Typhoon Tip Posted July 26, 2023 Author Share Posted July 26, 2023 The MET is some 4-7 F less than the MAV for today thru Friday. Doesn't have heat advisory caliber warmth at BDL/FIT/ASH/BED ... Humid as back of sack, but it's upper 80s. MAV is 90-94 throughout. Even 97 at LGA, back to back days. That's the first 'big heat' numbers I've seen on machine this summer, anywhere in the NE U.S. The pattern cannot seem to shake this +PNAP aspect to the flow orientation. The models seem to struggle for many cycles to finally raise height over SE Canada, but then in a single run ... collapse all at once back to ridge west - trough east ( particularly along and N of 40 deg lat). It takes 0 effort for them to go this other direction. Shunt summer. But honestly ...I've been seeing this a lot in recent years. We get hot, but we do it while there is cyclonically curved flow orientation aloft.. It's really like the trough ingests a warm tongue of air from an expulsion out off the W/SW ... so just a timing thing. This heat these next couple of days is streamed out along a zonal flow... but there's still a vague semblance of an inflection axis in the flow centered on western PA ... So, you know it's fragile as a construct. And no sooner, the models end it with a shot before the shot across the bow air mass like they couldn't wait to do it.. Not breaking summer's back ... but bending over backward. As early as the first week of August ...before the perennial end of the solar maximum ( ~10th) ? I don't think they will succeed as much. They are correct in the trough return, as they have been on multiple other occasions this summer and other years going back. But a separate moving error through all is that they tend to over amplify those when in mid range. Matter of how much or little. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 On 7/12/2023 at 8:34 PM, Ginx snewx said: Patern change begins the 26th complete by the 30th. We 2013 WTTE 4 days left in the period 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 12 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: .10, barely enough to wet the ground. Same here but awesome we avert the mold 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 Coincidentally, Came up in my FB feed, 5yrs ago today we had another flash flooding incident like yesterdays. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 Finished with 2.95" yesterday here. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 Just now, dryslot said: Finished with 2.95" yesterday here. Damn how much this month. I am at 9.73 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Damn how much this month. I am at 9.73 6.54", We missed on some of the stuff you guys got this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: WTTE 4 days left in the period For a few days and then it returns. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: For a few days and then it returns. Let em go. They think dews are gone rest of summer . Until they lock back in next weekend with trough over GL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 Looking at some 70's early next week. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 14.03” for July at local PWS. Has to be in a top tier of monthly precip amounts for this area 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 13 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: 14.03” for July at local PWS. Has to be in a top tier of monthly precip amounts for this area Probably will add to that tomorrow too, Lot of here last night from the flash flooding, Looks like another round of it thursday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 13 hours ago, dryslot said: We got more rain yesterday than the Jay-Dixfield drowner the day before - 0.04" vs. 0.03". Since the all-day rain on July 2, every precip forecast here has underperformed. Dare I say that the garden needs water? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 3 minutes ago, tamarack said: We got more rain yesterday than the Jay-Dixfield drowner the day before - 0.04" vs. 0.03". Since the all-day rain on July 2, every precip forecast here has underperformed. Dare I say that the garden needs water? Mine doesn't.....lol, And the pump passed the test from last night, Garden is dry this morning. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 6.44 on the month here. Wet, but nothing obscene compared to most places Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 47 minutes ago, dryslot said: 6.54", We missed on some of the stuff you guys got this month. 3.41" here. After today that will be exactly on the average for July 1-26. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 Just now, tamarack said: 3.41" here. After today that will be exactly on the average for July 1-26. I was on par with your monthly totals until last night, 3.59" and then we added 2.95". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 14 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: 6.44 on the month here. Wet, but nothing obscene compared to most places Around 4" here - and it's been dry as of late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 46 minutes ago, dryslot said: Probably will add to that tomorrow too, Lot of here last night from the flash flooding, Looks like another round of it thursday. Yep. I’m hoping we get lucky and miss most of that. But expecting more of the same. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 12 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Yep. I’m hoping we get lucky and miss most of that. But expecting more of the same. You don't seem to miss much, And probably be in line again tomorrow i would presume. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 Welp, RT 2 just E of Greenfield is fuk’d. This is going to be a major traffic headache. Traffic will need to be rerouted through Turners Falls and Greenfield. 2 1 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 8 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Welp, RT 2 just E of Greenfield is fuk’d. This is going to be a major traffic headache. Traffic will need to be rerouted through Turners Falls and Greenfield. Wow. That is nuts Is that just past the set of lights at Main St Turners Falls? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 20 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Wow. That is nuts Is that just past the set of lights at Main St Turners Falls? Yep. You ain’t just dumping some gravel and fill in to fix that. Lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 5 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Yep. You ain’t just dumping some gravel and fill in to fix that. Lol Buy the house across the street and reroute. lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: For a few days and then it returns. A week steady of COC just like Kevin loves. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 56 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Wow. That is nuts Is that just past the set of lights at Main St Turners Falls? yup 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: A week steady of COC just like Kevin loves. TORCH! 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: A week steady of COC just like Kevin loves. It’s 3-4 days lol. A pattern change it’s not 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 2 hours ago, dryslot said: Looking at some 70's early next week. This will feel different and noticeable. Highs in lower 70s Sat-Tue. Saturday Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Chance of rain 50 percent. Saturday Night And Sunday Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Sunday Night And Monday Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Monday Night And Tuesday Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: This will feel different and noticeable. Highs in lower 70s Sat-Tue. Saturday Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Chance of rain 50 percent. Saturday Night And Sunday Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Sunday Night And Monday Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Monday Night And Tuesday Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Same here, Its low 70's, It will feel fall like after this crap this month. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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