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Stormlover74
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27 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

It’s probably our future to become more Florida like in the summers as the Bermuda high/ridge builds north. The westerly wind heat blast would shoot north of us and we get the humidity on the southerly flow. That also comes with the warming waters. 

Exactly, we have seen repeatedly the heat domes move to our north the last few summers. If you had to pin down what our future summer climate entails I would think lots of 90s with high dews and increased coastal convection once ocean water is near 80. The biggest threat we are facing is the loss of our hurricane buffer. Water temps in the  high 60s low 70s used to protect us from major Hurricanes. A great example is 38 which was able to maintain major status because it was moving at 60mph.  We are losing that category reducing buffer. And a major with wind gusts over 120mph will destroy our power grid. Think PR after Maria. No power for months. 

 

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2 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

The biggest threat we are facing is the loss of our hurricane buffer. 

I've noticed this, this year. There is a symmetry to the two atlantic storms- two east pacific storms, and that Cat 5. It seems the pattern is smoothing north, where 35N is the old 30N, as a macro pattern. 

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3 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Exactly, we have seen repeatedly the heat domes move to our north the last few summers. If you had to pin down what our future summer climate entails I would think lots of 90s with high dews and increased coastal convection once ocean water is near 80. The biggest threat we are facing is the loss of our hurricane buffer. Water temps in the  high 60s low 70s used to protect us from major Hurricanes. A great example is 38 which was able to maintain major status because it was moving at 60mph.  We are losing that category reducing buffer. And a major with wind gusts over 120mph will destroy our power grid. Think PR after Maria. No power for months. 

 

If Isaias hit NC at 110-115 mph we likely would’ve had a multi billion dollar disaster in the NYC area because of wind/power damage. As it was Farmingdale gusted over hurricane force, imagine 95-100 mph instead. 

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Just now, jm1220 said:

If Isaias hit NC at 110-115 mph we likely would’ve had a multi billion dollar disaster in the NYC area because of wind/power damage. As it was Farmingdale gusted over hurricane force, imagine 95-100 mph instead. 

Only a matter of time until that happens. We need major upgrades to our power System asap. We need to learn from Florida, and even more so the west pack. A cat one in Taiwan is a windy rainy day, throw in Bermuda too. Any power infrastructure above ground is using concrete reinforced poles

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2 hours ago, jm1220 said:

If Isaias hit NC at 110-115 mph we likely would’ve had a multi billion dollar disaster in the NYC area because of wind/power damage. As it was Farmingdale gusted over hurricane force, imagine 95-100 mph instead. 

Yep it was close.   If that was a September storm (with warmer waters) vs early August, it might have happened...

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The next 8 days are averaging   83degs.(75/92) or +5{doubtful}   Month to date is   79.8[+3.0].     We would be at a record pace by mid-month with this.

Reached 84 yesterday at 4pm.

Today:   82-86, wind s., variable clouds,  75 tomorrow AM.

76*(96%RH) here at 7am{was 75 overnight}.      78* at 9am.     80* at Noon.      Reached 83 at 2pm.       78* at 5pm.

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82/73.  Sauna like out there.  Partly cloudy and scattered storms later.  Pending on the clouds and amount of sun, upper 80s to 90 in the warmer spots.  Sun (7/9) and Mon (7/10)  trough and slow moving frontal boundary will deliver widespread storms and soakers.  Storms from Sunday afternoon / mon widespread.  2 inches and upwards of isolated spots to >4 inches of rain.

 

Hazy hot and humid - Tue (7/11) - Fri (7/14).  Overall warm with stronger heat by Wed (7/12) and Thi (7/13) could get mid 90s to spots with stronger blat of 850MB temps >18c.  

 

Sat (7/15) and beyond the beyond - overall warm, humid and continued storms chances with the Western Atlantic Ridge expanded west and trough into the GL.  Blats of the strong heat will ride the elevated SW flow and enhanced heights form the W. Atl Ridge. Periods of stronger heat mid/upper 90s again in the 7/17 work week period.

 

GOES16-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif 

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Records:

 

Highs:

 

EWR: 105 (1993)
NYC: 100 (1993)
LGA: 99 (1994)


Lows:

 

EWR: 56 (1948)
NYC: 56 (1894)
LGA: 60 (1984)

 

Historical:

1680: The first confirmed tornado death in the United States occurred in Cambridge, Massachusetts. The funnel was filled with, stones, bushes, and other things. The tornado also unroofed a barn and snapped many large trees.

1816 - Frost was reported in low places throughout New England. (David Ludlum)

1950 - The town of York, NE, was deluged with 13.15 inches of rain in 24 hours to establish a state record. (The Weather Channel)

1975 - Three people were killed and six others were injured when lightning struck a walnut tree near Mayo, FL. The nine people were stringing tobacco under a tin shed when the bolt hit the nearby tree. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Thunderstorms in the central U.S. produced wind gusts to 90 mph at Waterloo, IA, 6.38 inches of rain at Tescott, KS, and twenty-five minutes of ping-pong ball size hail at Drummond, OK. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Thirty cities in the north central and northeastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Beckley, WV, equalled their all-time record with a high of 93 degrees. Afternoon and evening thunderstorms spawned seven tornadoes in Adams and Logan counties of eastern Colorado, and hail caused 2.3 million dollars damage in Adams, Logan and Washington counties. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Sixteen cities in the central and western U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. The high of 103 degrees at Denver, CO, equalled their record for July, and a 110 degree reading at Rapid City, SD, equalled their all-time record high. Denver reported a record five straight days of 100 degree heat, and Scottsbluff, NE, reported a record eight days in a row of 100 degree weather. (The National Weather Summary)

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While today is very humid and may become oppressive for some, on this date in 2003

 

 What may be the world's highest dew point temperature was recorded at Dhahran, Saudi Arabia, in the Persian Gulf. A dew point of 95 degrees was recorded at 3 PM while the air temperature was 108 degrees. The apparent temperature at that time would have been 172 degrees.

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