Euripides Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Just regular rain here and it might get a little heavier if the stuff to my west holds together but you can already see the radar colors slowly changing as it comes east. Fine with that as still another nice watering for the area and can do without the flooding rains that others have suffered today and those downstream yet to come. Those on the south shore and eastern Long Island will have to wait and see. A decent chunk of Nassau had a nice storm per radar. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 .05 so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Here comes the rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 On 7/9/2023 at 11:50 PM, Allsnow said: .05 so far Expand Steady light to moderate rain here. Not looking like it's gonna be that impressive for our area. I'm thinking a quarter to half inch the way radar looks right now. At least a decent watering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 On 7/9/2023 at 11:52 PM, winterwx21 said: Steady light to moderate rain here. Not looking like it's gonna be that impressive for our area. I'm thinking a quarter to half inch the way radar looks right now. At least a decent watering. Expand Yup. It’s weakening quickly now…be lucky to get .5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 On 7/9/2023 at 11:56 PM, Allsnow said: Yup. It’s weakening quickly now…be lucky to get .5 Expand Looks like RGEM did a good job. It's weakening quickly now like the 18z run showed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 The southern part of the line is holding together so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 On 7/10/2023 at 12:03 AM, winterwx21 said: Looks like RGEM did a good job. It's weakening quickly now like the 18z run showed. Expand But its busting hard over ocean county where it had next to nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 On 7/10/2023 at 12:03 AM, Stormlover74 said: The southern part of the line is holding together so far Expand Good for the twin forks. The central LI screw zone was modeled nicely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 Not sure this was shared. https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid032cmrUB22TBbHzAvr9cUEbJydWYb8eBHHP5ge7hZUSYXe15xb9oopcAkfnGAmHio5l&id=100065320576678&mibextid=ZbWKwL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 On 7/10/2023 at 12:06 AM, Rmine1 said: Good for the twin forks. The central LI screw zone was modeled nicely Expand HRRR has us getting 3-5”. Might be totally wrong, like I said it’ll be a nowcast situation. If this falling apart line is all there is and we don’t see more convection firing, we’ll know which was right. So far I had two moderate showers that maybe brought .05”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 On 7/10/2023 at 12:13 AM, jm1220 said: HRRR has us getting 3-5”. Might be totally wrong, like I said it’ll be a nowcast situation. If this falling apart line is all there is and we don’t see more convection firing, we’ll know which was right. So far I had two moderate showers that maybe brought .05”. Expand See what that convection does as it comes off ocean county… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 On 7/9/2023 at 11:56 PM, Allsnow said: Yup. It’s weakening quickly now…be lucky to get .5 Expand Models targeted NW areas that got slammed and weakened it quickly further east So they nailed it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 On 7/10/2023 at 12:14 AM, Allsnow said: See what that convection does as it comes off ocean county… Expand What odds it survives? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 On 7/10/2023 at 12:13 AM, jm1220 said: HRRR has us getting 3-5”. Might be totally wrong, like I said it’ll be a nowcast situation. If this falling apart line is all there is and we don’t see more convection firing, we’ll know which was right. So far I had two moderate showers that maybe brought .05”. Expand Unfortunately it’s going to fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 On 7/9/2023 at 11:32 PM, hudsonvalley21 said: A photo of route 9w near highland falls (orange County) Expand Highland falls eh? Wonder how the place got its name… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 .75” here maybe an inch at most unless that second wave develops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 Rotation on that warned cell moving into Stamford Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 All done here at 2.03” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 On 7/10/2023 at 12:05 AM, Stormlover74 said: But its busting hard over ocean county where it had next to nothing Expand Yeah it was too far south with that heavy rain on the southern part of the line, but overall it did a good job showing the heavy rain falling apart rapidly for much of eastern NJ. We might not even get a quarter inch out of this. Not a big surprise though as we talked about the close call with the possibility of the heavy rain staying just to our west. There was a good signal on the models that it would fall apart close to our area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 Almost done here. Will confirm in the morning but looks like about 4” in the gauge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 On 7/10/2023 at 12:37 AM, winterwx21 said: Yeah it was too far south with that heavy rain on the southern part of the line, but overall it did a good job showing the heavy rain falling apart rapidly for much of eastern NJ. We might not even get a quarter inch out of this. Not a big surprise though as we talked about the close call with the possibility of the heavy rain staying just to our west. There was a good signal on the models that it would fall apart close to our area. Expand Yup…just kept trending worst as we got closer. Oh well, we try again next weekend. This was probably the worst bust locally in the past few weeks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyg Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 Heavy rain and lightning here in Brick. Winds were probably like 40mph or so when it rolled in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 .26 final… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 If it doesn’t weaken I’ll probably get about 1.5” of rain which will put me at 5.5” in the last 3 weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 I think LI gets a good hit tonight with that line coming off the jersey shore 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 On 7/10/2023 at 12:45 AM, Allsnow said: I think LI gets a good hit tonight with that line coming off the jersey shore Expand @Rmine1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 6.20" total 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 On 7/10/2023 at 12:41 AM, Allsnow said: Yup…just kept trending worst as we got closer. Oh well, we try again next weekend. This was probably the worst bust locally in the past few weeks. Expand I know you were pessimistic when you came on early today and pointed out that radar wasn't looking encouraging for our area. Nice call. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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