ineedsnow Posted July 11, 2023 Share Posted July 11, 2023 forecast for death valley.. this is even nuts for them Saturday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 99. Sunday Sunny and hot, with a high near 129. Sunday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 100. Monday Sunny and hot, with a high near 128. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 11, 2023 Author Share Posted July 11, 2023 2 minutes ago, NoCORH4L said: Wonder if the pattern will change at all this summer? If not, let's hope we can keep into winter. I don't know if it will. Guessin' no - Something I've noticed now spanning over 10 years of total season-to-season behavioral trends (emphasized because readers for some reason skip 'trend' in lieu of aggravated absolutes...) Winters and summers are getting neutered, while springs and autumns have increased variance. It's sort of blurring the distinction - N-E of an approximately IA-NJ this is more true. Winters more and more are sheared open mid level gradient/velocity saturated. Patterns don't stay in position .. they modulate in shorter durations with wild R-wave repositioning, triggering larger temperature extremes imposing bigger thaws that for one ... don't kill ticks. haha. Summers are being dimmed for heat. I keep seeing this, every year, this "shunting pattern" because the gradient continues to organize into a more definitive summer/polar jet, which then favors the western ridge - won't let us evolve a big dawgs over the eastern continent ( as much) You can see this coherently sometimes on the weather charts too... Just look at the 00z Euro around 228 hours... There's a whopper heat dome with a fantastic R-wave -lengthed over arcing polar jet. What also makes these characterizations argument prone ... springs have been hot, and autumns have featured freak cold inserts that bring synoptic snow threats in Octobers. These do not lend to people's acceptance... Anyway, that's getting into the other thing. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 11, 2023 Share Posted July 11, 2023 There is some intriguing severe potential Friday, but I think this is turning into a pretty serious flood concern. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 11, 2023 Share Posted July 11, 2023 19 minutes ago, dendrite said: Looks like nbd. Vis 10+ in the entire northeast. Skies are a crystal clear, deep blue here. The STEM didn't look too bad either. Looks fine to me? So no smoke right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 11, 2023 Share Posted July 11, 2023 49 minutes ago, Weather_or_Not said: 63 DP is still muggy and I won’t be gaslit otherwise. Sweat along the backside will still occur. 66 here. Waiting on the Coc k. I guess it’s .. coming? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 11, 2023 Share Posted July 11, 2023 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: So no smoke right? Time sensitive but that stuff doesn't look to be from Canadian fires https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/goes/sector_band.php?sat=G16§or=ne&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24&dim=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 11, 2023 Share Posted July 11, 2023 38 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Time sensitive but that stuff doesn't look to be from Canadian fires https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/goes/sector_band.php?sat=G16§or=ne&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24&dim=1 Maybe leftover trapped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 11, 2023 Share Posted July 11, 2023 46 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: So no smoke right? I said "no big deal". Most of it is just some haziness aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 11, 2023 Share Posted July 11, 2023 Just now, dendrite said: I said "no big deal". Most of it is just some haziness aloft. Light haze moved in after Cobalt all morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 11, 2023 Share Posted July 11, 2023 1 minute ago, dendrite said: I said "no big deal". Most of it is just some haziness aloft. Pennsylvania got rocked, maybe ET from water sucked up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 11, 2023 Share Posted July 11, 2023 Need to pull out the Hysplit and do a backwards trajectory from 850mb over Tolland. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 11, 2023 Share Posted July 11, 2023 2013 like July reversal in 2 weeks? Cold front of yore??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 11, 2023 Share Posted July 11, 2023 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Need to pull out the Hysplit and do a backwards trajectory from 850mb over Tolland. Maybe it will trace back to Seattle and its a product of the smoke from the lasers hi by Vlad Jr...the dude probably killed a kid. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 11, 2023 Share Posted July 11, 2023 That's meters and the wrong date. Looks like it's originating from well aloft over the northern Plains so it checks out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 11, 2023 Share Posted July 11, 2023 Partly sunny, 77/68°F, Its not a pleasant day dew wise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 11, 2023 Share Posted July 11, 2023 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: Partly sunny, 77/68°F, Its not a pleasant day dew wise. 79/62 here. Sunny (some haze). I am enjoying this so far 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted July 11, 2023 Share Posted July 11, 2023 33 minutes ago, dryslot said: Partly sunny, 77/68°F, Its not a pleasant day dew wise. TD hardly ever topped 60 thru June 23. It hasn't gone under that for more than a few hours since then. The dews are here, though not much big heat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 11, 2023 Share Posted July 11, 2023 6 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: 79/62 here. Sunny (some haze). I am enjoying this so far I don't mind low 60 dews, Still not my preference though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 11, 2023 Share Posted July 11, 2023 1 hour ago, dendrite said: Need to pull out the Hysplit and do a backwards trajectory from 850mb over Tolland. Take a look at Stem now. We smoke 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 11, 2023 Share Posted July 11, 2023 Dews up to 68 now. BOX knew Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted July 11, 2023 Share Posted July 11, 2023 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Dews up to 68 now. BOX knew I'm at 85/66 right now....feels great compared to what it has been, a/c was off for 12 hours but has now been kicked back on for the foreseeable future Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 11, 2023 Share Posted July 11, 2023 1 hour ago, dendrite said: That's meters and the wrong date. Looks like it's originating from well aloft over the northern Plains so it checks out. You said 850? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 11, 2023 Share Posted July 11, 2023 25 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Dews up to 68 now. BOX knew KHFD 111653Z 26005KT 10SM CLR 30/17 A2983 RMK AO2 SLP102 T03000167 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 11, 2023 Share Posted July 11, 2023 27 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Dews up to 68 now. BOX knew Yeah there were a few drunk posts calling for 50s dews, we knew to toss those 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 11, 2023 Author Share Posted July 11, 2023 Nice and dry-ish up my way. fwiw, Logan has a DP barely 61 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 11, 2023 Share Posted July 11, 2023 22 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: You said 850? 850mb…but hysplit is in meters. 850 is closer to 1500m. But it doesn’t really matter. I just used the default 500m which is more like 950mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 11, 2023 Share Posted July 11, 2023 Dews are about what I expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted July 11, 2023 Share Posted July 11, 2023 Models look pretty dry for the Friday Saturday rain in SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 11, 2023 Share Posted July 11, 2023 4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Models look pretty dry for the Friday Saturday rain in SNE Definitely rain potential IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 11, 2023 Share Posted July 11, 2023 10 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Models look pretty dry for the Friday Saturday rain in SNE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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