lee59 Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 .34 inch of rain last night, nothing since. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 high dewpoint warm front today? yes please 3 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 2, 2023 Author Share Posted July 2, 2023 18 minutes ago, forkyfork said: high dewpoint warm front today? yes please If it brings storms sign me up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 Brutal out there. Current temp 83/DP 73/RH 73% 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 Another busted forecast. Both Saturday and Sunday way more sun and better than expected. The futility of mets is hurting the beach season which has seen so so crowds because the mets keep forecasting showers every weekend and instead there is sun 1 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 The models, as of yesterday, had a period of sun for today, some had places in NJ hitting 90 like yesterday's 18z HRRR. We knew there was going to be an initial batch of showers this morning associated with the warm front, and we knew there is potential for decent convection in the evening hours. To be fair, it's not really a bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 2, 2023 Author Share Posted July 2, 2023 1 minute ago, TWCCraig said: The models, as of yesterday, had a period of sun for today, some had places in NJ hitting 90 like yesterday's 18z HRRR. We knew there was going to be an initial batch of showers this morning associated with the warm front, and we knew there is potential for decent convection in the evening hours. To be fair, it's not really a bust. Most forecasts I saw made that pretty clear and emphasized it would not be a washout. The beach forecast for today is 30% chance of rain and 20% for tomorrow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 85 with a 74 a dew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 Im upset moreso they keep forecasting mostly cloudy days 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 Plenty of instability in place for something 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 2 hours ago, forkyfork said: high dewpoint warm front today? yes please Swamp ass 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 49 minutes ago, winterwarlock said: Another busted forecast. Both Saturday and Sunday way more sun and better than expected. The futility of mets is hurting the beach season which has seen so so crowds because the mets keep forecasting showers every weekend and instead there is sun Upton's had big rains here for over a week and we have something like .25 to show for it.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 45 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Most forecasts I saw made that pretty clear and emphasized it would not be a washout. The beach forecast for today is 30% chance of rain and 20% for tomorrow The problem is most of the public doesn't understand probability forecasts-they see a bolt of lightning on the newscast and assume the day is shot...in reality, 90% of the day is rain free and decent. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 86/76/96 right now. steam bath 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 Really nasty southern half of NJ into DE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 It’s laughable seeing the POP drop with every update, yet still no mention of sun. Tonight’s chances are starting to wane as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 25 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: The problem is most of the public doesn't understand probability forecasts-they see a bolt of lightning on the newscast and assume the day is shot...in reality, 90% of the day is rain free and decent. This. If I had a dollar for every time someone said it would rain because of a lightning bolt on weather.com I'd be a billionaire. Synoptic rains in the summer don't happen. It's gonna be hit or miss most of the time and it's almost always focused on the late afternoon hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 37 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Upton's had big rains here for over a week and we have something like .25 to show for it.... 26 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: The problem is most of the public doesn't understand probability forecasts-they see a bolt of lightning on the newscast and assume the day is shot...in reality, 90% of the day is rain free and decent. Yea man. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SI Mailman Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 Perth Amboy already postponed their fireworks show from tomorrow night to Wednesday night. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 it is july 2 every day that passes we come closer to the end of summer.. their is always a light at the end of a tunnel.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 48 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: This. If I had a dollar for every time someone said it would rain because of a lightning bolt on weather.com I'd be a billionaire. Synoptic rains in the summer don't happen. It's gonna be hit or miss most of the time and it's almost always focused on the late afternoon hours. Well the tv and radio mets need to do a better job relaying this on a holiday weekend. I knew it wouldnt be a washout but I didn't know it would actually be our best beach weekend thus far of a slow start to the year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 86°F / 76°DP. Smithtown. Really first real swamp day of the season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 24 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: This. If I had a dollar for every time someone said it would rain because of a lightning bolt on weather.com I'd be a billionaire. Synoptic rains in the summer don't happen. It's gonna be hit or miss most of the time and it's almost always focused on the late afternoon hours. friends of ours postponed a BBQ today b/c of the forecast....oops 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 90..there it is. My 4th of the season Temps and heat indices waaaaaaay overperforming 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 4 hours ago, IrishRob17 said: .27 this morning, around 5.5" over the past 10 days. We good. Still need the rain around these parts though... Just 3" for May-June combined. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 84/77/94. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 Another Rain Fail till maybe 6pm+? Some sun till 2:30pm. T down to 78 from 83. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 14 minutes ago, CIK62 said: Another Rain Fail till maybe 6pm+? Some sun till 2:30pm. T down to 78 from 83. I’d say location dependent, but based on radar that may not be the case. Upton in their latest disco, not overly enthused, at least for my area. Wait and see, or is it wait and not see? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 18z hrrr nails central nj with a bow echo tonight. Hopefully that works out for you guys 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 Just now, SRRTA22 said: 18z hrrr nails central nj with a bow echo tonight. Hopefully that works out for you guys New Jersey south of the city, you bet it will. Luckily we got some convection on the island this morning. The city has been striking out repeatedly though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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