Euripides Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 Long Island doing that north of the LIE for storms like it did last year or was that two years ago when the south shore was parched but north shore was green? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 7 minutes ago, Euripides said: Long Island doing that north of the LIE for storms like it did last year or was that two years ago when the south shore was parched but north shore was green? It's always a thing. The south shore is typically more stable with onshore flow than the north shore. The north shore averages more rain in the summer. Clouds and storms will fire along the sea breeze boundary which will often be near the LIE or just north of it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 Flood Watch issued here from Sunday afternoon thru late Sunday night for 1-2" of rain w/locally higher amounts of 3-5" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 skunked so far, a cell just to my west. I hear the thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 hooray 3 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 7 minutes ago, forkyfork said: hooray 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 25 minutes ago, Euripides said: Long Island doing that north of the LIE for storms like it did last year or was that two years ago when the south shore was parched but north shore was green? It was a beautiful beach day at Jones beach. Water is incredibly warm and turquoise, I would have to think surface water nearing 80. It’s also super dry here, we really need something to survive to the coast tomorrow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 16 minutes ago, forkyfork said: hooray 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 Flood watches up for tomorrow night region wide except LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 @forkyfork thoughts about tomorrow for our area? Just a flood threat? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: Rain and 50’s…no thank you Yea like we know what this winter will bring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 8, 2023 Author Share Posted July 8, 2023 3 minutes ago, Allsnow said: @forkyfork thoughts about tomorrow for our area? Just a flood threat? Looks like a slow moving line with heavy rain rather than severe 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 1 hour ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: It was a beautiful beach day at Jones beach. Water is incredibly warm and turquoise, I would have to think surface water nearing 80. It’s also super dry here, we really need something to survive to the coast tomorrow NAM 3k shows a more organized system/wave that can get heavy rain for everyone. If it’s the usual southerly flow deal, it’ll end up the same way it’s been since mid June. We need a wave along the front or a more organized synoptic type system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 1 minute ago, jm1220 said: NAM 3k shows a more organized system/wave that can get heavy rain for everyone. If it’s the usual southerly flow deal, it’ll end up the same way it’s been since mid June. We need a wave along the front or a more organized synoptic type system. Exactly. There needs to be organized lift. I think we all get some rain tomorrow with the obvious flooding threat being inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 Long Island doing that north of the LIE for storms like it did last year or was that two years ago when the south shore was parched but north shore was green? Last year. We had a massive drought. But certain parts of Long Island had thunderstorms. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 10 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said: Last year. We had a massive drought. But certain parts of Long Island had thunderstorms. . Last summer it was night and day south and north of the LIE. My area was hit numerous times and south shore dried to a crisp. This summer’s way more widespread on LI with the dry conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 It will turn somewhat cooler tomorrow with additional potentially heavy showers and thunderstorms. More very warm and perhaps hot weather could develop next week. Next week could also see an extreme heat event develop in the Southwest. Cities such as Tucson and Phoenix could see readings rise toward record daily levels. The excessive heat could extend across New Mexico and a large part of Texas. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.9°C for the week centered around June 28. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.57°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.82°C. El Niño conditions have developed and will likely continue to strengthen through at least the summer. The SOI was +9.79 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.873 today. On July 6 the MJO was in Phase 2 at an amplitude of 1.634 (RMM). The July 5-adjusted amplitude was 1.867 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 67% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 79.0° (1.5° above normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 And here we go again for LI. Rain chances going to the wayside for tomorrow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 No rain here today, temperatures reached the mid 80s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 2 hours ago, lee59 said: No rain here today, temperatures reached the mid 80s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 High for the day was 89 here. Current temp 77/DP 74/RH 92% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 7/8 PHL: 90 New Brnswck: 89 EWR: 88 NYC: 88 TTN: 88 LGA: 87 TEB: 86 ACY: 86 BLM: 86 ISP: 84 JFK: 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 87 today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 90 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 72/70 early this morning, feels like i got smacked with a wet towel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Yep 72/70 here too but with very dense fog. Yuck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 This afternoon could be a fun one for nj and nyc if the forecast holds together. 71 and overcast. Gross as hell out still. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 The next 8 days are averaging 82degs.(73/91) or +4. Month to date is 80.1[+3.3]. Should be 81.1[+3.7] by the 17th. Reached 83 here yesterday at 2pm. Today: 81 early, then falling slowly, wind e., cloudy and Rain by 6pm., 73 tomorrow AM. 76*(98%RH) here at 7am{was 75 overnight}. 80* at 10am. Reached 83* at 5pm. 78* at 6pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 1 minute ago, Rjay said: I’ll take the under for the island. However I could see this being the real deal form the city west. Also, somewhere north of the lie could get one of those stationary dumpers. I hope this event breaks the trend however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 80 / 72 and mostly cloudy. Steamy day ahead with widespread storms later in the day into the overnight. Mon (7/10) some lingering storms and clouds. Tue (7/11) - Thu (7/13) heats back up , humid and more low to mid 90s especially Wed (7/12). Scattered storms during the period. Fri (7/14) and beyond overall warm to humid with western atlantic ridge along the coast keeping a warm southwest flow with pieces f the stronger heat moving up near or into the area at times. Trough into the GL nearby will keep storms nearby s warm humid and wetter continues. Overnight guidance kept the strongest heat just south till next weekend before skirting the area by the next mon (7/17). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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