31 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Something about living in the present vs the future… keep trying to erase it like the past 10 days didn’t happen ;).

At first it was a couple days.  Then it was first week. Then it was August 12th.  Now it’s August 18th before the GEFS show a similar 500mb to July.

Again though it’s just data, we don’t all have the KFS data on model sites.

B41AFE9E-A76A-45F7-8B68-7BB3D7C272F4.thumb.png.a250404a10f1ffe31fd4c3c8c94d9793.png

You now are calling Coc k thru first 3 weeks of Augdewst.. lol You stick with silly charts. We’ll stick with facts and Scooter 

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18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

You now are calling Coc k thru first 3 weeks of Augdewst.. lol You stick with silly charts. We’ll stick with facts and Scooter 

You’re reading comprehension is interesting.  It would be wild to spend a day in your brain lol.

By the 18th that map shows a July-like pattern.  So that’s established prior to the 3 week mark.  Not COC through first three weeks.

We can just live in facts and data, don’t know why that’s so scary.  Say first two weeks and transition, established by 18th on that prog?  

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57 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Something about living in the present vs the future… keep trying to erase it like the past 10 days didn’t happen ;).

At first it was a couple days.  Then it was first week. Then it was August 12th.  Now it’s August 18th before the GEFS show a similar 500mb to July.

Again though it’s just data, we don’t all have the KFS data on model sites.

B41AFE9E-A76A-45F7-8B68-7BB3D7C272F4.thumb.png.a250404a10f1ffe31fd4c3c8c94d9793.png

Still 10 days out.   At least for now, summer's back appears to have been broken with the cold front on 7/29.   Maybe the heat comes back maybe it doesn't.   Today is humid but it's only 75 here so not too difficult to take...

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30 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

You’re reading comprehension is interesting.  It would be wild to spend a day in your brain lol.

By the 18th that map shows a July-like pattern.  So that’s established prior to the 3 week mark.  Not COC through first three weeks.

We can just live in facts and data, don’t know why that’s so scary.  Say first two weeks and transition, established by 18th on that prog?  

We definitely pushed it back some. 

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