powderfreak Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 44 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's going to be interesting somewhere in that area I defined Sunday into Monday. Some water chances for sure. Probably less widespread than the models show but the core might see higher totals? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: Some water chances for sure. Probably less widespread than the models show but the core might see higher totals? Yeah you might be right. It's definitely gonna wash a few mtn side saunas away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah you might be right. It's definitely gonna wash a few mtn side saunas away. Look at SE Mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Look at SE Mass. Probably will be wetter, but I'm all set with 5". It's focused closer to front that will be stalled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah you might be right. It's definitely gonna wash a few mtn side saunas away. I usually think these end up like models show a widespread 3-6” and you get a narrow focused axis of like 6-8” with widespread 1-3”. Who knows though. Haven’t looked at it much, just how I generally view more convective QPF progs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 12 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I usually think these end up like models show a widespread 3-6” and you get a narrow focused axis of like 6-8” with widespread 1-3”. Who knows though. Haven’t looked at it much, just how I generally view more convective QPF progs. I could see it being a significant event overall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 Everything getting shoved way NW. Might not be much rain in SNE from this whole thing . Maybe a few pours / storms Monday pm 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 13 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I usually think these end up like models show a widespread 3-6” and you get a narrow focused axis of like 6-8” with widespread 1-3”. Who knows though. Haven’t looked at it much, just how I generally view more convective QPF progs. Totals look pretty damn crazy . I would have a plan B in place across N and western New England in flood prone areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Sitting poolside here in the Hubb. This is hot but dews are fine. Def drier than earlier Pool is quite nice 92 Blecchh! Back in the late 50s/early 60s, our small (50 acres) lake in NNJ would reach temps like that in the upper 4-5 feet. I'd swim behind the diving dock, take a couple deep breaths and head for bottom, only 11-12 feet away but where the water was upper 70s. Might get a minute or so of nice cooling before needing air. (There was a reason my sometimes nickname was "turtle".) Some impressive echoes heading our way - or heading just to the north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 43 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Everything getting shoved way NW. Might not be much rain in SNE from this whole thing . Maybe a few pours / storms Monday pm I agree-similar to the 6/24-6/28 event where it's mostly west of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 3K NAM was trying for a sunrise surprise. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saguaro Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 Lots of debris clouds have put the dent into late day heating. Did manage 90 yesterday and today upper 80s. Dewpoints have been consistently high the last week or two which is reminiscent of how summer was when I lived in SW CT many moons ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 3K NAM was trying for a sunrise surprise. Yup. Nice look for the sunrise spinner. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 3K NAM was trying for a sunrise surprise. Congrats Taunton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 PW of 1.7 (and SBCAPE of 4000 J/Kg) doesn't happen every day in Maine, if I had to guess. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 Damage near Killington, VT. 5 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 20 minutes ago, Ed, snow and hurricane fan said: PW of 1.7 (and SBCAPE of 4000 J/Kg) doesn't happen every day in Maine, if I had to guess. 160 soundings at CAR since 2000 have had pwats >= to that. So not that rare. 2.00”+ is more rare…9 since 2000. 2.17” is the record. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 12 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Damage near Killington, VT. Looks like hundreds of Pony O’s and tails in that mess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 23 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Lol no dews under mid 60’s thru Juldew 21st! Dewly sounds better pronounced dew-lie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: 3K NAM was trying for a sunrise surprise. Is that code for anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 11 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Congrats NY state to VT there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 22 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Congrats NY state to VT there we'll rain but the axis is way way west/north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 3 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: we'll rain but the axis is way way west/north He saw a frame that crushed his area and thought had a chance . No other reason to post. That all screams waaay NW 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: He saw a frame that crushed his area and thought had a chance . No other reason to post. That all screams waaay NW shifted east from 12z 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 47 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: As EPS continued west 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saguaro Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 Outflow boundary cut temps down 10 degrees and then cells developing overhead with heavy rain have now dropped it down to 70. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 How about those -NAO extended ridges! We can't get an organic high pressure full rotation counter-clockwise over Greenland these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 38 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: As EPS continued west Can you post them? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 14 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Can you post them? No 1 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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