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July has arrived ... the Meteorologically defined mid summer month


Typhoon Tip
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16 minutes ago, tamarack said:

No rain yet today, but thru yesterday we've had 9.07" June 1 forward and 16.68" since April 30.  Continued precip at that rate would be a 93"/year pace.


112 years ago today was the hottest day in recorded history for much of CNE. And no one was installed. 112 years ago today was the hottest day in recorded history for much of CNE. And no one was installed. 

All 3 NNE states set their all time hottest on 7/4/1911.
Bridgton Maine did theirs twice:

7/3/1911 102 69
7/4/1911 105 72
7/5/1911 99 67
7/6/1911 102 69
7/7/1911 90 66
7/8/1911 86 60
7/9/1911 97 63
7/10/1911 105 66
7/11/1911 103 74
7/12/1911 97 70

It's interesting the low temperatures in that list are lower in the heat wave relative sense... 
I wonder if that was more common at regional scales.   The DPs may not have been very high

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9 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

It's interesting the low temperatures in that list are lower in the heat wave relative sense... 
I wonder if that was more common at regional scales.   The DPs may not have been very high

Minima during that streak were even lower at Farmington:

7/3/1911 99 67
7/4/1911 102 68
7/5/1911 98 61
7/6/1911 102 63
7/7/1911 88 63
7/8/1911 90 48
7/9/1911 96 55
7/10/1911 104 65
7/11/1911 102 68
7/12/1911 96 61

However, I think the dews reached ASH, especially July 3-6:

7/3/1911 105 72 0
7/4/1911 106 76 0
7/5/1911 105 72 0
7/6/1911 103 78 2.14
7/7/1911 87 72 0
7/8/1911 90 57 0
7/9/1911 96 62 0
7/10/1911 103 70 0
7/11/1911 102 74 0
7/12/1911 99 72 0

2"+ with a low of 78, ugh! 
Even after the 2-day "warm-down", their minima remained high.

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24 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

CPC is not impressed with northern Heat East of Mississippi on day 6-10 or day 8-14 outlook

Can't say I blame them ...  I mean I have no idea at this moment, while typing, what their reasoning is ... but from my perspective, of the number of times an emerging heat signal has come over the distant temporal horizon ( 2nd week) in the total technology framework, has resulted in 0 realization since mid spring.

100% failure rate.  Seemingly...for different reasons, too.   Eventually, the less than rational convention becomes too tempting to the analysis. LOL

It's really beeen rather striking to see a 100% failure rate on that.  I'm just sort of tacitly recalling here, but it seems like 5 ... 7 times since the end of April that the technology has proven futile - so the uselessness to persistent attempts has been a growing achievement <_<

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8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Can't say I blame them ...  I mean I have no idea at this moment, while typing, what their reasoning is ... but from my perspective, of the number of times an emerging heat signal has come over the distant temporal horizon ( 2nd week) in the total technology framework, has resulted in 0 realization since mid spring.

100% failure rate.  Seemingly...for different reasons, too.   Eventually, the less than rational convention becomes too tempting to the analysis. LOL

It's really beeen rather striking to see a 100% failure rate on that.  I'm just sort of tacitly recalling here, but it seems like 5 ... 7 times since the end of April that the technology has proven futile - so the uselessness to persistent attempts has been a growing achievement <_<

I am kind of surprised that you seem dumbfounded on why the heat signals you see are failing . Me - I have no idea . Is this a case of they keep failing at a time interval that is extended enough that fails are not uncommon and in addition to that they perhaps don’t seem to be “beefy”  enough Signals ?

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1 hour ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I am kind of surprised that you seem dumbfounded on why the heat signals you see are failing . Me - I have no idea . Is this a case of they keep failing at a time interval that is extended enough that fails are not uncommon and in addition to that they perhaps don’t seem to be “beefy”  enough Signals ?

Uh... you read-in too deeply.    

I'm not personally surprised that signals projected between D7-15's are not verifying.  Not once?  mmm yeah, that's a little odd.  

I was responding to you, saying that CPC ... was less than impressed by D8-14, and offering (tongue-in-cheek) that trend for failure makes it harder to imagine otherwise.     

Part of this is because there is a warm signal ( yet again ...) for that time range.  So there's sarcasm as to whether that will actually get realized.

By the way folks, there's still a marginal heat wave possibility from D.C. to interior SNE, Wed- Fri. 

87-91 with DP type. 

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