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August model and weather disco


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  On 8/9/2023 at 4:57 PM, SJonesWX said:

when was the intense heat? not this past July

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I don't think the OP was referencing only New England with that statement (or hope not anyways). I think the statement referenced the intense heat in the deep South and the high dews across the eastern third of the country.

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  On 8/9/2023 at 5:00 PM, weatherwiz said:

I don't think the OP was referencing only New England with that statement (or hope not anyways). I think the statement referenced the intense heat in the deep South and the high dews across the eastern third of the country.

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  On 8/9/2023 at 4:57 PM, SJonesWX said:

when was the intense heat? not this past July

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No, I was talking about New England. Literally right above that Twitter link, I had posted the NCEI data for July 2023 showing it was the hottest month on record in New England (dating to 1895). The Twitter link showed it was also the most humid month on record for New England (dating to 1940), according to the ERA-5 reanalysis. How could the hottest and most humid month on record, not be properly described as intense heat? Obviously, when I said "intense heat" I meant relative to normal for New England. It might not be intense compared to Florida or Arizona, but it was literally as hot and as humid as you can possibly get in New England based on historical averages.

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  On 8/9/2023 at 6:15 PM, TheClimateChanger said:

 

No, I was talking about New England. Literally right above that Twitter link, I had posted the NCEI data for July 2023 showing it was the hottest month on record in New England (dating to 1895). The Twitter link showed it was also the most humid month on record for New England (dating to 1940), according to the ERA-5 reanalysis. How could the hottest and most humid month on record, not be properly described as intense heat? Obviously, when I said "intense heat" I meant relative to normal for New England. It might not be intense compared to Florida or Arizona, but it was literally as hot and as humid as you can possibly get in New England based on historical averages.

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A lot of it was driven by lows. Boston was approaching latest 90F on record. 

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  On 8/9/2023 at 6:15 PM, TheClimateChanger said:

 

No, I was talking about New England. Literally right above that Twitter link, I had posted the NCEI data for July 2023 showing it was the hottest month on record in New England (dating to 1895). The Twitter link showed it was also the most humid month on record for New England (dating to 1940), according to the ERA-5 reanalysis. How could the hottest and most humid month on record, not be properly described as intense heat? Obviously, when I said "intense heat" I meant relative to normal for New England. It might not be intense compared to Florida or Arizona, but it was literally as hot and as humid as you can possibly get in New England based on historical averages.

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Gotcha, ehh I don’t like using the term “hottest” on record in this situation. I think that just drives hype. Like Scott said, much of the above-average warmth in July was the result of warm minimum temperatures, which of course, was a product of the prolonged periods higher dewpoints. 

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  On 8/9/2023 at 6:36 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Epic rains in NE MA don’t have nearly the impact they have in W MA. 

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Yeah of course, but you also have a shot at severe.  There's nothing interesting or exciting besides high dews and/or flooding in these parts, so that's what we root for.  And of course severe for everyone else

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  On 8/9/2023 at 6:29 PM, weatherwiz said:

Gotcha, ehh I don’t like using the term “hottest” on record in this situation. I think that just drives hype. Like Scott said, much of the above-average warmth in July was the result of warm minimum temperatures, which of course, was a product of the prolonged periods higher dewpoints. 

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26 Julys here and 2023 was 2nd warmest.  However, the maxima average was merely 10th of 26 while minima was easily tops.

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  On 8/9/2023 at 6:15 PM, TheClimateChanger said:

 

No, I was talking about New England. Literally right above that Twitter link, I had posted the NCEI data for July 2023 showing it was the hottest month on record in New England (dating to 1895). The Twitter link showed it was also the most humid month on record for New England (dating to 1940), according to the ERA-5 reanalysis. How could the hottest and most humid month on record, not be properly described as intense heat? Obviously, when I said "intense heat" I meant relative to normal for New England. It might not be intense compared to Florida or Arizona, but it was literally as hot and as humid as you can possibly get in New England based on historical averages.

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yeah, you're not in New England, are you? Because we we had in July was very humid with warm mins. Not one single poster here (aside from maybe DIT) would characterize this past July as intense heat. i mean, I had 5 days at 90 or above, which is perfectly normal for my neck of the woods in New England

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  On 8/9/2023 at 7:05 PM, SJonesWX said:

yeah, you're not in New England, are you? Because we we had in July was very humid with warm mins. Not one single poster here (aside from maybe DIT) would characterize this past July as intense heat. i mean, I had 5 days at 90 or above, which is perfectly normal for my neck of the woods in New England

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We went over this a week ago or so.  July had the “hottest” average daily temp 

But the daily highs were nothing special.   It was driven by very high daily lows that continued unabated.  
 

Moist air retains thermal energy pretty well

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  On 8/9/2023 at 6:41 PM, dendrite said:

Hopefully one of these times it doesn’t get pushed back. 

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I can envision a few days of 85/74 in late October with a massive front delivering a tree toppling derecho and then 5 days later a 12-18” heavy, wet snow event taking down the rest of the trees. 

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