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July 2023


Stormlover74
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Oceans closed to swimming yet again at Jones beach due to distant lighting from that central Jersey storm. Second time today yet it hasn’t rained for more than a couple minutes of drizzle. Super annoying for someone like myself who understands local meteorology. It’s not going to rain let alone have lighting at the beach today. The powers that be who are going by forecasts are convinced theses thunderstorms are coming. 

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Heavier showers and thundershowers drenched parts of the region today. Parts of Connecticut experienced flash flooding. Newark set a new daily rainfall record with 1.19" (old record: 1.07", 1952). Mammatus clouds moved across the sky in New York City and nearby regions.

It will be steamy and very warm through the end of the week. Temperatures could reach or exceed 90° in parts of the region.

Afterward, near to somewhat above normal readings will likely prevail through mid-month.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.9°C for the week centered around June 28. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.57°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.82°C. El Niño conditions have developed and will likely continue to strengthen through at least the summer.

The SOI was +9.29 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.519 today.

On July 2 the MJO was in Phase 2 at an amplitude of 1.687 (RMM). The July 1-adjusted amplitude was 1.614 (RMM).

 

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6 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

Getting another downpour

Another .33, 2.41" on the day

Yeah it seemed as if we were in the clear since the activity to the north fizzled out, but then that 1 tiny cell popped up and went right over us. Had to delay the start of our cookout until that downpour passed around 6pm. I ended up with 1.84" for the day. Very nice, and thankfully it cleared out as expected and was dry for all the fireworks. The 4th is the best holiday of the year. 

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