SnoSki14 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 26 minutes ago, Allsnow said: It’s obvious now the main source of rain for the coast will be the line that moves through this evening. Hopefully a 1-2 with that Hopefully 3-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 1 minute ago, uofmiami said: While I certainly understand and agree with the "turn around don't drown" campaign especially for someone like myself who is in the field of public safety but if people don't have the common sense to do so nothing they say on social media will help any. It starts with common sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Up to 2.27" here. Rounds of torrential rain mixed in with steady light / moderate rain. Based on slow eastward movement and some training have to believe I top out at at least 4" for the event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 9, 2023 Author Share Posted July 9, 2023 2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Hopefully 3-4 the outflow boundary is sinking south and we'll start to fill in shortly 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Looks like a heavier shower about to hit, coming up Rt 110. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 I still can't believe how hard and for how long it has been raining in the Bear Mountain area around 9W. It's going to be a disaster in that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 4 minutes ago, MANDA said: Up to 2.27" here. Rounds of torrential rain mixed in with steady light / moderate rain. Based on slow eastward movement and some training have to believe I top out at at least 4" for the event. That might be conservative if we get in on that mass of precipitation still training through eastern PA. It's been a while since we've seen a radar this geographically extensive at one time with heavy rainfall rates. 1.55" in the bucket here, but so far I'm missing the heaviest of it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Sun just came out here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 15 minutes ago, uofmiami said: Reports of a resident in Highland, NY getting swept away as house was surrounded by flash flooding and into the hudson river. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 2 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said: I still can't believe how hard and for how long it has been raining in the Bear Mountain area around 9W. It's going to be a disaster in that area. It IS a disaster there right now. Many reports of people trapped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 1 minute ago, steve392 said: Reports of a resident in Highland, NY getting swept away as house was surrounded by flash flooding and into the hudson river. 1 minute ago, IrishRob17 said: It IS a disaster there right now. Many reports of people trapped. I also saw a report of a couple of missing hikers who were caught in the floods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Some of the dive and rescue teams up there by bear mountain can't reach people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 2 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: It IS a disaster there right now. Many reports of people trapped. I know, probably going to get worse unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 6 minutes ago, Picard said: That might be conservative if we get in on that mass of precipitation still training through eastern PA. It's been a while since we've seen a radar this geographically extensive at one time with heavy rainfall rates. 1.55" in the bucket here, but so far I'm missing the heaviest of it. Radar presentation resembles a lot like Ida to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 3 minutes ago, HailMan06 said: Radar presentation resembles a lot like Ida to me. Yeah I'm having flashbacks reading all these posts 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 4.34” here and counting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 6 minutes ago, HailMan06 said: Radar presentation resembles a lot like Ida to me. Ha, I was just about to put the same thing! Very reminiscent of Ida. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 If this system was further east it would be an identical situation to ida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 That area around Bear Mtn. looks to be getting hit hard. Radar estimates of 4-6" so far and looking at radar it appears training has been and still is relentless. Bad situation unfolding with water pouring down the hillsides in that area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 2 minutes ago, steve392 said: If this system was further east it would be an identical situation to ida. People were screaming bust then too , until the convection in the Delmarva completely destroyed NYC metro later that evening... hopefully this isn't a repeat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Fort Clinton at bear mountain circle at 6 inches 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 9, 2023 Author Share Posted July 9, 2023 would be nice to get an hrrr initialization that's accurate 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Just now, forkyfork said: would be nice to get an hrrr initialization that's accurate I am personally not a huge fan of the HRRR as it is known to have wild swings from run to run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 That line of heavy rain falls apart quickly tonight on 18z RGEM. It'll be interesting to see if it can hold together enough for our area. Radar certainly looks good right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 That heavy blob of rain is just sitting over the stony point, ny area for atleast an hour already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Orange county just said they are going to life saving calls only as roads are impassable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Look at all the activity down over the Delaware Bay and se PA. That all has pass through here still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 3 minutes ago, steve392 said: That heavy blob of rain is just sitting over the stony point, ny area for atleast an hour already. They have been pounded for last several hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 1 minute ago, HailMan06 said: Look at all the activity down over the Delaware Bay and se PA. That all has pass through here still. Hrrr has it fall apart but who knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 2 minutes ago, HailMan06 said: Look at all the activity down over the Delaware Bay and se PA. That all has pass through here still. Delmarva too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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