WinterWolf Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 17 minutes ago, mreaves said: I'm really worried about our snowmobile trail system. It would be a huge blow budget-wise. Let’s hope by the time we are ready to sled…this is all repaired and just a memory. I’m hoping with you pal that it isn’t an issue by December… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Let’s hope by the time we are ready to sled…this is all repaired and just a memory. I’m hoping with you pal that it isn’t an issue by December… Let's hope. I'm not optimistic though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 Here is the Winooski River at Montpelier. My boss lives basically across the street from the gauge site. Look at the rapid jump. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 2.29 over now. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 12 minutes ago, mreaves said: Here is the Winooski River at Montpelier. My boss lives basically across the street from the gauge site. Look at the rapid jump. Well that overshot the forecast a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 Watch for strong to severe here today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 .65 ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 34 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Kev can sleep soundly at night now His spinners didn't spin 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 NEW: @GovPhilScott updates. #Vt on flooding. Primary focus is safety. 14 swift rescue teams deployed. 19 rescues from cars, trees & homes as of 11AM. Londonderry, Weston, Ludlow hardest hit. Evacuations underway in Plymouth. Swift water team from North Carolina here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: His spinners didn't spin The threat was always this afternoon in CT 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 Yeah, it's not looking good for those parts of Vermont with another 2-5"+ incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 47 minutes ago, powderfreak said: It’s full, but so far only flooding parts of the forest along it. It’s in the trees in some spots but those are like the first line of defense. It’s not to the full high water mark I’ve seen where it’s fully out of the woods and into yards. I do think another 2-3” would start to get real interesting though. This thing can be ankle deep trickle I just walk up and down with the dog. Now it’s 10+ feet of muddy debris filled water. We have a brook like that running not more than 100 meters from my house ... In late August after a dry summer - like last year - it has stretches that are stenchy mud and stained rocks with flies buzzing around. But in March 2010 we received 15" of rain that month and it was level with the bridge which is about 10 foot over the creek bed. I've lived in this house/town a lot longer than I ever intended to ... but spanning the 12 years I have, I've seen it only once that high associated with that March flood. A little farther down stream it was over one of the main roads into the center of the town which had to be temporarily shut down. Here's an interesting aspect ... About 9 years ago the town charted some geologist to dig sample wells, and they drilled pipe sized hole through the street out in front of my house, and then down another 90 foot. The effort was a remediation/assessment for Arsenic contamination off Deven's military landfill - now defunct for many years, but a gift that keeps on leachin' ... Anyway, I wondered over and made conversation with one of them as a fellow earth sciences major... She was telling me that they went down 90 feet and the whole distance, all they plumbed out was effluvium - the type of sandy soot you get from floods. That means... every oh ...700 years of something some kind of a bible flood fills this entire area deep enough to deposit a new stratum of sentiment. That's what she said, anyway. I don't think it's that. I suspect that it does that during glacial retreat... where dammed water can create transient lakes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 Looks like they just updated the Winooski flood forecast: https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?gage=MONV1&wfo=btv&refresh=true Good luck to all in central VT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 I wonder if we may get some brightening soon as that 'dry slot' works up out of CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 1 minute ago, MarkO said: Looks like they just updated the Winooski flood forecast: https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?gage=MONV1&wfo=btv&refresh=true Good luck to all in central VT. Wow looks like that would be second highest on record Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 4 minutes ago, MarkO said: Looks like they just updated the Winooski flood forecast: https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?gage=MONV1&wfo=btv&refresh=true Good luck to all in central VT. That’s forecasted a hair higher than Irene. Only 1927 is higher. https://www.weather.gov/nerfc/hf_november_1927 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 10 minutes ago, MarkO said: Looks like they just updated the Winooski flood forecast: https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?gage=MONV1&wfo=btv&refresh=true Good luck to all in central VT. Historic Crests (1) 27.10 ft on 11/03/1927 (2) 19.05 ft on 08/29/2011 (3) 17.59 ft on 05/27/2011 (4) 17.55 ft on 06/30/1973 (5) 17.31 ft on 04/07/1912 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 Batch of heavy rain just came through. Good luck to Vermont 1.15" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 14 minutes ago, MarkO said: Looks like they just updated the Winooski flood forecast: https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?gage=MONV1&wfo=btv&refresh=true Good luck to all in central VT. Here is the new forecast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0690...Corrected NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1200 PM EDT Mon Jul 10 2023 Corrected for Flash Flooding Likely Areas affected...Northern NY...State of VT...Western NH...Western MA Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding likely Valid 101540Z - 102140Z SUMMARY...A significant and dangerous flooding event is likely to continue in parts of central New England as excessive rainfall rates look to persist into the afternoon hours. DISCUSSION...An upper low is beginning to form over central NY while an 850mb low is taking shape over the Lower Hudson Valley. Mean 850-500mb streamflow remains out of the south, and as the upper low deepens this afternoon, winds in the in the 850-700mb layer will become southeasterly. Latest RAP guidance shows strong 850mb theta-e advection originating from southern New England that will then wrap around the northern flank of the 850mb low. Unfortunately, this means that copious amounts of moisture will still be at athe atmosphere's disposal. The aforementioned southeasterly flow oriented orthogonally to the Green and White Mountains will also enhance rainfall rates due to upslope flow. Due to the large amount of cloud cover in place, CAPE values will be hard to come by (up to 500 J/kg generally), capping most hourly rainfall rates below 2"/hr. However, PWATs ranging between 1.5-1.75" remain at or above the 90th climatological percentile. Sampled RAP soundings throughout the highlighted region feature low-mid level RH values >90% and warm cloud layers up to 13,000ft deep. So despite the lack of instability, strong vertical ascent courtesy of divergent flow ahead of the upper low and a strong southeasterly 850mb moisture transport supports warm rain processes within areas of heavy showers and thunderstorms. Soils have become overly saturated and in some cases can no longer take in any additional rainfall. FFGs are exceptionally low, with portions of central and southern VT, western MA, and northeast of KALB sporting 6-hr FFGs <1.5". The latest 12Z HREF is showing 30-40% probabilities of 6-hr QPF > 100-yr ARI between 18-00Z today in northern VT, which is both impressive and highly concerning. Given the impacts parts of the region have already witnessed from this event, additional significant to even catastrophic impacts are expected. Potential impacts include but are not limited to flooded and washed out roads, flooded homes, mudslides, and fast moving creeks and streams. Mullinax ATTN...WFO...ALY...BOX...BTV...GYX... ATTN...RFC...NERFC...NWC... LAT...LON 45237307 45237215 45187138 44707131 43557168 42787211 42187268 42087331 42227380 42727410 43847388 44777372 45137353 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 I can only imagine what another 7-8' of flood will do. This will make national news tonight. This is the closest webcam I could find. I believe it's the Mad River in Waitsfield: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 3 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Writing is on the wall. Slides north and west of here. At least we have the .10 to hang our hats on. About that........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 4 minutes ago, MarkO said: I can only imagine what another 7-8' of flood will do. This will make national news tonight. This is the closest webcam I could find. I believe it's the Mad River in Waitsfield: That feeds into the winooski. Its nowhere near the water level reached during Irene, thankfully. Hopefully it doesnt get there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: About that........ Enjoy the 2-3” lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 1 minute ago, Hitman said: That feeds into the winooski. Its nowhere near the water level reached during Irene, thankfully. Hopefully it doesnt get there. I just checked the Mad River forecast and it is forecast to be a major flood, but just barely whereas it was much higher during Irene. Good luck to all. https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?gage=moov1&wfo=btv Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: About that........ About what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: About that........ It was pretty obvious More rain was likely . I was thinking he was simply trolling Or hoping he was .. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: About that........ He is confused 4 seasons a year, but we love him. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 39 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I wonder if we may get some brightening soon as that 'dry slot' works up out of CT It was sunny here for a little while about an hour ago, so probably moving your way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 10, 2023 Author Share Posted July 10, 2023 Suns trying to come out and gusty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now