SACRUS Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Records: Highs: EWR: 104 (1993) NYC: 106 (1936) LGA: 98 (1993) Lows: EWR: 56 (1963) NYC: 54 (1963) LGA: 57 (1963) Historical: 1860 - A hot blast of air in the middle of a sweltering summer pushed the mercury up to 115 degrees at Fort Scott and Lawrence, KS. (David Ludlum) 1882 - Ice formed on the streets of Cheyenne, WY, during a rare summer freeze. (David Ludlum) 1936 - The temperature hit an all-time record high of 106 degrees at the Central Park Observatory in New York City, a record which lasted until LaGuardia Airport hit 107 degrees on July 3rd in 1966. (The Weather Channel) 1968 - Columbus, MS received 15.68 inches of rain in 24 hours to establish a record for the state. (The Weather Channel) 1979: Hurricane Bob was born in the Gulf of Mexico, becoming the first Atlantic Hurricane to be given a male name. 1987 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in Michigan. A tornado near Munising, MI, destroyed part of a commercial dog kennel, and one of the missing dogs was later found unharmed in a tree top half a mile away. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Twenty-three cities in the eastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Alpena, MI, and Buffalo, NY, suffered through their sixth straight day of record heat. The percentage of total area in the country in the grips of severe to extreme drought reached 43 percent, the fourth highest total of record. The record of 61 percent occurred during the summer of 1934. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Morning thunderstorms produced very heavy rain in southern Lower Michigan and northern Indiana. Up to 5.6 inches of rain was reported in Berrien County, MI. Sioux Falls SD reported a record high of 108 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 15 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: I’ll take the under for the island. However I could see this being the real deal form the city west. Also, somewhere north of the lie could get one of those stationary dumpers. I hope this event breaks the trend however. Hi-res models have some rain coming in overnight tonight into early tomorrow morning, looks like that will be the main event out here if it unfolds. I don't think we see much during the day today or tomorrow afternoon other than isolated showers 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Islip buoy water temp went above 80 for a few hours yesterday. https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=44025 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 32 minutes ago, tdp146 said: Islip buoy water temp went above 80 for a few hours yesterday. https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=44025 The constant S wind is good for driving up the water temp. Offshore winds promote upwelling. Also why our dewpoints are going so much higher and the seabreeze doesn't deliver relief anymore-just more humidity. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 1 hour ago, SACRUS said: 80 / 72 and mostly cloudy. Steamy day ahead with widespread storms later in the day into the overnight. Mon (7/10) some lingering storms and clouds. Tue (7/11) - Thu (7/13) heats back up , humid and more low to mid 90s especially Wed (7/12). Scattered storms during the period. Fri (7/14) and beyond overall warm to humid with western atlantic ridge along the coast keeping a warm southwest flow with pieces f the stronger heat moving up near or into the area at times. Trough into the GL nearby will keep storms nearby s warm humid and wetter continues. Overnight guidance kept the strongest heat just south till next weekend before skirting the area by the next mon (7/17). I love your posts and usually agree, but I don't agree about tuesday and wednesday. It's gonna be hot tuesday and wednesday for sure, but to me it looks as if we'll get a little break from the high humidity those days with dewpoints falling to the low 60s. We probably won't have storm chances those days either. Humidity and storm chances go back up late week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Rain starting to develop in nj. Going to be interesting the new few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 4 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: I love your posts and usually agree, but I don't agree about tuesday and wednesday. It's gonna be hot tuesday and wednesday for sure, but to me it looks as if we'll get a little break from the high humidity those days with dewpoints falling to the low 60s. We probably won't have storm chances those days either. Humidity and storm chances go back up late week. Thank wx21, probably right more very isolated after Monday and less humid but wouldnt rule out isolated popup storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 It's been varying between moderate and heavy rain for a little bit now with some long, low rumbles of thunder. Soggy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Andrew Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 1 hour ago, SACRUS said: 80 / 72 and mostly cloudy. Steamy day ahead with widespread storms later in the day into the overnight. Mon (7/10) some lingering storms and clouds. Tue (7/11) - Thu (7/13) heats back up , humid and more low to mid 90s especially Wed (7/12). Scattered storms during the period. Fri (7/14) and beyond overall warm to humid with western atlantic ridge along the coast keeping a warm southwest flow with pieces f the stronger heat moving up near or into the area at times. Trough into the GL nearby will keep storms nearby s warm humid and wetter continues. Overnight guidance kept the strongest heat just south till next weekend before skirting the area by the next mon (7/17). How does last week of July look in NYC/northern Jersey temp wise and precipitation? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Atmosphere is really starting to pop now across eastern PA and NW NJ. Starting to see some downpours and rumbles of thunder. 78/74 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Congrats western areas. Dry as a bone on long island. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Ha so much for a rainy day on Long Island! Wife is furious boat isn’t leaving the dock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Current temp 83/DP 74/RH 76% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 12 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Current temp 83/DP 74/RH 76% How much rain have you had the last 3 days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Just now, Allsnow said: How much rain have you had the last 3 days? What does that have to do with today?? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Rained heavy for a few minutes. Luckhttps://i.imgur.com/rSyTxjA.png. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 The 18z GFS was pretty wet late week into next weekend. So for the areas that picked up heavy rain today that could cause a renewed flood threat in those areas and another opportunity for areas that miss out this current round. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 Tonight and tomorrow will feature rounds of heavy showers and thundershowers. Flooding is possible in some locations. More very warm and perhaps hot weather could develop later in the week. An extreme heat event could develop in the Southwest. Cities such as Tucson and Phoenix could see readings rise toward record daily levels. The excessive heat could extend across New Mexico and a large part of Texas. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.9°C for the week centered around June 28. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.57°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.82°C. El Niño conditions have developed and will likely continue to strengthen through at least the summer. The SOI was +4.31 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.344 today. On July 7 the MJO was in Phase 2 at an amplitude of 1.522 (RMM). The July 6-adjusted amplitude was 1.636 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 67% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 79.0° (1.5° above normal). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 7/9 PHL: 85 TTN: 85 ACY: 84 EWR: 83 New Brnswck: 83 LGA: 83 TEB: 82 ISP: 82 BLM: 82 NYC: 82 JFK: 81 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 Picked up only 0.16" of rain for the day yesterday. A bit of a disappintment but there will be other opporunities. Current temp 71/DP 69/RH 97% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 The next 8 days are averaging 81degs.(73/90) or +3. Reached 83 here yesterday at 5pm. Today: 80-84, wind w. to nw., cloudy, clearing late, 70 tomorrow AM. 73*(98%RH) here at 7am{was 72 at 6am}. 80* at Noon. 83* at 3pm. 85* at 4pm. 86* at 4:30pm. 89* at 5pm{H.I. 93*} 92* at 6pm{H.I. 96*} Still holding at 92* at 7pm. 85* at 8am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 Bring on the next heatwave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 90’s tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 73/ 69 mostly cloudy with some breaks in the clouds, another larger line of clouds and some spotty showers is over WNJ moving into the area but clearing in the afternoon beyond that. Warm and drier, mid upper 80s today. Heat returns Tue (7/11) with stronger heat Wed (7/12) and Thu (7/12). By the weekend trough pushes against the building Western Atlantic Ridge which is also linking into the southeast ridge and with it comes more humidity and storms chances. Where and when the sun is out it warms quickly so more 90s chances. Sun (7/16) and beyond overall warm to hot with stronger heat skirting the area and overspreading at times. Continued storm chances as well. Stong heat signal 7/17-7/18. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 Records: Highs: EWR: 105 (1993) NYC: 102 (1993) LGA: 99 (1993) Lows: EWR: 58 (2009) NYC: 55 (1890) LGA: 60 (1953) Historical: 1911: The mercury hit 105 degrees at North Bridgton, Maine the hottest reading of record for Maine. North Bridgton also reached 105 degrees on the 4th of July in 1911. 1913 - The mercury hit 134 degrees at Greenland Ranch in Death Valley, CA, the hottest reading of record for the North American continent. Sandstorm conditions accompanied the heat. The high the previous day was 129 degrees, following a morning low of 93 degrees. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1926 - A lightning bolt struck an ammunition magazine in northern New Jersey, and a big red ball of fire leaped into the air triggering a series of explosions. All buildings within a half mile radius were destroyed, and debris fell as far as twenty-two miles away. Sixteen persons were killed, and property damage was seventy million dollars. At the Picatinny Arsenal in New Jersey, lightning struck one of the explosives storage structures during a thunderstorm and started a fire. As a result, several million pounds of explosives detonated over a period of 2–3 days. This explosion not only structural devastation, 187 of 200 buildings destroyed but military and civilian casualties as well. Close to one hundred are injured as explosion spreads havoc within a radius of 15 miles in New Jersey. Otto Dowling was in charge at the time and received a Distinguished Service Cross for his handling of the situation.(David Ludlum) 1936 - Afternoon highs of 112 degrees at Martinsburg, WV, 109 degrees at Cumberland, MD, and Frederick, MD, 110 degrees at Runyon, NJ, and 111 degrees at Phoenixville, PA, established all-time record highs for those four states. It was the hottest day of record for the Middle Atlantic Coast Region. (The Weather Channel) 1979 - The temperature at El Paso, TX, hit 112 degrees, an all-time record for that location. The next day was 110 degrees. (The Weather Channel) 1980 - The temperature in downtown Kansas City, MO, hit 109 degrees, following a sultry overnight low of 89 degrees. The daily low of 89 degrees was the warmest of record for Kansas City, and overall it was the hottest July day of record. It was the seventh of a record seventeen consecutive days of 100 degree heat, and the mean temperature for the month of 90.2 degrees was also an all-time record for Kansas City. 1987 - An early morning thunderstorm in Minnesota produced wind gusts to 91 mph at Waseca. Later that day, thunderstorms in South Dakota produced wind gusts to 81 mph at Ipswitch, and baseball size hail near Hayes and Capa. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms brought welcome rains to parts of the central U.S., but produced severe weather along the New England coast, in the Great Lakes Region, in North Carolina, and in the Southern Plateau Region. Strong thunderstorm winds gusting to 80 mph at Bullfrog, UT, sank three boats on Lake Powell. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Severe thunderstorms spawned seventeen tornadoes in the northeastern U.S. A powerful (F-4) tornado struck Hamden CT and New Haven, CT, causing 100 million dollars damage at Hamden, and another 20 million dollars damage around New Haven. Forty persons were injured in the tornado. Seventy persons were injured in a tornado which traveled from Watertown, CT, to Waterbury, CT, and another powerful (F-4) tornado touched down near Ames NY injuring twenty persons along its 43.5 mile track. It was the strongest tornado of record for eastern New York State. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 2005 - Hurricane Dennis landed near Pensacola, Florida as a category 3 storm. Maximum sustained winds at the time of landfall were near 120 mph. There were nine hurricane-related fatalities in the U.S. and preliminary estimates of insured losses ranged from $1 to $1.5 billion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 10, 2023 Author Share Posted July 10, 2023 6 hours ago, Rtd208 said: Picked up only 0.16" of rain for the day yesterday. A bit of a disappintment but there will be other opporunities. Current temp 71/DP 69/RH 97% A bit over 3" since Tuesday. Just .22 yesterday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 Rainfall total yesterday was 3.98". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 Some rainfall totals. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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