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August model and weather disco


weathafella
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1 hour ago, mreaves said:

FFW just extended to Orange County.  These same areas were hit a couple of weeks ago. There was a lot of washed out road edges on Rt.125 down past the Middlebury Snow Bowl through Ripton. There was also a house that got burrows by a landslide. This certainly won’t help. 

Tyler Jankoski shared some good clips.  Here's a screen shot; road turned into a waterfall, washing out the entire bank into the drainage.

That's legit, you do not want to be in that or attempt to move through it.  What a summer for flash floods across the northeast.

August3_Middlebury.thumb.jpg.0ce8cf8a7947a13d13892d08ce40a1ad.jpg

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Just now, powderfreak said:

Tyler Jankoski shared some good clips.  Here's a screen shot; road turned into a waterfall, washing out the entire bank into the drainage.

That's legit, you do not want to be in that or attempt to move through it.

August3_Middlebury.thumb.jpg.0ce8cf8a7947a13d13892d08ce40a1ad.jpg

That’s a nice deep pack

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Could be wrong but most activity today appears to be Western/Central Ma in to NE Mass; not much into CT (at least Eastern CT) until later this evening and not sure how well that holds up. Local weather showed it pretty stormy here around 9pm, Hrrr doesn’t seem to show that.

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It'll take some work ... Too much morning cloud contamination.   Sometimes that can release at some critical morning processing of the sounding by the sun, but don't know just yet if this is the type of air mass susceptible to that way of doing so or not. 

We'll see.  I don't think this scenario has enough synoptic forcing to do it without CAPE production so sun soaking is needed.

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Winner weekend

Saturday
Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Calm wind becoming northwest 5 to 8 mph in the morning.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 57. Northwest wind around 6 mph.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. North wind 5 to 7 mph becoming west in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. South wind around 6 mph becoming calm after midnight.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Light south wind increasing to 9 to 14 mph in the morning.

Screenshot_20230804_080248_Chrome.jpg

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2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Winner weekend

Saturday
Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Calm wind becoming northwest 5 to 8 mph in the morning.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 57. Northwest wind around 6 mph.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. North wind 5 to 7 mph becoming west in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. South wind around 6 mph becoming calm after midnight.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Light south wind increasing to 9 to 14 mph in the morning.

Windows open last night and comfortable sleeping! My old FL good baking this summer, not many afternoon storms to cool things down.

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20 minutes ago, Modfan2 said:

Windows open last night and comfortable sleeping! My old FL good baking this summer, not many afternoon storms to cool things down.

Yea great sleeping weather. Will put Ac on dry today until the rain  stops. Sat Sun the roosters are back on top.

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8 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

unless you enjoy playing slip and slide with  your buns together with DIT , those temps and dews are ideal as Will and many others have confirmed in the majority .

Well it’s all subjective lol. It’s serviceable I guess. We beach so wouldn’t mind it a bit more humid. 

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