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July 16, 2023 Flooding & Tornado Potential


WxWatcher007
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upper-level divergence should continue to increase through the afternoon as the core of the jet streak continues lifting northeast

image.thumb.png.17bb06daf9f96f6380ddaa7716ae247d.png

Core of llvl jet is overhead now and should remain pretty strong into the early afternoon with moisture transport maximized right over the region

image.thumb.png.85af3fb177a039952abd3aa02c596a9e.png

 

While everything was relatively progressive earlier the east trend has definitely slowed quite a bit. Really watching down across New Jersey where precipitation is filling in and convection is beginning to blossom based on satellite.

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3 minutes ago, Connecticut Appleman said:

Looking down stream on radar, it looks like the bulk of the heaviest rain is done for Litchfield County - unless I'm missing something.  2.00 inches total here in New Hartford from this morning.

Maybe storms redevelop this afternoon? But yeah, it looks tame for now in WNE. 

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2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

upper-level divergence should continue to increase through the afternoon as the core of the jet streak continues lifting northeast

image.thumb.png.17bb06daf9f96f6380ddaa7716ae247d.png

Core of llvl jet is overhead now and should remain pretty strong into the early afternoon with moisture transport maximized right over the region

image.thumb.png.85af3fb177a039952abd3aa02c596a9e.png

 

While everything was relatively progressive earlier the east trend has definitely slowed quite a bit. Really watching down across New Jersey where precipitation is filling in and convection is beginning to blossom based on satellite.

Could get interesting later for Dave‘s area and the hills of northern Worcester County/Quabbin hilltowns.  Might get some flash flooding in those areas.

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2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

upper-level divergence should continue to increase through the afternoon as the core of the jet streak continues lifting northeast

image.thumb.png.17bb06daf9f96f6380ddaa7716ae247d.png

Core of llvl jet is overhead now and should remain pretty strong into the early afternoon with moisture transport maximized right over the region

image.thumb.png.85af3fb177a039952abd3aa02c596a9e.png

 

While everything was relatively progressive earlier the east trend has definitely slowed quite a bit. Really watching down across New Jersey where precipitation is filling in and convection is beginning to blossom based on satellite.

Is that area in red at highest risk for flash flooding?

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