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Thursday, July 27, 2023 Severe Weather Potential


weatherwiz
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6 minutes ago, FXWX said:

As has been pointed out by Wiz, greatest severe potential likely runs across eastern / northeastern Mass; at least in terms of tornado potential.   While the SPC meso analysis tornado paraments are far from perfect, they do act as a good guide as to what areas to focus on when storms are moving into & across the region.  Almost all of the of the tornado parameters they are generating now continue to bull's eye eastern & northeastern Mass. generate

 

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I think that area is going to get nailed later. That's where I think you'll see a concentrated area of wind damage

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Just now, weatherwiz said:

Springfield (northeast side closer to Wilbraham). 

I'm also debating on looking to head east towards Brimfield or maybe Monson. 

I drove through monson while I was chasing the Springfield tornado in 2011. Lots of dmg. How close are you to the casino parking garage?

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1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said:

80 dew in Long Island? I thought we only saw that in the cornfields of Iowa. 

BGR had dews near 80 in August 1988.  Only got to 77 at PWM but I think that's still their tallest dew on record.

Not up to 0.1" yet after 4.5 hours of showers, getting a bit darker but cloudy and 70 isn't a prescription for real convection.  Our zone is barely in the flood watch, barely out of the severe watch.  The strongest echoes stayed south this morning and are just north this afternoon.  Sometimes I hate it when my guesses verify.

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3 minutes ago, WhiteLawns said:

I drove through monson while I was chasing the Springfield tornado in 2011. Lots of dmg. How close are you to the casino parking garage?

Casino is like 10 min away.

I'm not sure if the rooftop is open though. Tried going there last summer and it was closed. 

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1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

I wonder if storm mode was a big driver in SVR vs. TOR

You can kind of see evidence of 1-3 embedded supercell like structures out in the Berks back into the HV, but it'll probably transition to a truly linear system pretty soon.  Mainly a wind threat, localized QLCS possibilities aside.   We'll see if anything pops out ahead.

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Just now, radarman said:

You can kind of see evidence of 1-3 embedded supercell like structures out in the Berks, but it'll probably transition to a truly linear system pretty soon.  Mainly a wind threat, localized QLCS possibilities aside.   We'll see if anything pops out ahead.

Yeah this should materialize into a solid wind threat. I'm happy to see these storms really strengthen. I was worried a bit about some capping aloft, but this stuff is moving into a prime environment. Dews 73-75 will compensate quite a bit 

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