WinterWolf Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 84/74 here…definitely have the juice to fuel some storms…let’s bust the sun out and let her go to work. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 probably gusting to 30 or so with these heavier showers moving through 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 SHRN, 72/68°F, Going to be a while for some sun here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 Watch coming per SPC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Watch coming per SPC Northern ct through CNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 80% of a watch. Bets on severe thunderstorm or tornado? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 27, 2023 Author Share Posted July 27, 2023 Be curious to see if its a Tornado Watch. Might be a consideration since its purple 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Watch coming per SPC Mesoscale Discussion 1736 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1005 AM CDT Thu Jul 27 2023 Areas affected...NY Hudson Valley into parts of New England Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 271505Z - 271700Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...The threat for damaging wind and a tornado or two will increase later today. Watch issuance is likely by late morning or early afternoon. DISCUSSION...A mid/upper-level shortwave trough is moving across northern NY this morning, and will approach northern New England by early afternoon. In conjunction with this shortwave, a weak surface low will move across northern NY/VT, as rich low-level moisture streams northeastward into a larger portion of New England. The 13 UTC sounding from SUNY-Albany depicts a favorable wind profile for organized convection, with rather strong midlevel flow and deep-layer shear, but also very weak midlevel lapse rates. Despite the weak lapse rates and rather widespread cloudiness, modest boundary-layer heating/moistening and ascent attendant to the shortwave trough will likely support deepening convection by early afternoon across the region. With weak instability, it may take some time for storms to mature, but a few supercells and organized clusters may evolve with time. Rather strong low-level flow will support a damaging-wind threat, especially where somewhat stronger heating can occur. Also, while the strongest low-level shear/SRH will tend to be somewhat displaced from the more favorable instability, a tornado or two will also be possible, given the potential for supercells within a very moist and favorably shear environment. Watch issuance is likely by late morning or early afternoon in order to address these threats. ..Dean/Hart.. 07/27/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...ALY... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 Since the discussion starts out with damaging winds and a tornado or two my guess is a tornado watch 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: interesting as it remains cloudy up there and we have the sun breaking out down here.....probably ok because I really have no need for no power and the heat that is coming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 Sun is in and out here but should be more “out” soon if satellite is correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 Cloudy with low 70s says little/no severe here. Light RA began about 10:45, has barely gotten the ground wet. Brightest echoes look to be starting the north-south split that leaves Rt 2 in between. Back end of precip maybe 2-3 hours away, after which the swamp arrives - forecast high is 10° above the current temp. Soon enough to gin up something interesting? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 14 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Watch coming per SPC Consider me skeptical. It's cloudy and cool. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 Sun big fail here in Bedford weakening shower looks possible next 30 mins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 3 minutes ago, tamarack said: Cloudy with low 70s says little/no severe here. Light RA began about 10:45, has barely gotten the ground wet. Brightest echoes look to be starting the north-south split that leaves Rt 2 in between. Back end of precip maybe 2-3 hours away, after which the swamp arrives. Soon enough to gin up something interesting? I'm having my doubts we destabilize enough for any severe later today, The sun looks like its going to be limited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 Almost no sun here but up to 80.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 Looking specifically at CT, mesoanalysis is not bad. We have a ribbon of 2500 SBCAPE across the state and between 1000-1500 MLCAPE currently. Lapse rates meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 sun just briefly came out and can see a few patches of blue sky but more showers to the west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 Looks pretty meh up here, There is a cell moving thru the lakes region here with some lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: I'm having my doubts we destabilize enough for any severe later today, The sun looks like its going to be limited. take em down. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 2 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: take em down. Going to be very limited if it comes out at all, Right now showery rate of 0.14"/hr is falling with some heavier echoes just to the west, 3 cents worth has fallen so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
w1pf Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 cloudy but 81/76 here in Holyoke.. pretty juicy air.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 Just a steady almost synoptic rain here. About a half inch so far. No sun up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 29 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Watch coming per SPC Tor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 27, 2023 Author Share Posted July 27, 2023 The overall extent of this is certainly going to be held back by the extensive cloud cover and poor mid-level lapse rates. With this said, they'll still be numerous thunderstorms today and a few very potent ones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 Radar coming together across NYS, that's a good sign Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Tor Agree. Another MD issued for the severe part of the threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 A few rumbles with this line coming thru, looks like GYX has a TS moving thru now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 Just now, dryslot said: A few rumbles with this line coming thru, looks like GYX has a TS moving thru now. Downpour in PWM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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