dendrite Posted August 28, 2023 Share Posted August 28, 2023 47 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: It was 26C 850 mb over ORD last week ... just sayn' And it was spitting out 30C+ at H85 there. It's been 3-5C too high with the plume where it's mixing up to H5. I'll stick with the euro numbers that are plenty warm enough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 28, 2023 Share Posted August 28, 2023 Yeah I'm not buying 115/37 at 45N in Minny on 9/3 with 32C 850s 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 28, 2023 Share Posted August 28, 2023 Plus, I suspect it gets hotter for us here relative to 850 mb - assuming mixing depth. Our sigma is a higher surface pressure. That's why 23C ...albeit rare here, gets us our 104 rarity. They need to 26C at 750' elevation to get that hot. The other aspect, it was 99/80 at one max point at MDW and ORD there... If you take the DP down, they would have been hotter. The GFS just has a bug up it's physical ass when it comes to BL thermodynamics and it's the handling of theta-e it seems to have never been very good with going back several versions since they start churning new ones out every 18 months or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 28, 2023 Share Posted August 28, 2023 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: The other aspect, it was 99/80 at one max point at MDW and ORD there... If you take the DP down, they would have been hotter. Yup. It seems to struggle with that BL moisture pooling in the corn belt. It’s like it has dust bowl physics built in to the geography and all moisture just evaporates to the moon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 28, 2023 Share Posted August 28, 2023 Only thing I like that well-mixed is rum and coke 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 28, 2023 Author Share Posted August 28, 2023 44 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Only thing I like that well-mixed is rum and coke I prefer bourbon and a dash of bitters and simple syrup add a few fruit touches for a nice old fashioned. Tried and true for a long time. I never understood rum and coke. I’d rather bourbon or scotch neat vs that abomination. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 28, 2023 Share Posted August 28, 2023 46 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Only thing I like that well-mixed is rum and coke Kids go back to school we pit and 5 o'clock somewhere. Pool pit playing cards. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 28, 2023 Share Posted August 28, 2023 Man 85-92 torch spots starting Sunday thru all of next week. Never ending summer enroute. Feel for anyone that uninstalled 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 28, 2023 Share Posted August 28, 2023 15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Man 85-92 torch spots starting Sunday thru all of next week. Never ending summer enroute. Feel for anyone that uninstalled Agreed. Next week looks pretty warm right now Lets see if that holds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted August 28, 2023 Share Posted August 28, 2023 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Man 85-92 torch spots starting Sunday thru all of next week. Never ending summer enroute. Feel for anyone that uninstalled When does it's start? 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted August 28, 2023 Share Posted August 28, 2023 2 hours ago, weathafella said: I prefer bourbon and a dash of bitters and simple syrup add a few fruit touches for a nice old fashioned. Tried and true for a long time. I never understood rum and coke. I’d rather bourbon or scotch neat vs that abomination. Oooh that sounds good. The bourbon at least. Can't stomach Scotch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 On 8/26/2023 at 7:41 PM, Torch Tiger said: "Dry and seasonable into this evening. Periods of rain, some heavy at times, possible Tuesday and Tuesday night, along with another round Wednesday morning." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 3 minutes ago, kdxken said: "Dry and seasonable into this evening. Periods of rain, some heavy at times, possible Tuesday and Tuesday night, along with another round Wednesday morning." In a wet summer, it's been fairly dry lately. A few showers/storms Tue/Wed then.... Thursday and Friday... Post-frontal airmass with high pres building in from the Gt Lakes will bring dry conditions with seasonable temps. High pres and NW flow aloft will keep Idalia and its moisture well south of New Eng. Pleasant days with highs in the 70s with chilly nights. The coolest night will be Thu night with lows dropping into the upper 40s in the typically colder locations by Friday morning. Saturday through Monday... Continued dry weather but a warming trend is expected as high pres shifts offshore and mid levels gradually warm. GEFS and EPS ensembles indicate high probs of highs 80+ Sunday and Monday, while GEFS has 30-50 percent probs of 90 for Monday. But this will depend on sub-tropical ridge axis building east into New Eng. There is uncertainty with how quickly an amplifying trough exits east of New Eng next Mon which will impact temp forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 36 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: In a wet summer, it's been fairly dry lately. A few showers/storms Tue/Wed then.... Thursday and Friday... Post-frontal airmass with high pres building in from the Gt Lakes will bring dry conditions with seasonable temps. High pres and NW flow aloft will keep Idalia and its moisture well south of New Eng. Pleasant days with highs in the 70s with chilly nights. The coolest night will be Thu night with lows dropping into the upper 40s in the typically colder locations by Friday morning. Saturday through Monday... Continued dry weather but a warming trend is expected as high pres shifts offshore and mid levels gradually warm. GEFS and EPS ensembles indicate high probs of highs 80+ Sunday and Monday, while GEFS has 30-50 percent probs of 90 for Monday. But this will depend on sub-tropical ridge axis building east into New Eng. There is uncertainty with how quickly an amplifying trough exits east of New Eng next Mon which will impact temp forecast. Yeah but if I get an inch of rain tomorrow and Wednesday I wouldn't consider that Stein. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 Folks will be relieved to know that after about 27 straight hours of stein, it is raining here. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 Looks like most of interior SNE 2-4” Wednesday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 11 hours ago, J Paul Gordon said: September is never wintry and March is never summery. I'm speaking of the months as a whole, not the historical highs/lows. Sound advice. But haven’t we had 80s in March recently? Rarely remember September snows. Feels like March gets closer to summery temps than September to winter temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 10 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Sound advice. But haven’t we had 80s in March recently? Rarely remember September snows. Feels like March gets closer to summery temps than September to winter temps. March 2012 for sure, at least SNE/BOS. I think there were like 12-13 days above 70F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Man 85-92 torch spots starting Sunday thru all of next week. Never ending summer enroute. Feel for anyone that uninstalled First days of school, already lots of angry teachers, profusely sweating with huge pit rings, screaming at students. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 2 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: First days of school, already lots of angry teachers, profusely sweating with huge pit rings, screaming at students. Folks needing to bring an extra set of undergarments and briefs in satchels and backpacks for midday clothing changes ? 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 9 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: First days of school, already lots of angry teachers, profusely sweating with huge pit rings, screaming at students. I had to spend a chunk of today moving heavy lab tables and other furniture. That kinda sucked. Kids arrive tomorrow. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 Most rain up north. We hope for Stein. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 43 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: First days of school, already lots of angry teachers, profusely sweating with huge pit rings, screaming at students. @HoarfrostHubbany comment on this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 Just now, mreaves said: @HoarfrostHubbany comment on this? Lol, never mind, I should scroll dow a post or two before I respond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Most rain up north. We hope for Stein. I am so f'n done with rain. It wouldn't upset me if it didn't precipitate from Labor Day to Halloween. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 Th heaviest axis of rain is kind of all over the place. Guess it’s a pick your favorite model deal. Looks like. Small area will get 2”+ while everyone else gets .25-.50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 Wow just woke up and had the weather channel on.. I thought I was dreaming for a second because of the graphics.. but they brought back a retro version of local on the 8s... that brought back some memories.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 Now violence is back on hrrr and 3k nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 6 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I am so f'n done with rain. It wouldn't upset me if it didn't precipitate from Labor Day to Halloween. I know. Mushrooms are back. Unfortunately I think maybe you to NNE in line again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 Man what a warm pattern coming up. Summer is back. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now