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july 9th widespread flooding event


forkyfork
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1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said:

You'd be surprised how quickly things can flood even with dryness during these high PWAT situations in the summer.

There's gonna be some 2-4" per hour amounts with this 

The wave along the front scenario would probably bring the rain in and out quicker too so there wouldn't be a lot of time to ramp up the totals east of the city. It wouldn't be like today where we're already seeing training T-storms over the same people that got it the last 2 weeks. 

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8 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Might be one of those days where 95/coast wait all day for the rain that doesn’t come, meanwhile it floods nw areas 

Or it never gets out here. Nothing moving East 

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13 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

I’m .5 or less here…radar doesn’t look good for nyc and coast 

The main line is far back. The heavy stuff doesn't come til late afternoon 

Additionally as the trough pushes east you'll get overhead development further east as well ahead of the line. 

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31 minutes ago, Rmine1 said:

Or it never gets out here. Nothing moving East 

Much of what is going in eastern PA and NW NJ is related to orographic lift.  The prevailing flow from the south is interacting with the higher elevations in those areas and resulting in the echoes that you are seeing.

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27 minutes ago, Tatamy said:

Much of what is going in eastern PA and NW NJ is related to orographic lift.  The prevailing flow from the south is interacting with the higher elevations in those areas and resulting in the echoes that you are seeing.

Agreed. Those are always going to be the more favored areas but that certainly doesn't mean areas further east won't get in on the heavy rain later. If I get 1-2" out of today and tonight that will be a win as far as I am concerned. More then that will be a bonus. 

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2 minutes ago, Rtd208 said:

Agreed. Those are always going to be the more favored areas but that certainly doesn't mean areas further east won't get in on the heavy rain later. If I get 1-2" out of today and tonight that will be a win as far as I am concerned. More then that will be a bonus. 

As the trough axis moves east there will definitely be a pick up in the activity in NJ, SE NY, and in close to the city.

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