Damage In Tolland Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 13 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Up to thy knickers in downed corn husks 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 WAR has been flexing more in the D6-10 range past couple days .. end of next week and next weekend looking toasty with dews Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 WAR usually really flexes towards late July/August. Seems a bit early. I’m wondering how hot it can get? Back to the ORH dew discussion yesterday-it DID feel less humid but hot yesterday in Worcester when I was there. Today I’m at 84/72 while 9 miles ne at BOS it’s 75/72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saguaro Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 32 minutes ago, NW_of_GYX said: Humid but nice here with some sun. Finally gulf of Maine dong is over someone else’s head https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-New_England-02-48-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined Yea we managed to luck out today somehow in the fishtail of cumberland county. Still lost a good 6 hours of insolation but we may be able to salvage the rest of the day if convection doesn't move in too soon. The rest of cumberland and points east look pretty porked the rest of the day, if anything the marine sludge is expanding inland even further. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 8, 2023 Author Share Posted July 8, 2023 23 minutes ago, ma blizzard said: WAR has been flexing more in the D6-10 range past couple days .. end of next week and next weekend looking toasty with dews I noticed that, too Not that it matters a whole helluva lot of difference defining the following, but I'm not sure it's WAR exerting as much as an aspect emerging out of changes taking place over the hemisphere/planetary scales. The pattern evolution can cause west Atlantic ridging to formulate and retro and all the happy torrid stuff. But, in this case I'm not sure we're seeing those markers preceding. It's complex but it looks like the models are "allowing" the expansion more because the GLAAM is flipping signs (global atmospheric angular momentum) AAM isn't a forcing mechanism onto itself, it is a measurment - but it's useful because -GLAAM correlates with blocking, and +GLAAM with longitudinal flow structures. This latter lends to advance, N, of the westerlies in the means, and the expansion of STR nodes - typically those that are canonical to summer. WAR is one of those... There are no calculation/products ( that I'm aware) that directly project the AAM based up guidance inputs ( it would be neat if that were done ), but it can be strongly inferred by combinations of atmospheric indices. In this case, the AO is rising with concerted membership in the GEFs, showing minimal spread at D10+ ( which is tough to do in the summer, when the individual members tend to wonder out in time). So you end up with a stable looking index about +.5 SD. Very recently, the MJO is strengthening in RMM around STR correlative phase 5 .. which is also correlated with AO. It's "teleconnector covergence" that spans much bigger than just a local hemisphere, which can produce a WAR or WAR-like ridge response in its own rights. It's not hurting that the PNA is diving and will nadir this week, only to limp a recovery into week 2. In essence, STRs may be expanding everywhere. It is noted that the ECMWF is not as emphatic about these changes, but ... full disclosure, I'm not sure ( personally) that matters as much as it used to. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 54 minutes ago, NW_of_GYX said: Humid but nice here with some sun. Finally gulf of Maine dong is over someone else’s head https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-New_England-02-48-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined That would be my head. Guess what? I don't like dongs over my head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 8, 2023 Author Share Posted July 8, 2023 88/73 ... this is brutal. To me anyway. man. HI based on DP on the charts gives this as 97 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 Great day for the beach baby. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 2 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said: Sucker holed just in time for my return lol Proposed to my now wife at Acadia during peak fall color. It’s a fantastic park and Bar Harbor is a great community. We stayed in one of the cottages of Bar Harbor Motor Inn on days 4 and 5 of our honeymoon in 1971. On 6/24 we bought 2 cooked lobsters and headed up Cadillac for a Maine luncheon with a view. Plenty of parking places - maybe 10 cars there at most - and the lobsters were delicious, but . . . --Visibility was 50 yards in fog - first reason there were few cars there. --We forgot to grab napkins - anyone who has tackled whole lobsters knows what a disaster that was. --The facilities and fountains had yet to be opened/turned on - 2nd reason for the empty lots. We still laugh about it. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 Wow what a hot sunny day. Very surprised, expected heavy clouds instead Bermuda Blues. Love it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 1 hour ago, tunafish said: That would be my head. Guess what? I don't like dongs over my head. Goos afternoon t f. I guess then it would be best for you to stay away from the current ‘library readings’ trend. Stay well, as always ….. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 22 hours ago, kdxken said: Tomatoes are happy for the sun. My tomatoes started late but getting there. 2 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 28 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Wow what a hot sunny day. Very surprised, expected heavy clouds instead Bermuda Blues. Love it Bermuda dews came to the Sup! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Great day for the beach baby. Biatch ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 I kind of miss our daily thunderstorms at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 3 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: I kind of miss our daily thunderstorms at this point. Hopefully plenty more chances 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 In Hartford for some baseball this evening! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 Nice day on Lake George 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 Flood watches up. Congrats west of RI to ORH! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 6 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: In Hartford for some baseball this evening! Tornadoes incoming 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 Wow that is a strike out of blue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 Just standing here with the swear building. The hot sun just basking everyone. Clothes stuck to body. This is summer!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 Excessive Rainfall Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 353 PM EDT Sat Jul 08 2023 Day 2 Valid 12Z Sun Jul 09 2023 - 12Z Mon Jul 10 2023 ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC INTO WESTERN NEW ENGLAND... ...20Z Update... ...Mid-Atlantic through New England... In coordination with all the forecast offices from DC/Baltimore north through New England, a Moderate Risk area was introduced with this afternoon's update for portions of the Mid-Atlantic into western New England. All guidance continues to hone in on a corridor of heavy rainfall caused by numerous training showers and thunderstorms developing across the Moderate Risk area Sunday afternoon for southern and western areas, then progressing through New England Sunday Night. Expect a widespread 2-4 inch event especially from eastern PA north through VT. However local amounts are likely to exceed 6 inches of rain, with the most likely areas for the higher rainfall totals through the Catskills/Poconos of NY/PA and also through the Green Mountains of VT. Much of this area has been very hard hit in recent days with heavy rainfall, with a large area over 300% of climatological normal rains per 2-week AHPS data. Adding a stalling front into the mix which will allow for training of abnormally high moisture air on the order of PWATs to 1.75 inches makes for a likely scenario for flash flooding, especially when adding terrain influences into the mix. With the full day's worth of HREF data first available at 12Z, it's notable that portions of east central VT have a 30% chance of exceeding 100-year annual return intervals for the amount of rain expected, with the Catskills/Poconos and Green Mountains all over 70% chance of exceeding 3 and 6 hour FFGs Sunday afternoon and evening. The steady signal of widespread rain and good model agreement on both timing and areal amounts added enough confidence to the forecast to upgrade to the Moderate Risk for this update. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 spent the afternoon at some kind of brew fest in CON. Beer. aNd sweat. lots and lots of sweat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 SE wind cooling thing a a bit almost to 495 86 Bed 90 Nashua Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 NE PA/ern NY/VT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: NE PA/ern NY/VT. That’s been the zone for days now. Don’t think SE of ORH seems much, outside of a rogue storm or shower. Looks fairly dry most of next week here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 4 minutes ago, yoda said: Congrats PF in winter AND summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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