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July has arrived ... the Meteorologically defined mid summer month


Typhoon Tip
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For those of you that engage in reposting "twits"  ... just be advised that because Elon Musk is not rich enough ... tweets are no longer viewable to non-account holders.  

Since that is the majority of people in the world, it's become immediately all but futile for you to post twit material in here -

Despite the dig above ... it's not a loss. Not really.  In fact, it's more likely that limiting access repost is akin 'for one's own good' like taking heroin away from an addict. Twit reposting is damaging for a bevy of reasons too broad to get into here... and so it's actually a relative win. 

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We don't need rain at present, but it was interesting watching some serious echoes dying on our doorstep then reform to our east.  There's more to the west, including some flash flood warnings, so we'll see if they make it here.  So far, today resembles Sunday June 25 - high POP forecast turns to clouds and filtered sun, and muggy.

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15 minutes ago, WX-PA said:

Cool Summer big trough in the east till further notice. Hope this trough continues through the fall and winter.

The "shape" of the flow might belie the reality there ... at least, if 'further notice' means the next 10 days. 

The 582 non-hydrostat never gets S of PWM to PIT ( ~ ) line on this 12z GFS operational run, and that's an aspect that's been occurring in general across the recent model runs ( not just the GFS). 

Despite the appeal of that robust negative anomaly buzz saw cutting its way through 55 N across the continent, that lack of height fall behavior probably ablates CAA from getting appreciably S-E.  It may be more than less 'contained' .   

It does speed up the flow, however .. The negative height anomaly is probably overdone some.  D6+ there is a longer term model performance -based safe assumption there.  But it's presence as it passes by N is steepening the geostrophic gradient making for unusual mid level velocity anomaly.  We don't typically see 70 to 100kt 500 mb jet cores in mid July spanning from Wisconsin to Maine.  That aspect alone is rather intriguing...

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33 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

We are well on way to a slightly AN temp summer and likely a record few summer. 2 weeks straight now of high dews with no breaks thru day 10

Hopefully an above normal summer temp wise leads to a below normal winter temp wise, and everyone wins!

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