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July 2023


Stormlover74
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38 minutes ago, Euripides said:

Radar picking up out in Suffolk County for some good rain.

Can anyone verify the heavier amounts?

Can’t give you totals, but it’s been moderate for a while now. Line seems to be crawling, or backfilling a bit 

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A heatwave is likely in parts of the northern Mid-Atlantic region. Parts of the region could see readings climb into the middle and perhaps upper 90s during the height of the heat. The humidity could add to the discomfort. At present, the potential heatwave does not appear to be a prolonged affair.

An extreme heat event continues to grip the Southwest. Phoenix reached a daily record 119°. That was its third 119° temperature this year (old record: 2, 1990). El Paso and Tucson each registered their 40th consecutive 100° or above days, both of which are records.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.1°C for the week centered around July 19. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.12°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.00°C. El Niño conditions have developed and will likely continue to strengthen through at least the summer. The probability of an East-based El Niño event has increased.

The SOI was -37.30 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.071 today.

On July 23 the MJO was in Phase 7 at an amplitude of 0.245 (RMM). The July 22-adjusted amplitude was 0.479 (RMM).

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 97% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 79.4° (1.9° above normal).

 

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7 hours ago, FPizz said:

Ask @Poker2015, it usually breaks up around here.  This is insane right now.  Torrential rain, huge lightning bolts, and some of the loudest thunder I've heard in years.

1.13" in that crazy storm...we only get it when it comes from the southwest or northwest...straight west it splits every time!!

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11 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

For sure. Before 2010 Long Beach was full of them. After the 3/2010 nor’easter, Irene and finally Sandy they’re essentially all gone. Irene left rows of them toppled near my house. 

I remember. They really started getting blighted during the 90s in Long Beach. Sounded like gunshots during heavy wet snowstorms as the branches snapped. Then March 2010, Irene, and Sandy. The old saying was never park your car under one of them if there were any kind of storms in forecast. They really were a hazard before Sandy wiped out most of them. 

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