Typhoon Tip Posted July 17, 2023 Author Share Posted July 17, 2023 22 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Actually tomorrow is a bit interesting. Don't think we'll see widespread storms because we're lacking better shortwave forcing, though dynamics, particularly upper-level dynamics are quite strong, but could see some strong storms around and motions should be relatively slow so probably see a localized flash flood risk. Western sections are favored, but could see some activity make its way east during the overnight. Heh... Tomorrow is a tail of failed towers - 88/68 alllllmost enough to glaciate, collapsing with five nickle -sized rain blats on the car top. Maybe some ridge topper lights up a 5 pixels, but that day really looks like a doldrum of summer day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: Heh... Tomorrow is a tail of failed towers - 88/58 alllllmost enough to glaciate, collapsing with five nickle -sized rain blats on the car top. Maybe some ridge topper lights up a 5 pixels, but that day really looks like a doldrum of summer day. I think the thing with tomorrow really is, while not widespread whoever gets into anything is going to get some intense downpours and could even pick up a quick inch or so of rain and obviously given our situation it won't take much for some localized flash flooding. I'm actually a bit shocked the HRRR didn't have more in the way of development tomorrow, at least within a narrow corridor for eastern New York into Vermont and western New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I see what he is saying, but I'm not sure it does much for us here. I really post it for people like you to decipher what effects it would have . I’d assume it’s not going to raise dew points and we would have less rain . It would be pretty hard to go the other way . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I really post it for people like you to decipher what effects it would have . I’d assume it’s not going to raise dew points and we would have less rain . It would be pretty hard to go the other way . We may have some drier interludes I suppose? Both dews and rain...but judging by the EPS...I'm not sure it's a pattern change really. However, we may actually see cold fronts try to push east of us for once. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: We may have some drier interludes I suppose? Both dews and rain...but judging by the EPS...I'm not sure it's a pattern change really. However, we may actually see cold fronts try to push east of us for once. Do we even get cold fronts anymore? 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 35 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Do we even get cold fronts anymore? not since December 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 6 hours ago, kdxken said: Been an absolute beauty in Maine. Last month some folks mentioned 2009, the year my garden rotted, and I thought, "no way." The resemblance is certainly there; biggest difference is that the dews are considerably higher this year. Not my cup of (sweat) tea. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Wow what a great beach day.Nice breeze upper 70s and surf. Could not ask for more. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 just took a lunch walk. sweaty mess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 17, 2023 Author Share Posted July 17, 2023 Some probability above base-line climate to emerge a heat wave d11-15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 Our AQI went downhill quickly today. It was 30 at 8am and is 100 (moderate) now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 Our AQI went downhill quickly today. It was 30 at 8am and is 100 (moderate) now.Was just thinking how smokey it is....working in Newton just off 128 and it's super hazy/smokey 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 27 minutes ago, butterfish55 said: 29 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Our AQI went downhill quickly today. It was 30 at 8am and is 100 (moderate) now. Was just thinking how smokey it is....working in Newton just off 128 and it's super hazy/smokey So much smoke for the Eastern part of the US. Now it is coming from Western Canada. No more cool, clean Canadian air! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 4 hours ago, weatherwiz said: Maybe another 0.25'' to 0.50'' across Vermont tomorrow? C'mon! I just want to get one men's league golf night in! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Is that a ESE swell from that low that way out to sea meandering around for last few days . Been watching it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 Ginx'd air quality, smoked out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 Smoke 'em if you got 'em 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 Holy smoke batman. Wicked smoky here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 17, 2023 Author Share Posted July 17, 2023 5 hours ago, weatherwiz said: I think the thing with tomorrow really is, while not widespread whoever gets into anything is going to get some intense downpours and could even pick up a quick inch or so of rain and obviously given our situation it won't take much for some localized flash flooding. I'm actually a bit shocked the HRRR didn't have more in the way of development tomorrow, at least within a narrow corridor for eastern New York into Vermont and western New England. Yeah, jokes aside ...agreed the FF is still active. I think the threat is more west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 3 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: Some probability above base-line climate to emerge a heat wave d11-15 Granted this is clown-range gfs, but interesting in a 1936 sort of way:g in a 1936 sort of way: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 Goofus loves to overmix at times. Reality will be 92/82 over the cornfields. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 23 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Yeah, jokes aside ...agreed the FF is still active. I think the threat is more west? Agreed, should be more west but wonder if activity persists long enough to get central areas into the mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 14 minutes ago, dendrite said: Goofus loves to overmix at times. Reality will be 92/82 over the cornfields. GFS overmixes and NAM undermixes (or whatever it is the NAM does) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 53 minutes ago, dendrite said: Smoke 'em if you got 'em glad we live here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 Looks like the surface of venus out there. Cat 5 smoke. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 1938 wettest July on record in SNE . BDL had over 11” . Already over 9” this month with many more dews and storms to go . That analog keeps showing up. It may mean something 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 Compare my views. Thanks Canada. Estimate vis is about 4 miles 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 I thought Furnace Creek might set a record last few days but they didn't yet, maybe in the next few days they have a shot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 Friday may be fun! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now