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July has arrived ... the Meteorologically defined mid summer month


Typhoon Tip
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7 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Is that a ESE swell from that low that way out to sea meandering around for last few days . Been watching it 

Probably, that and yesterday's storms. Strong southerlies. My nephew and family from Cali rented out this house with beach passes for the month. 

20230717_200909.jpg

20230717_200916.jpg

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2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

That looks like the screenshots him and DIT post from their PWS stations… same general layout.

Yeah it does. I like how it has the different size particles. My MIL was having a tough time yesterday...wanted to pass that site along.

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13 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

3k is nice

Lapse rates are putrid and we don't really have strong frontal forcing or shortwave forcing, but we do have enhanced upper-level divergence thanks to an unseasonably strong mlvl and ulvl jet and subsequently dynamics are pretty strong. 

Ultimately, we should see multiple thunderstorms develop and grow upscale into line segments. This will yield some training thunderstorms so flash flooding potential is quite elevated where thunderstorms occur. Localized damaging wind gusts are certainly possible within the strongest cores and when cores collapse. There is enough hail CAPE that some small hail is also possible. 

Should be some good lightning though with high elevated CAPE and decent hail CAPE. 

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9 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Lapse rates are putrid and we don't really have strong frontal forcing or shortwave forcing, but we do have enhanced upper-level divergence thanks to an unseasonably strong mlvl and ulvl jet and subsequently dynamics are pretty strong. 

Ultimately, we should see multiple thunderstorms develop and grow upscale into line segments. This will yield some training thunderstorms so flash flooding potential is quite elevated where thunderstorms occur. Localized damaging wind gusts are certainly possible within the strongest cores and when cores collapse. There is enough hail CAPE that some small hail is also possible. 

Should be some good lightning though with high elevated CAPE and decent hail CAPE. 

Hopefully that holds together into NE CT

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6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Hopefully that holds together into NE CT

eh not so sure. Seems like a very narrow area for storm development which should be focused west closer to the front/weak sfc trough. The better jet support actually lifts out through the day so there will be a pretty quick weakening trend east. 

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6 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

eh not so sure. Seems like a very narrow area for storm development which should be focused west closer to the front/weak sfc trough. The better jet support actually lifts out through the day so there will be a pretty quick weakening trend east. 

I do think he may see some cells. Not sure if they're anything interesting though.

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