Cyclone-68 Posted July 23, 2023 Share Posted July 23, 2023 1 hour ago, dendrite said: Looks like the >60 streak was a record at CON. One of those was the ‘38 hurricane year….hmmmm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 23, 2023 Share Posted July 23, 2023 15 mins of 70+ in 1872. People would be losing their mind if this happened today. Comparatively BOS only had 8. So definitely put an asterisk next to some of that yore data. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 23, 2023 Share Posted July 23, 2023 17 minutes ago, dendrite said: So definitely put an asterisk next to some of that yore data. most of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 23, 2023 Share Posted July 23, 2023 35 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: One of those was the ‘38 hurricane year….hmmmm It coming 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 23, 2023 Share Posted July 23, 2023 Heat week then we return to normal or cooler. Kev had a good 5 week run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather_or_Not Posted July 23, 2023 Share Posted July 23, 2023 Best weekend since Memorial Day. Love how it set up with the best severe thunderstorms we have seen as a region in a couple years. I think summer has finally arrived! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 23, 2023 Share Posted July 23, 2023 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Heat week then we return to normal or cooler. Kev had a good 5 week run. return? it's been above average for the past decade + Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 23, 2023 Share Posted July 23, 2023 46 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Heat week then we return to normal or cooler. Kev had a good 5 week run. Umm Aug is an exact replica of July. Goes wet humid and stormy . You get 2-3 days early like this weekend and then it back 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 23, 2023 Share Posted July 23, 2023 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Umm Aug is an exact replica of July. Goes wet humid and stormy . You get 2-3 days early like this weekend and then it back Can you show us some upper level progs to illustrate this August pattern? I’m curious what I should be looking for. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 23, 2023 Share Posted July 23, 2023 6 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Can you show us some upper level progs to illustrate this August pattern? I’m curious what I should be looking for. Look at both ensembles. Both show GL trough . This was how the last 4 weeks looked . FF to Augdewst . Rinse repeat 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 23, 2023 Share Posted July 23, 2023 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Look at both ensembles. Both show GL trough I’m seeing both ensembles looking like the trough is much further east than it was. Im not saying I think it’s right (haven’t paid enough attention), I’m just saying if you are using those as “supporting docs” then it’s not what is shown exactly. For example, this is a 7-day mean of the EPS, with trough centered over us not Great Lakes. Can see the 2-M temps also reflect that, not in GL. This is first week of August and that’s as far as they run. Meanwhile the GEFS are further east, over us and into Maritimes. That’s much different mean than over the GL. 2-M temps also reflect it July 31-Aug 7 to end of run. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 23, 2023 Share Posted July 23, 2023 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Look at both ensembles. Both show GL trough . This was how the last 4 weeks looked . FF to Augdewst . Rinse repeat Let's bring a few TC's up here! Hopefully one right up the CRV, then perhaps an Edna to crush SE MA/Cape 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted July 23, 2023 Share Posted July 23, 2023 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I’m seeing both ensembles looking like the trough is much further east than it was. Im not saying I think it’s right, I’m just saying if you are using those as “supporting docs” then it’s not what is shown exactly. For example, this is a 7-day mean of the EPS, with trough centered over us not Great Lakes. Can see the 2-M temps also reflect that, not in GL. This is first week of August and that’s as far as they run. Meanwhile the GEFS are further east, over us and into Maritimes. That’s much different mean than over the GL. 2-M temps also reflect it July 31-Aug 7 to end of run. Charts lol. Nobody looks at those. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 Kevin is locking in 12”+ of rain for all of SNE again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Look at both ensembles. Both show GL trough . This was how the last 4 weeks looked . FF to Augdewst . Rinse repeat See I'll disagree. I saved a bunch of media from the time of big rains and flooding. The trough this month was much further west. Compare these to the image you posted. That trough is much further east, directly over us. That would not allow humid warm air to stream into our zone and there's no battle ground over us. This month's pattern that brought humid rains had heights rising over us and the below normal heights well west. That allowed that humid moist air to fire directly northward into our region... and we were in the battle zone between trough and ridge. EPS Mid-July GEFS Mid-July. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 22 minutes ago, powderfreak said: See I'll disagree. I saved a bunch of media from the time of big rains and flooding. The trough this month was much further west. Compare these to the image you posted. That trough is so much further east directly over us. That would not allow humid warm air to stream into our zone and there's no battle ground over us. This month's pattern that brought humid rains had heights rising over us and the below normal heights well west. That allowed that humid moist air to fire directly northward into our region... and we were in the battle zone between trough and ridge. EPS Mid-July GEFS Mid-July. As long as axis is west it’s wet n dewy . We’ll get some met interpretations tomorrow. But Scooter has been saying lean stormy and dewy with a day or two dry in between 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 Going to a summer wedding atop Jay Peak next weekend… this would be interesting if 850mb temps were low single digits. That’s a crisp air mass for end of July. Luckily the EURO is like +10 above this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 Need that trough west otherwise it’s recurve city in August 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 21 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Need that trough west otherwise it’s recurve city in August Agreed, it needs to be back where it was in the upper Midwest stretching into the Lakes at times so we stay on the far eastern edge where heights are rising. As modeled that trough is deflecting everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 24, 2023 Author Share Posted July 24, 2023 Aren’t there posters lurking in here from NS ? https://www.cnn.com/2023/07/23/americas/nova-scotia-canada-rain-floods/index.html 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 3 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Heat week then we return to normal or cooler. Kev had a good 5 week run. I don’t see an August furnace either. Back to seasonal normality. Killer summer weekend in Falmouth, we picked a good time for a mini-vacation. Mon/Tues look decent too. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 11 hours ago, forkyfork said: most of it And yet it's quoted regularly to try and prove or disprove a point. I remember a number of years ago some Mets talking about how comparing recorded temps now and 100 years ago was tenuous at best because methods and equipment are apples and oranges... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 11 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Umm Aug is an exact replica of July. Goes wet humid and stormy . You get 2-3 days early like this weekend and then it back Your days are numbered 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 12 hours ago, forkyfork said: return? it's been above average for the past decade + Totally irrelevant to the pattern change WTTE about 10 days ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 Looks like we get a COC shot early next week and then a return to a wetter and more humid pattern. But the overall temps don’t look that warm depending on how the front stalls. It looks like things retro a bit heading into August so my guess is that we overall turn warmer as ridging offshore tries to build west a bit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 34 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Your days are numbered Watch the WAR back that trough up . This will be an easy one . Watch wait listen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Looks like we get a COC shot early next week and then a return to a wetter and more humid pattern. But the overall temps don’t look that warm depending on how the front stalls. It looks like things retro a bit heading into August so my guess is that we overall turn warmer as ridging offshore tries to build west a bit. Euro EPS GEFS are all in with low dews sunny days next week. Let's do this. Big time heater this week. Reminds me of 2013 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 20 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Looks like we get a COC shot early next week and then a return to a wetter and more humid pattern. But the overall temps don’t look that warm depending on how the front stalls. It looks like things retro a bit heading into August so my guess is that we overall turn warmer as ridging offshore tries to build west a bit. You can lead a gift horse to water.. but can’t force them to drink. Rinse repeat of Julorch .. just Aug style Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: You can lead a gift horse to water.. but can’t force them to drink. Rinse repeat of Julorch .. just Aug style Over / under of inches of rain in Augdewst at your station? I will start the bidding at 3” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 Surf's up, dude 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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