SACRUS Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 80 / 71 and cloudy as an area of clouds quickly moves through. Partly sunny, more humid and hot today. Low mid 90s and higher humidity will add to the index with isolated daytime and evening storms. Fri (7/14) humid, hot and more scattered storms later in the day. Places with enough sun will add a 90. Sat (7/15) and Sun (7/16) warm, humid with widespread storms possible with slow moving soakers. More clouds around but any breaks where and when the sun comes out will warm up quickly. Rain totals could become flood level with these storms, and available moisture >2 - 4 inches in places. Mon (7/17) and beyond. Overall warm, humid with blasts of stronger heat from the southwest ridge nearby or skirting the area. Should add a few 90s Mon - Wed but storms chances continue. As the Western Atlantic Ridge expands and west and pulses with the trough into the GL and NE continued storms chances. Still see a 2-3 day cool towards normal by the 22 with heat building into the west and heading east in the last week of the month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 Is it finally going to rain on LI? Upton lowered the POP from 80%, to 60%, but they talk about multiple waves of LP over the next few days. I’m going to assume it’s going to be a much bigger story in the places that just got blasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 Records: Highs: EWR: 100 (1966) Hot summer continued to roll on that July. NYC: 101 (1966) more records highs in NY from 1966 LGA: 99 (1966) Lows: EWR: 57 (1940) NYC: 54 (1888) LGA: 58 (1990) Historical: 1895 - A tornado struck Cherry Hill in New Jersey causing fifty thousand dollars damage. It also descended into the Harlem and Woodhaven areas of New York City killing one person, and finally ended as a waterspout in Jamaica Bay. (David Ludlum) 1951: Rivers across eastern Kansas crest well above flood stage, causing the most significant destruction from flooding in the Midwestern United States at that time. Five-hundred-thousand people were left homeless, and 24 people died in the disaster. Click HERE for more information from the History Channel. 1975 - Dover, DE, was deluged with 8.50 inches of rain to establish a 24 hour record for the state. (The Weather Channel) 1977 - Lightning struck a key electrical transmission line in Westchester County of southeastern New York State plunging New York City into darkness. (David Ludlum) 1980 - Afternoon highs of 108 degrees at Memphis, TN, 108 degrees at Macon, GA, and 105 degrees at Atlanta, GA, established all-time records for those three cities. The high of 110 degrees at Newington, GA, was just two degrees shy of the state record. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Unseasonably cool weather prevailed across the Midwest. Ten cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including Casper, WY, with a reading of 39 degrees. By way of contrast, record heat was reported in the eastern U.S., with highs of 93 degrees at Burlington, VT, and 101 degrees around Miami, FL. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - There were just three reports of severe weather across the country, and just one record high temperature reported. Thunderstorms brought much needed rains to the Tennessee Valley area, producing nine inches at Senatobia, MS. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - A thunderstorm at Albany, GA, produced 1.40 inches of rain in forty minutes, along with wind gusts to 82 mph. Afternoon highs of 98 degrees at Corpus Christi, TX, 110 degrees at Tucson, AZ, and 114 degrees at Phoenix, AZ, equalled records for the date. Greenwood, MS, reported 55.65 inches of precipitation for the year, twice the amount normally received by mid July. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 SST temps https://coastalwatertemperatureguide-noaa.hub.arcgis.com/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 13, 2023 Author Share Posted July 13, 2023 Nam trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: Nam trend Ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 13, 2023 Author Share Posted July 13, 2023 6 minutes ago, Rmine1 said: Ugh It's just for fun. Nam is useless anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 26 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Nam trend And HRRR has very little activity for tomorrow. I hope we see something, but I'm not very optimistic. Sunday might be our best chance if last night's Euro is correct. I see RGEM does give us some rain during the morning tomorrow. Who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 13 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: It's just for fun. Nam is useless anyway True, but the way things have gone so far out here, it’s still discouraging Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 13, 2023 Author Share Posted July 13, 2023 16 minutes ago, Rmine1 said: True, but the way things have gone so far out here, it’s still discouraging Rgem destroys suffolk county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 41 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Nam trend The Jersey Shore still looks overdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 the cams are all over the place so it'll be a nowcast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 6 minutes ago, forkyfork said: the cams are all over the place so it'll be a nowcast As it has been for nearly every event for the last 8+ weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 88/75. dews are back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 48 minutes ago, MANDA said: As it has been for nearly every event for the last 8+ weeks. convection always difficult to forecast more than a few hrs out.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 if true nam destroys the same areas that got wrecked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 86/73 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 13, 2023 Author Share Posted July 13, 2023 4 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said: if true nam destroys the same areas that got wrecked Wouldn't surprise me but the nam is inconsistent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 Is the heat wave criteria of three consecutive days of 90 local to our region? Or is it a general rule? I’m on my second heat wave in a week (and this year), 90’s barely even stand out anymore they almost feel average. Maybe 4 or 5 consecutive days or a threshold higher than 90 would be more fitting. 88 now, down from 90. Clouding up in Garden City, PWS still showing full sun in Suffolk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 13, 2023 Author Share Posted July 13, 2023 19 minutes ago, Cfa said: Is the heat wave criteria of three consecutive days of 90 local to our region? Or is it a general rule? I’m on my second heat wave in a week (and this year), 90’s barely even stand out anymore they almost feel average. Maybe 4 or 5 consecutive days or a threshold higher than 90 would be more fitting. 88 now, down from 90. Clouding up in Garden City, PWS still showing full sun in Suffolk. I always said it should be 3 days of 95. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 16 minutes ago, Cfa said: Is the heat wave criteria of three consecutive days of 90 local to our region? Or is it a general rule? I’m on my second heat wave in a week (and this year), 90’s barely even stand out anymore they almost feel average. Maybe 4 or 5 consecutive days or a threshold higher than 90 would be more fitting. 88 now, down from 90. Clouding up in Garden City, PWS still showing full sun in Suffolk. That's the most common definition I've seen but it does vary by region. I don't think there is a set offical scientific number across the board. Whatever a region considers "abnormally hot" According to the NWS.. "What is a heat wave? A heat wave is a period of abnormally hot weather generally lasting more than two days. Heat waves can occur with or without high humidity..." I'd agree 3 days isn't that remarkable now. For the Park maybe a little bit. But EWR, LGA and other mid atlantic cities it's not a huge deal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 89 today but now down to 88. Not sure 90 happens 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 9 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: I always said it should be 3 days of 95. ewr has no problem hitting 90 on se winds now lol 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 Really steamy out today, 84/76/93 for the high so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 Current temp 95/DP 71/RH 46% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 90/70 here fml 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 Briefly touched 90 earlier, which makes heat wave. Now 87 but the humidity is back..dew 73, Feels like 94 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 hit 89 87/68 currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 91 and gross out. Had a small thunderstorm pop up at my house a few hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 4 minutes ago, Rmine1 said: Tomorrow looking like another no go for the island. Sunday trending the wrong way too. Beginning to believe it will never rain here again, lol 3K NAM gets many tonight. However the 12K NAM is north of I84 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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