George BM Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 Second half of the year arriving. Hopefully more eventful than the first half. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 Latest WB Can. long range. For Dec-March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 Very heavy rain right now from this cell. No thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toolsheds Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Very heavy rain right now from this cell. No thunder. it was enough to cancel softball at Cedar lane park for today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 13 minutes ago, toolsheds said: it was enough to cancel softball at Cedar lane park for today. Quick third of a inch or so 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 9 hours ago, George BM said: Second half of the year arriving. Hopefully more eventful than the first half. Got that right! Snowless winter followed by drought, smoke and consistently missing every good rains in every direction. I hope the luck changes for my area. I'd be happy to see ONE good thunderstorm this month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 Kicking off July with a nice downpour. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 1 hour ago, CAPE said: Kicking off July with a nice downpour. Looked like this would be a quick hitting shower then clear out, but additional cells formed behind the initial line. Ended up getting a decent little soaking with a few torrential downpours. 0.57" Wasn't expecting anything with only a slight chance of showers in the forecast for today. Yardwork on hold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 Disco from Mount Holly on the rain threat for later today and tonight- The main focus for this evening and tonight will be the potential for convection. The greatest instability will be located across our western zones this afternoon and early evening. Guidance indicates this will spread east into tonight as the aforementioned height falls and shortwaves begin streaming into the area. Guidance, including the CAMs, are notoriously poor at accurately modeling these types of subtly forced nocturnal convective regimes. If you need any proof, have a look at the past several days upstream across the central CONUS. Thus predictability and confidence in the details of the convection for tonight is low. Fortunately we do have some synoptic clues to help us out. As of now, it appears the greatest potential for convection will begin ramping up in our western zones around 4-6 PM or so, with increasing chances of convection spreading gradually eastward by the 8 PM to 12 AM time frame. The greatest height falls and instability appear to be during the 12-4 AM time frame, thus this is when PoPs with this forecast package are the greatest in the likely range. As one may guess, the PoPs will likely need to be adjusted in future updates as confidence in the details of timing and coverage of convection increase. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 Just did some garden work and (of course) some watering. Even though it's only about 80 degrees it is HUMID! There's a crew doing a roof a couple doors down. Those guys gotta be sweating bullets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 We've been so spoiled with temps this summer that this actually feels uncomfortable.... Could be a lot worse! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 Once again, due west storm movement today. Time to turn on the sprinklers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 59 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Once again, due west storm movement today. Time to turn on the sprinklers. I see sw to northeast movement. I agree though.. West to east messes my back yard up due to downsloping.. But a 74 degree dewpoint should provide enough moisture.. I feel if the atmosphere can sneeze today it will bring rain. Muggy 81/74.. Feels like 88 degrees here in Purcellville. Miserable 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 mid 70s dews now - welcome to July in DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 82/68 Not awful here, but notably more humid. Dews should be on the increase overnight. Tomorrow looks downright sultry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 84/74 just need a,trigger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 Radar is starting to light up! Couple heavy downpours already in Colonial Beach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 Anyone under that cell along the NE DC border? That is totally stationary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 Had a solid line approach from the SW and it split right around us. We're getting light drizzle while thunder booms. .03". Jesus fucking christ. Why did i move back to this cursed place. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxtrix Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 hearing thunder and it’s sprinkling. maybe it’ll even rain a little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 Super heavy rainers. .55” in 10 minutes down here south of old town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 35 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Had a solid line approach from the SW and it split right around us. We're getting light drizzle while thunder booms. .03". Jesus fucking christ. Why did i move back to this cursed place. Luckily I have no terrain induced impacts here. Every place is basically sea level (or below ). If I were to move further inland I would specifically seek out the upslope areas of the western highlands. No way I could deal with the climo of the leeward valleys/rainshadows. Might as well just stay here lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxtrix Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 .15”. at least it’s something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 Weather is looking busy back east. Meanwhile, it’s 105 and sunny in Vegas…and will be approaching 110 the next couple days. I’ve been told this is their first 100 degree pattern since last year. Also, from a weather geek perspective, it was cool seeing the snowcaps of the Rockies en route here. They definitely had a fun winter. Anyhow. good to see that the pattern has turned stormier back home, though if I’m gonna take a biking break I guess I picked a good time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 1 hour ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Had a solid line approach from the SW and it split right around us... Why did i move back to this cursed place. Wait, you moved back to Stephens City? Watching that line coming through Loudoun and hoping, but I also know what west-to-east usually means for my rain shadow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 Pouring here, but looks brief. Still better than drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
09-10 analogy Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 Distant thunder and the western sky is gun metal color Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 Brief downpour with a few gusts. Nothing to write home about. At least it wet the ground just enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 we might actually get rain lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
09-10 analogy Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 Some decent CG no wind or anything though. Pretty heavy rain ETA: Close one there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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