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August model and weather disco


weathafella
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  On 8/29/2023 at 9:17 PM, CoastalWx said:

Deep summer has been over, but summer continues. 

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Back in VT today after landing in BOS yesterday…

Today’s 81/64 felt downright cool.  It is crazy how the body acclimates… two weeks in Europe and not a single day in any city visited saw a high temp under 90F.  Most were mid/upper 90s.  It started to feel like normal.

Today, windows and doors open feeling like it’s 72/48 but it was 81/64.

Pretty wild how two weeks of 95F with nights of 70-75F can reset your baseline.

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  On 8/29/2023 at 10:48 PM, powderfreak said:

Back in VT today after landing in BOS yesterday…

Today’s 81/64 felt downright cool.  It is crazy how the body acclimates… two weeks in Europe and not a single day in any city visited saw a high temp under 90F.  Most were mid/upper 90s.  It started to feel like normal.

Then today, windows and doors open feeling like it’s 72/48 but it was 81/64.

Pretty wild how two weeks of 95F with nights of 70-75F can reset your baseline.

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You take some good pics?

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  On 8/29/2023 at 10:59 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

It’s honestly not hard to fathom a top 3 hottest Sept in the northeast based on the current look . I don’t think you’ll disagree.

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I think September is a lock for above normal, and any month with that long wave pattern (as advertised during the first third of the month) is going to be a contender for a higher-scale departure. 

Charts usually lay the ground work for the future outcomes, pretty colors and all. Red or blue.  In this case, red.

Much different than August.  If we are going to accept models did well in August, we need to accept that they will do well in September.  Can’t attack the data because of an agenda or pre-conceived mindset… which is very important to remember these days.

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  On 8/30/2023 at 1:25 AM, CoastalWx said:

Top 3 hottest? Yeah not sure about that.

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Yeah, that only happens if the August pattern completely and absolutely dissolves into full ridge overwhelming from the central portion of the country.  Likely there remains a tendency for FROPAs (especially NE’ern areas) moving over-the-top towards the Maritimes.  But we look to get periods of true summer warmth during the first part of September.  Guess it’s not totally unusual.

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