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July has arrived ... the Meteorologically defined mid summer month


Typhoon Tip
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8 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Off-topic but this is pretty crazy to me.  Yes it’s the Sierra, yes it was a record snow year.  But working at a ski area, it has to be crazy to continue “winter” operations into August.

2D993419-3E0F-4BB8-A22B-EDBF592E4996.thumb.jpeg.e1b0fa984268e8b6306280502605b41c.jpeg

It's going to be like Tuckermans.  Just to say you skied in August in California

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18 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

You could go skiing in the morning and hit the beach in the afternoon :lol: 

Reminds me of my summer in Santa Monica 27 years ago. I went "skiing" in the morning and hit the beach in the afternoon but never left the beach...

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46 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said:

 

Brian,  I got to come visit you and have you drive my electric Mustang Mache up the big hill you live on.  You will be blown away with power of instant torque.  Going on 18 months now and love this car.  With the electricity rates going down it is much less costly to drive and great in the snow.  Other than tire rotation not a penny of maintenance.  Electric has down sides but like you said we have to start somewhere, especially for those who like snowy winters

Lol. Like, mass extinction is one thing but if it means snowing … we’re off the fossil fuels !

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Brian,  I got to come visit you and have you drive my electric Mustang Mache up the big hill you live on.  You will be blown away with power of instant torque.  Going on 18 months now and love this car.  With the electricity rates going down it is much less costly to drive and great in the snow.  Other than tire rotation not a penny of maintenance.  Electric has down sides but like you said we have to start somewhere, especially for those who like snowy winters
Lol, electric rates going down? Must be nice. We just had our 4th rate hike in less than 2yrs.

Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk

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14 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

Lol ok. Do you have a gas mower? Snowblower, car, truck, motorcycle if yes then SU

As noted elsewhere, it's the noise.  I think leaf blowers are the loudest one-person tools out there, probably 15 decibels above my snowblower and louder than a modern chainsaw.  Of course, I won't even use the roaring air hand driers in public bathrooms - not only are they about 90 decibels (a guess) but they're in an echo chamber.
(Disclosure:  Our nearest neighbor is 500 feet away and no one else is within 1/4 mile, so no exposure to the blowers at home.)
Also, in terms of GHG the (non-electric or hybrid) cars and trucks are worse, but for hydrocarbons and NOX those small motors are far more polluting.


Raking is overrated… Leaf cleanup is in fact overrated.

I don't rake leaves from the lawn, but the side yard gets a 6" layer of (mostly) maple leaves, so I free up the hostas and lily-of-the-valley, and gain nutrients and organic material for the garden, also mulch for when I overwinter carrots.  Everything in its proper place.

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1025 am update...

made modest tweaks to the grids based on latest radar/satellite
trends and the initial output from the newest hi-res CAMs. SPC
has increased the threat level for severe weather to the Slight
category across western portions of southern New England. Looks
reasonable, and in typical New England style, nothing is clear
cut for how things are going to unfold. Certainly, as previous
shift indicated, good signals for instability, shear and even
low level helicity. The latest CAMs are all similar in that they
show a broken line of convection to develop but otherwise they
are all over the place in timing and location. FV3 came in more
agressive than NAM3km and the recent HRRR runs. Perhaps it`s on
to something given we already have convective development in
western CT at this time. Also some suggestion we have one batch
of convection early/mid afternoon, with a second line developing
later in the afternoon and getting into western sections after
6pm. In any case, as is typical with convection, we are just
going to have to roll with the punches and respond to whatever
Mother Nature decides to give us.
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Satellite does look favorable for some clearing very shortly, but with these high theta-e/low capped airmasses that can always change very quickly. Shear is certainly sufficient and instability isn't bad, though lapse rates are kinda meh but not as bad as usual. There is good 3km CAPE and LCL's are on the lower side. All about getting a mature enough updraft to develop.

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Watching the color drain out of the echoes as they approach (and slide to the NW of here).  Everything is still moist, but the trend may be moving to dry here, based on the most recent precip chances.  The warned severe storm on 7/7 slides south, we get a rumble and 0.11", VT floods and 3/4" here, last weekend's 'widespread 2-3" with some 5-7"' brings 1.1" and Tuesday's flash flood and severe TS warning produces 2 distant rumbles and 20 drops.  When forecasts consistently over- or underperform, it's usually the start of a trend.

If/when my 2011 Ranger dies (and if I can afford it) I'd like to move to the hybrid Maverick.  However, I'm not interested in all-electric unless:
--Rates back down instead of leaping by 50%.
--Service interruptions are greatly reduced.  Not sure how well recharge would work on genny power.
--Grandkids live <200 miles away instead of >500.
--I never again need to drive when it's minus 20.

 

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Watch possible

image.thumb.png.e08224e8fcf7380fc1dbe5c6ee78f112.png

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 211620Z - 211745Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

   SUMMARY...Storm coverage will increase this afternoon, with some
   threat for damaging wind, isolated hail, and possibly a tornado.
   Watch issuance is possible.

   DISCUSSION...In the wake of a weakening convective band now moving
   across northern New England, showers have developed across parts of
   western CT/MA, with convection recently becoming sufficiently deep
   to support lightning across southwest CT. An increase in storm
   coverage is expected into this afternoon from southeast NY into
   parts of New England, as a jet maximum moves through the base of the
   base of the upper-level trough, and related large-scale ascent
   spreads over the region. 

   Diurnal heating of a moist low-level environment will support
   continued destabilization this afternoon, with MLCAPE potentially
   increasing to the 1000-1500 J/kg range. Meanwhile, moderate midlevel
   flow will support effective shear in the 30-40 kt range, sufficient
   for organized clusters and perhaps a few marginal supercells. Some
   damaging-wind threat is expected to evolve as storms mature,
   especially where stronger heating and steepening of low-level lapse
   rates can occur this afternoon. Midlevel lapse rates are generally
   weak across the region, but buoyancy will be sufficient to support
   an isolated hail threat with any sustained supercells. Also, surface
   winds may remain locally backed across parts of New England, to the
   east of a surface trough across eastern NY. This may support
   sufficient low-level shear/SRH for a brief tornado threat. 

   While the magnitude of the severe threat may remain somewhat limited
   across the region, coverage of organized storms may become
   sufficient for watch issuance this afternoon.

   ..Dean/Hart.. 07/21/2023
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1 hour ago, tamarack said:

Watching the color drain out of the echoes as they approach (and slide to the NW of here).  Everything is still moist, but the trend may be moving to dry here, based on the most recent precip chances.  The warned severe storm on 7/7 slides south, we get a rumble and 0.11", VT floods and 3/4" here, last weekend's 'widespread 2-3" with some 5-7"' brings 1.1" and Tuesday's flash flood and severe TS warning produces 2 distant rumbles and 20 drops.  When forecasts consistently over- or underperform, it's usually the start of a trend.

If/when my 2011 Ranger dies (and if I can afford it) I'd like to move to the hybrid Maverick.  However, I'm not interested in all-electric unless:
--Rates back down instead of leaping by 50%.
--Service interruptions are greatly reduced.  Not sure how well recharge would work on genny power.
--Grandkids live <200 miles away instead of >500.
--I never again need to drive when it's minus 20.

 

How would you like to upgrade to a 1994 Ford Ranger? Runs great! Sometimes...

20230721_123225.jpg

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