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July has arrived ... the Meteorologically defined mid summer month


Typhoon Tip
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9 hours ago, powderfreak said:

This will feel different and noticeable.  Highs in lower 70s Sat-Tue.

Saturday
Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Chance of rain 50 percent. 
Saturday Night And Sunday
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. 
Sunday Night And Monday
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. 
Monday Night And Tuesday
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. 

Our P&C has upper 60s. Whip out the sweatshirts lol

IMG_8134.jpeg

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Interesting BOX AFD this afternoon...

 

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
450 PM EDT Wed Jul 26 2023

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...

* A warm/hot end to the day, followed by a dry and warm overnight.

A hot, albeit, an enjoyable afternoon for southern New England with
temperatures topping out between 85F and 90F. Good news, it remains
dry through this evening, a great night to grab an ice cream cone!
Temperatures this evening, around sunset, drop to either side of 80
degrees. So, you will need to eat it quick that way it does not melt
in your hands. But not too quick, you do not want a brain freeze!
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3 hours ago, alex said:

Our P&C has upper 60s. Whip out the sweatshirts lol

IMG_8134.jpeg

Glad we don’t live there. Us humble coastal folks still have many days of dews and sticky rear ends to go. And I for one am embracing every single moment of the glorious atmospheric sauna that has lovingly embraced us with its steamy splendor. 

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8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Not seeing it. EPS keeps cooler and drier through day 15.Lets do this. Cold fronts of yore.

seems like Saturday will be the first "real" cold front we have seen in what seems like forever.....can't wait to have the windows open for an extended period. hopefully it doesn't bring Canadian smoke this way

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15 hours ago, powderfreak said:

Isnt that how average/climo is anyway?  Or you mean with greater frequency than the background ratter-prone climo?

There's a calculus in colder climes between increased precip and higher temps, and which will have the stronger effect on snowfall.  Places like DCA are probably south of the "flex point", which I'd guess is currently in the NYC/BDR region (and edging northward).  Farther north the greater precip wins more often than it loses, as seen by 21st-century snow totals in many New England sites.  Winters like 2022-23 might be a preview of the situation 20+ years from now.

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10 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

We’ll check against your PWS?

GFS and GGEM don’t have you hitting 80F Mon-Fri next week.

He will though...

These troughs have been over-sold routinely... That said, the DP aspect is most likely to evac away.  I suspect that it's 81F for 800' Tolland, and 86 in downtown Hartford, with 38% RH for a couple of days - something like that.

Since DP's all he really cares about - so it seems... this is a relative win for the social media platform...

 

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7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I think there may be another fropa too after. The ridge retros to east coast. 

It's a positive PNA summer, no question.  Even the rarer times the index went negative, the excursion meant nothing for the PNAP limb ( over the continent, itself) as it remained fixed. 

It just cannot be altered for some reason.

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1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

It's a positive PNA summer, no question.  Even the rarer times the index when negative, the PNAP limb ( over the continent, itself) remain fixed.  It just cannot be altered for some reason.

It will change come November, just in time for "winter" to move in.....

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