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July 2023


Stormlover74
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23 minutes ago, psv88 said:

90/64/91 here. 4th 90 of the year I believe 

You're hotter than all the 2pm metro reporting stations.

SXUS51 KOKX 111757
OSOOKX
New York City Metropolitan Area Weather Roundup
National Weather Service New York NY
200 PM EDT TUE JUL 11 2023

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
Central Park   MOSUNNY   88  58  36 VRB3      29.90F
LaGuardia Arpt MOSUNNY   86  58  38 NW8       29.86F
Kennedy Intl   MOSUNNY   85  63  47 S13       29.88F
Newark Liberty MOSUNNY   88  59  37 N9        29.87F
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44 minutes ago, uofmiami said:

You're hotter than all the 2pm metro reporting stations.

SXUS51 KOKX 111757
OSOOKX
New York City Metropolitan Area Weather Roundup
National Weather Service New York NY
200 PM EDT TUE JUL 11 2023

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
Central Park   MOSUNNY   88  58  36 VRB3      29.90F
LaGuardia Arpt MOSUNNY   86  58  38 NW8       29.86F
Kennedy Intl   MOSUNNY   85  63  47 S13       29.88F
Newark Liberty MOSUNNY   88  59  37 N9        29.87F

yup. we roast on a west wind. my numbers the same as surrounding PWS. 91 now

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The very warm weather will continue through Thursday. Friday could be briefly cooler due to widespread showers and thunderstorms. A warm and humid weekend is likely.

An extreme heat event will likely develop in the Southwest later this week. Cities such as Tucson and Phoenix could see readings rise toward record daily levels. The excessive heat could extend across parts of California, Nevada, New Mexico and a large part of Texas.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.0°C for the week centered around July 5. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.78°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.92°C. El Niño conditions have developed and will likely continue to strengthen through at least the summer. The probability of an East-based El Niño event has increased.

The SOI was +3.45 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.763 today.

On July 9 the MJO was in Phase 2 at an amplitude of 1.253 (RMM). The July 8-adjusted amplitude was 1.204 (RMM).

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 71% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 79.2° (1.7° above normal).

 

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The next 8 days are averaging   82degs.(74/91) or +4.

Reached 89 here yesterday at 7pm.

Today:   90-94, wind w., m. sunny---more clouds late, 76 tomorrow AM.

76*(67%RH) here at 7am{was 75 earlier}.     80* at 9am.     82* at 10am.      83* at Noon.      85* at 1pm.     89*(38%RH) at 3pm.      90* at 3:15pm.     86* at 4pm on south wind.        83* at 9pm

 

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80 / 64 very warm and turning hot.  Low mid 90s with warmer spots to 95 or above on the warm southwest flow with a skirt of 850 mb temps >18c.   Similar Thu (7/13) but humidity builds and isolated or scattered evening storms.  By Fri (7/14) it remains very warm and humid with more widespread storms.  Where and when the sun is out it will warm up quickly and some areas can extend the heatwave.   Sat (7/15) and Sun (7/16) warm and humid with continued storm chances.  Some storms especially Fri can be soaker and slow movers.  Where and when the sun is out it will heat up quickly with lots o upper 80s / low 90s

 

Mon (7/17) and beyond.  Overall warm to hot with continued storm chances.  Western Rockies RIdge will send splashes of the strong heat near or into the region for short stints but overall remaining hotter as the western atlantic ridge bumps west keeping the flow warm and humid with the trough into the GL/NE.  Looks like a 2-3 day cool to near/normal in the 21-22 timeframe  before next sruge of heat is spreading north and east out of the west.

 

 

GOES16-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif 

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Records:

 

Highs:

 

EWR: 99 (2011)
NYC: 99 (1966)
LGA: 98 (1966)

Lows:

 

EWR: 52 (1945)
NYC: 57 (1926)
LGA: 58 (1940)

 

Historical:

 

1951 - The Kaw River flood occurred. The month of June that year was the wettest of record for the state of Kansas, and during the four days preceding the flood much of eastern Kansas and western Missouri received more than ten inches of rain. Flooding in the Midwest claimed 41 lives, left 200 thousand persons homeless, and caused a billion dollars property damage. Kansas City was hardest hit. The central industrial district sustained 870 million dollars property damage. (The Kansas City Weather Alamnac)

1980 - Lightning struck a large broiler house in Branford, FL, and the ensuing fire broiled 11,000 nearly ready broilers. Firemen were able to save a few thousand chickens, however. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Cool air invaded the High Plains Region. Eight cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including Sheridan, WY, with a reading of 37 degrees. Thunderstorms developing along the cold front in the central U.S. produced 6.5 inches of rain at Fort Dodge, IA, and 2.5 inches in one hour at St. Joseph MO. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Evening thunderstorms produced severe weather over the Dakotas, including baseball size hail at Aberdeen, SD, and softball size hail near Fullerton, ND. Thunderstorms produced heavy rain in Arkansas and northeastern Texas, with 6.59 inches reported at Mesquite, TX, in just an hour and fifteen minutes. Garland, TX, reported water up to the tops of cars following a torrential downpour. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Early morning thunderstorms over eastern Kansas deluged McFarland with more than six inches of rain. Afternoon thunderstorms in Wyoming produced up to eighteen inches of dime size hail near Rock Springs, along with torrential rains, and a three foot high wall of mud and water swept into the town causing more than 1.5 million dollars damage. Evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in Oklahoma and Arkansas, deluging Dardanelle, AR, with 3.50 inches of rain in less than twenty minutes. About seventy cows were killed when lightning struck a tree in Jones County, TX. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

 

 

1995: An intense heat wave affected much of the Midwest for a 4-day period beginning on this day. The worst effects of the heat were noted in the Chicago metropolitan area, where 583 people died from the heat. Temperatures across the region reached as high as 104 degrees, overnight lows on falling to the upper 70s to low 80s. Dew point temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s created heat indexes peaking at 125 degrees. Electricity and water usage reached record levels, causing periodic outages.

 

1996: Hurricane Bertha makes landfall near Wrightsville Beach, NC with maximum winds of 105 mph, but the storm surge dealt the most devastation. The U.S. Virgin Islands, along with North Carolina, were declared federal disaster areas. Surveys indicate that Bertha damaged almost 2,500 homes on St. Thomas and St. John. For many, it was the second hit in the ten months since Hurricane Marilyn devastated the same area. The primary effects in North Carolina were to the coastal counties and included storm surge flooding and beach erosion, roof damage, piers washed away, fallen trees and damage to crops. Over 5,000 homes were damaged, mostly from storm surge. Storm total rainfall amounts ranged from 5 to 8 inches along a coastal strip from South Carolina to Maine. Overall, as many as 12 deaths resulted with 8 in the U.S. and territories.

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