Rmine1 Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 3 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: 3K NAM gets many tonight. However the 12K NAM is north of I84 Definitely not going to rain on the island tonight unfortunately. Current radar supports 12k, but well north of I84. POPs drop with each update for the next few days. We’re desperate out here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 93° high today... Just 4.10" of rain since May...that's about 6" below normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 JFK 84 with dew up to 77 feel like 94 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 7 hours ago, SACRUS said: SST temps https://coastalwatertemperatureguide-noaa.hub.arcgis.com/ Wow, where is all this warm water coming from, air temperatures the last 3 months are not even averaging 70 yet water temps are far higher. Maybe the lack of offshore storms not stirring up the deeper colder waters? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 High of 90F earlier today. As of 5PM temp is currently 85. DP 72/RH 64% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 11 minutes ago, lee59 said: Wow, where is all this warm water coming from, air temperatures the last 3 months are not even averaging 70 yet water temps are far higher. Maybe the lack of offshore storms not stirring up the deeper colder waters? I posted about the earlier, but it’s a launch pad issue. If your no cooling water temps in the winter, the second full inclination hits it’s off to the races. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 At the peak T today. Sea Breeze clearly in play. I have my high so far today of 82 right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 Total steam bath today with 75-77 dew points. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 Tomorrow could be briefly cooler due to widespread showers and thunderstorms. Areas that saw flooding from the recent heavy rainfall could be at risk of additional flooding. The risk is particularly high in Vermont overnight into tomorrow. A warm and humid weekend is likely. Additional rain is likely Saturday night and Sunday. An extreme heat event is underway in the Southwest. Cities such as Las Vegas, Phoenix, and Tucson could see readings rise toward record daily levels. Las Vegas could challenge its monthly and all-time record. Death Valley could approach or reach 130°, which is the highest temperature ever reliably recorded. The excessive heat could extend across parts of California, Nevada, New Mexico and a large part of Texas. Meanwhile, Marathon, FL saw the mercury top out at 99° today. That tied the all-time record. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.0°C for the week centered around July 5. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.78°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.92°C. El Niño conditions have developed and will likely continue to strengthen through at least the summer. The probability of an East-based El Niño event has increased. The SOI was +4.31 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.747 today. On July 11 the MJO was in Phase 2 at an amplitude of 0.907 (RMM). The July 10-adjusted amplitude was 1.018 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 73% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 79.2° (1.7° above normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 Need rain 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: Need rain Understatement of the year. Unfortunately it looks like the same story unfolding for those that are severely lacking precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 2 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: I posted about the earlier, but it’s a launch pad issue. If your no cooling water temps in the winter, the second full inclination hits it’s off to the races. Sea temperature It may play a part but I don't think it has made that much difference. Average NYC January water temperature is 41.4Tides Sunrise and Suns Average water temperature in New York City in January over a decade Average January temperature over a decade 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 39.7°F 39.9°F 42.6°F 42.3°F 39.6°F 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 41.4°F 42.6°F 41.7°F 41.9°F 41.7° 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 3 minutes ago, lee59 said: Sea temperature It may play a part but I don't think it has made that much difference. Average NYC January water temperature is 41.4Tides Sunrise and Suns Average water temperature in New York City in January over a decade Average January temperature over a decade 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 39.7°F 39.9°F 42.6°F 42.3°F 39.6°F 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 41.4°F 42.6°F 41.7°F 41.9°F 41.7° If the pattern changes to one with stronger offshore flow the waters will cool down from upwelling. I’m sure 100 feet down or less the waters are much colder and would up well to the surface with a pattern conducive to that. The pattern has supported a hot western Atlantic for some time due to the WAR on roids over the “winter” up to now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 56 minutes ago, jm1220 said: If the pattern changes to one with stronger offshore flow the waters will cool down from upwelling. I’m sure 100 feet down or less the waters are much colder and would up well to the surface with a pattern conducive to that. The pattern has supported a hot western Atlantic for some time due to the WAR on roids over the “winter” up to now. The water temperature that amazes me is apparently 98 degrees off south Florida. I wonder how deep the water was where that was taken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 88 my high today, strong sea breeze this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 Whatever happened to the people saying this summer would be lucky to see 5-10 90 degree days? One thing I've learned lately is to never underestimate the torch! Also kind of weird to see so many on LI wanting more rain, whereas here in the Hudson Valley everything is still near or above flood stage. Pretty crazy driving around the past few days seeing roads washed out, like completely gone. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 There were some really impressive cloud structures to my north in my drive home before. Looked like a volcanic cloud with the different tones. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 5 minutes ago, jm1220 said: We’ll gladly take any of the rain over the next few months. But summers are usually favored for inland areas to get rain anyway and this summer is an extreme example. VT is getting drenched again tonight. LI is still entirely in a drought according to the map released this AM, and June precip was well below average east of the city. Another month of this if we heat up as some progs are saying and we’ll be in severe drought. Grounds that aren’t watered every day here are burnt/dying. Yeah it is just crazy how such a short drive makes such a difference. Even through Putnam and Dutchess Counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 3 minutes ago, jm1220 said: We’ll gladly take any of the rain over the next few months. But summers are usually favored for inland areas to get rain anyway and this summer is an extreme example. VT is getting drenched again tonight. LI is still entirely in a drought according to the map released this AM, and June precip was well below average east of the city. Another month of this if we heat up as some progs are saying and we’ll be in severe drought. Grounds that aren’t watered every day here are burnt/dying. Just like last summer my lawn is turning brown and crunchy. Yesterday my forecast was a good chance of rain tonight now it's down to almost nothing. Same old story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 watching awesome lightning from the NNJ cell 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 9 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said: watching awesome lightning from the NNJ cell We saw he show from the lower hudson valley. We were hoping to see a sunset but got the lightening instead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 4 minutes ago, cleetussnow said: We saw he show from the lower hudson valley. We were hoping to see a sunset but got the lightening instead there’s a flash or bolt every second 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RockawayRowdies Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 The view up north is crazy from here in Rockaway.. Here's a view from my doorbell 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 The lightening show is quite spectacular tonight. Our deck faces due north. Been seeing flashes light up the clouds every couple of seconds for the last hour and a half! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 6 minutes ago, KrazyKeyur said: The view up north is crazy from here in Rockaway.. Here's a view from my doorbell Pause your video right at the flashes. Clouds looks like a man holding up a staff! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 freak storm lol this shit rocks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 1 minute ago, Picard said: Pause your video right at the flashes. Clouds looks like a man holding up a staff! that was me you’re welcome 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Irishmick9 Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 Had little bigger than pea size hail and gusts to well over 40 with that cell in Vernon. Wife saw 1+ inch hail in town on way home and several large branches down. Ton of lightning . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 High for the day was 96 here. Current temp 81/DP 74/RH 79% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 7/13 PHL: 95 New Brnswck: 94 EWR: 93 TEB: 92 TTN: 91 BLM: 90 LGA: 89 ACY: 89 NYC: 88 JFK: 85 ISP: 85 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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