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July 16, 2023 Flooding & Tornado Potential


WxWatcher007
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  On 7/16/2023 at 3:03 PM, dendrite said:

Up to 2.03”

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Wow,  quickly passed me   1.17"  As the axis of heaviest rain is passing east of us up here do you expect more echoes to develop in SE NY State and W Mass to come back NNE this afternoon or is our heavy rain mostly over?

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  On 7/16/2023 at 3:10 PM, wxeyeNH said:

Wow,  quickly passed me   1.17"  As the axis of heaviest rain is passing east of us up here do you expect more echoes to develop in SE NY State and W Mass to come back NNE this afternoon or is our heavy rain mostly over?

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HRRR fires up some more later. I’d like to see some breaks after this batch moves out.

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  On 7/16/2023 at 3:23 PM, dendrite said:

HRRR fires up some more later. I’d like to see some breaks after this batch moves out.

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Was thinkin the same thing but given the sat loop/trends ...it looks like this passes off and we just stay dark and dreary. 

Also want to add, at an unusual elevated T/TD combination for that type of setting vs region of the country.  Usually you get flood with embedded weak TVS wrapped convection/QLCS along CFs with a definitive drop in both those metrics shortly after the fropa ...etc.. .but this just goes calm Bahaman mise' science under an cloud packed sky

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