Typhoon Tip Posted June 30, 2023 Share Posted June 30, 2023 The question is... how summery will it be? June left something for warm/season enthusiasts to be desired. But not as bad as some may think ... (speaking to the straw man ). Monthly mean as of this morning, June 30, were only very modestly cooler than normal, as provided by NWS' interactive online resource ( https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=box) ... ALB, (omitting decimals) -1 F -.4 for ORH. -.9 for HFD. BOS was -2 and PVD was -4. Boston(Logan), I suspect was more a result of a persistent on-shore flow anomaly. Providence may also have a combination of SEterly anomalies, together with instrumentation issues. As a very brief op-ed, climate change affects our 'acclimation curves' ... Basically, we perceive months that are actually not that too terribly far from normal, as being more negative than they really were - because we are over the longer span now more prepared/bias to 'feeling' a certain way in our common experience. I find this sort of an interesting psychological hypothesis for how weather and climate impacts perception... Anyway, looking at July ... the canonical warmest week of the year is this month ... roughly centered on the 21st. The next week to two weeks look different than where we've been. There is still a tendency to oscillate between troughs and ridging, but the troughs are not stagnating as much per guidance trends and other indicators ( ..the latter of which won't get read if this is written too long ). Just adding that the entire synoptic framework is also situating higher in geopotential hgt depths, which doesn't lend to CAA events very readily. Much of this should result warmer than normal, and more humid ... but it is unclear how extreme either will be - pistol to head, not very extreme with the temperature side for the time being. There is some hints that more important heat will materialize toward the end of the first week and throughout the 2nd week, but it's just hinted. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 30, 2023 Author Share Posted June 30, 2023 One upshot to this next week or two is that having the ambient summer front sort of wobbling around the eastern continent at our latitude should service occasional convection chances... And severe or just mundane, notwithstanding. This may offer some episodes of entertainment that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 Trying to plan a camping trip and the windows of opportunity for halfway decent weather don't look promising over the next couple weeks. Think we'll shoot for end of July-beginning of August when hopefully things have changed a bit. Long range GFS painting blue pixels over N Quebec already...summer's almost over. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 32 minutes ago, rimetree said: Trying to plan a camping trip and the windows of opportunity for halfway decent weather don't look promising over the next couple weeks. Think we'll shoot for end of July-beginning of August when hopefully things have changed a bit. Long range GFS painting blue pixels over N Quebec already...summer's almost over. You joke but I've noticed living in New England for a long time that the apex of the growing season is always right about now. From here we head downhill. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 22 minutes ago, kdxken said: You joke but I've noticed living in New England for a long time that the apex of the growing season is always right about now. From here we head downhill. a couple weeks until we get our highest average temps.. then back downhill 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 Very flat peak here. Warmest daily mean is late July but from July 10 thru August 10 the average is within 1° of that peak. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 46 minutes ago, tamarack said: Very flat peak here. Warmest daily mean is late July but from July 10 thru August 10 the average is within 1° of that peak. Do you have any experience with oak leaf tier? I have thousands of moths flying around and am wondering if they'll be a big outbreak next year . Thanks in advance... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 1 hour ago, kdxken said: Do you have any experience with oak leaf tier? I have thousands of moths flying around and am wondering if they'll be a big outbreak next year . Thanks in advance... I'm not familiar with that insect. I'd recommend a search to find out how they overwinter, and if that might be a time to control, or at least have a guess for populations the next growing season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 Pretty nice day if you like forest fires. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 Holy smoke batman 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 maybe some severe Monday? some crazy instability/cape #'s showing up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 Worcester’s June temps can be tossed thanks to the garbage sensor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 Looks like a mix of smoke and clouds.. sun has been gone the last few hours though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 4 hours ago, kdxken said: Pretty nice day if you like forest fires. Nothing like that crisp clean haze limiting the sky and visibility to 5 miles. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcglups Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 definitely a smoke-filled experience in Coos County today, and especially around 6pm. Good to see the lift running at wildcat, the count down begins! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 Smoke has been thick for 48 hours here, but definitely improving now as the sun goes down. Still pretty terrible overall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 Might actually get some drier weather in here than it looked earlier. Euro flipped from very wet for multiple days to much better outdoor weather up north between the 6z and 18z runs. Favorable shift south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 6 hours ago, kdxken said: Pretty nice day if you like forest fires. Well, compared to the last week of ass, it was a pretty nice day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 Man, the gfs is an absolute dumpster fire for my trip next weekend and beyond. Hope that’s wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 42 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Might actually get some drier weather in here than it looked earlier. Euro flipped from very wet for multiple days to much better outdoor weather up north between the 6z and 18z runs. Favorable shift south. oof Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 Some will have FF concerns if/where there's another 3-4" of rain through Tuesday PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 20 minutes ago, mreaves said: Well, compared to the last week of ass, it was a pretty nice day. Not a bunch of smoke up there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 48 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Might actually get some drier weather in here than it looked earlier. Euro flipped from very wet for multiple days to much better outdoor weather up north between the 6z and 18z runs. Favorable shift south. I see nothing "favorable" about that trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saguaro Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 Managed upper 70s, then copious debris clouds from the Ontario and Quebec storms blowing up moved in along with the ever present smoke. Close the shades until Wednesday. May forego plans and go back to AZ early if this pattern keeps up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 10 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Man, the gfs is an absolute dumpster fire for my trip next weekend and beyond. Hope that’s wrong For all the times you've whined your way into favorable outcomes your due to be porked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 1 minute ago, Saguaro said: Managed upper 70s, then copious debris clouds from the Ontario and Quebec storms blowing up moved in along with the ever present smoke. Close the shades until Wednesday. May forego plans and go back to AZ early if this pattern keeps up. New England - Where folks go for ass holiday weekends. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 12 minutes ago, kdxken said: For all the times you've whined your way into favorable outcomes your due to be porked. We’ve been relatively Steined locally, but of course, covered bridges will be getting washed away when I go on my trip 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 21 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: We’ve been relatively Steined locally, but of course, covered bridges will be getting washed away when I go on my trip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Supernovice Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 Anyone have the app or website that Epstein is referencing below? also pretty dark sh*t that I’m going to add it to my favs on all platforms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 1 hour ago, kdxken said: Not a bunch of smoke up there? There was smoke but at least it was dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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