Damage In Tolland Posted August 24, 2023 Share Posted August 24, 2023 Tomorrow may be “sneaky wild” 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 24, 2023 Share Posted August 24, 2023 On 8/24/2023 at 11:30 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Tomorrow may be “sneaky wild” @ electric blue Expand Careful 1 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoCORH4L Posted August 25, 2023 Share Posted August 25, 2023 On 8/24/2023 at 6:08 PM, CoastalWx said: Euro looks decent Sat aftn. Party on Wayne and party on Garth. Expand Not on Cape Cod 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 25, 2023 Share Posted August 25, 2023 On 8/25/2023 at 12:32 AM, NoCORH4L said: Not on Cape Cod Expand Cape will be ok after 4 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 25, 2023 Share Posted August 25, 2023 On 8/24/2023 at 11:19 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: 18z gfs is dog food here Saturday. Expand The afternoon will be OK. May not be the nicest weather but other than a passing shower I think it’s fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 25, 2023 Share Posted August 25, 2023 Absolute deluge now way ahead of modeling . Going to set records in many spots after this system for wettest summer on record 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted August 25, 2023 Share Posted August 25, 2023 On 8/25/2023 at 12:44 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Absolute deluge now way ahead of modeling . Going to set records in many spots after this system for wettest summer on record Expand Best is north of pike. Probably less than an inch for many south of pike 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 25, 2023 Share Posted August 25, 2023 On 8/25/2023 at 12:45 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Best is north of pike. Probably less than an inch for many south of pike Expand No.. best will be south of pike .. and particularly E CT RI across to E MA. All guidance pegs it 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 25, 2023 Share Posted August 25, 2023 On 8/25/2023 at 12:49 AM, Damage In Tolland said: No.. best will be south of pike .. and particularly E CT RI across to E MA. All guidance pegs it Expand I’m not sure. I think slug north and then best south coast tomorrow night. This is nuisance stuff now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 25, 2023 Share Posted August 25, 2023 I’m so done with rain. I hope it steins here. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 25, 2023 Share Posted August 25, 2023 On 8/25/2023 at 1:03 AM, CoastalWx said: I’m not sure. I think slug north and then best south coast tomorrow night. This is nuisance stuff now. Expand I think most of us see 2-3” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 25, 2023 Share Posted August 25, 2023 Congrats TAN Main concern during this timeframe is the risk for localized flooding, especially across eastern CT, RI, and central/eastern MA. Given that we`ve been dry for the past couple of days it will take a bit for flash flooding with 1 and 3 hr RFC FFG being roughly 2-4". At this point think that this is the highest risk for impactful weather for our area as PWATs are around 1.5-2 inches for much of Fri with warm cloud layer depths between 4-4.5 km. Did bump up precip amounts toward the NERFC/WPC guidance, which matches up well with the HREF 48 hr PMM guidance. The result is widespread 1-3 inches of rainfall and think that there could be localized amounts of 3+ inches especially in any areas where thunderstorms develop. Think the risk is highest across the aforementioned locations above as this is also where the 30-40+ kt LLJ is moving through. Given how localized this threat is anticipated to be, based on embedded thunder activity we have held off from hoisting a Flood Watch at this point in time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 25, 2023 Share Posted August 25, 2023 On 8/25/2023 at 1:05 AM, Damage In Tolland said: I think most of us see 2-3” Expand Narrow zones get that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted August 25, 2023 Share Posted August 25, 2023 On 8/25/2023 at 12:39 AM, CoastalWx said: Cape will be ok after 4 Expand Okay for what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted August 25, 2023 Share Posted August 25, 2023 On 8/25/2023 at 1:03 AM, CoastalWx said: I’m so done with rain. I hope it steins here. Expand Ya think? The rain this summer has been f****** ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted August 25, 2023 Share Posted August 25, 2023 On 8/25/2023 at 12:45 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Best is north of pike. Probably less than an inch for many south of pike Expand Party still on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted August 25, 2023 Share Posted August 25, 2023 This would be helpful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 25, 2023 Share Posted August 25, 2023 On 8/25/2023 at 1:28 AM, kdxken said: This would be helpful. Expand PRE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted August 25, 2023 Share Posted August 25, 2023 On 8/25/2023 at 1:03 AM, CoastalWx said: I’m so done with rain. I hope it steins here. Expand Real good chance I end the water year with more liquid than I get inches of snow this winter (closing in on 60 inches now). 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted August 25, 2023 Share Posted August 25, 2023 On 8/25/2023 at 1:24 AM, kdxken said: Party still on? Expand For now. Will make the call tomorrow afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 25, 2023 Share Posted August 25, 2023 On 8/25/2023 at 1:41 AM, OceanStWx said: Real good chance I end the water year with more liquid than I get inches of snow this winter (closing in on 60 inches now). Expand When does a water year run? For this calendar year I’m at 41” of liquid 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 25, 2023 Share Posted August 25, 2023 Actually 00z runs seem to target south of pike tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted August 25, 2023 Share Posted August 25, 2023 On 8/25/2023 at 2:01 AM, HoarfrostHubb said: When does a water year run? For this calendar year I’m at 41” of liquid Expand 10/1 to 9/30 It tries to capture the time period so that the surface water is attributable to the same water year's precipitation (i.e. snowmelt is complete). For our purposes it does mean that the majority of the snowfall season is contained in the water year (except maybe MWN and places like that). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 25, 2023 Share Posted August 25, 2023 So that puts me around 59” so far. Still over a month to go. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 25, 2023 Share Posted August 25, 2023 ORH averages around 46” per year So yeah. It’s been wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted August 25, 2023 Share Posted August 25, 2023 On 8/25/2023 at 1:21 AM, kdxken said: Okay for what? Expand Paving, what did you think? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 25, 2023 Share Posted August 25, 2023 On 8/25/2023 at 2:01 AM, HoarfrostHubb said: When does a water year run? For this calendar year I’m at 41” of liquid Expand My station 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 25, 2023 Share Posted August 25, 2023 On 8/24/2023 at 6:02 PM, Torch Tiger said: Hope it POURS Saturday. Been kinda Stein lately Expand Stein. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 25, 2023 Share Posted August 25, 2023 Hey it’s pouring. Shocked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 25, 2023 Share Posted August 25, 2023 E SNE as we thought . Enjoy it out that way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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