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July has arrived ... the Meteorologically defined mid summer month


Typhoon Tip
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  On 7/16/2023 at 2:22 AM, powderfreak said:

That in NYC would be interesting to say the least.

Several zones of 2”+ from Canada to the South Coast showing the potential… but the consensus of a stripe of 4-8” seems to continue to aim from NYC area NE-ward into CT.

A4731A70-4DD0-489E-932B-BBFE1C6C5E74.thumb.png.e43bc07c5b10c8b9381ed22507b795b8.png

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That strip almost matches the HRRR in terms of placement. 

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Big difference between last week and this upcoming event.

gfs_mslp_uv850_neus_4.png?width=590&heig

Last week had low level winds intersecting the boundary, creating a more widespread rainfall pattern.

gfs_mslp_uv850_neus_6.png?width=590&heig

Tomorrow the low level winds parallel the boundary, which will be a recipe for narrow but potentially significant rainfall distribution.

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  On 7/16/2023 at 3:06 AM, OceanStWx said:

Big difference between last week and this upcoming event.

gfs_mslp_uv850_neus_4.png?width=590&heig

Last week had low level winds intersecting the boundary, creating a more widespread rainfall pattern.

gfs_mslp_uv850_neus_6.png?width=590&heig

Tomorrow the low level winds parallel the boundary, which will be a recipe for narrow but potentially significant rainfall distribution.

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Great analysis.  Makes sense.  That SE flow led to more widespread max lift, while the second image has the flow aligning with the boundary orientation.  Leads to a more narrow max axis potential. 

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  On 7/16/2023 at 8:46 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

Have never had water in basement. Benefit to living on hilltop 

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I never had either until last Monday. During the hardest downpour, it started coming up through the floor drain. Once the rain backed off. It went back down. We were able to use the shop vac to clean it up. No damage done. 

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