Stormlover74 Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 More of the same or will we finally get a heatwave? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 Appears the same old if Euro weeklies are correct in the extended. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 June ended at 70.0[-2.0]. I thought we were using 71.8 as the norm. The first 8 days of July are averaging 81degs.(73/89) or +4. It gets worse in Week 2. Comments? Typical GFS fluff? Reached at 80 at Noon---then fell back. Today: 80-85, wind s. to e., cloudy by Noon, Rain by midnight, 70 tomorrow AM. 71*(82%RH) here at 7am{was 69 earlier}. 73* at 9am. 75* at Noon. 78* at 3pm. Reached 80* at 5pm. 75* at 7pm. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 1 hour ago, CIK62 said: June ended at 70.0[-2.0]. I thought we were using 71.8 as the norm. The first 8 days of July are averaging 81degs.(73/89) or +4. It gets worse in Week 2. Comments? Typical GFS fluff? Reached at 80 at Noon---then fell back. Today: 80-85, wind s. to e., cloudy by Noon, Rain by midnight, 70 tomorrow AM. 71*(82%RH) here at 7am{was 69 earlier}. Yeah that's a ton of fluff but it does look like the 4-8 period may actually be the hottest of the next 3 weeks. EPS is looking increasingly pessimistic after the 8th with hints of an eastern trough after the 10th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 75 / 63 partly cloudy. Some storms into the DE/MD area. Looks warm and more humid today and scattered storms this PM. Not vert widespread. Sun (7/2) more clouds and more widespread storms especially at night. Where / when we get some sun t will warm up quickly but overall low - mid 80s and upper 80s in the sunnier spots, perhaps a few stray spots to 90. Mon (7/3) clouds and more storms, some soaker. Clears and heats up by the fourth mid morning. mid upper 80s and some of the warmer spots to 90s with enough sun. Wed (7/5) and Thu (7/6) very warm and more upper 80s to low 90s. Perhaps the warmer spots get their first hat trick / hearwave 4th - 6th. Front and storms by Fri (7/7). Overall warm / humid and increased storms chances by next weekend 7/8 - 7/12 with front and trough into the northeast. Way beyond ridgng looks to build into the southeast east of the current tendecny and with the W. atl Ridge expanding west could spell a much warmer, longer period by mid month. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 Records: Highs: EWR: 100 (1963) NYC: 100 (1901) LGA: 97 (2018) Lows: EWR: 52 (1943) NYC: 42 (1943) LGA: 56 (1988) Historical: 1792 - A tremendous storm (a tornado or hurricane) hit Philadelphia and New York City. Many young people were drowned while out boating on that Sunday. (David Ludlum) 1911 - The high of just 79 degrees at Phoenix AZ was their coolest daily maximum of record for the month of July. The normal daily high for July 1st is 105 degrees. (The Weather Channel) 1979 - It snowed almost half a foot (5.8 inches) at Stampede Pass WA, a July record. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Lake Charles LA was drenched with a month's worth of rain during the early morning. More than five inches of rain soaked the city, including 2.68 inches in one hour. A thunderstorm in the southern Yakima Valley of Washington State produced high winds which downed trees up to six feet in diameter. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Twenty-six cities in the north central and northeastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. Lows of 48 degrees at Providence RI, 48 degrees at Roanoke VA, 49 degrees at Stratford CT, and 48 degrees at Wilmington, DE, were records for the month of July. Boston MA equalled their record for July with a low of 50 degrees. Five inches of snow whitened Mount Washington NH. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Showers and thunderstorms associated with the low pressure system which was once Tropical Storm Allison continued to drench parts of Mississippi, Louisiana and eastern Texas. Late night thunderstorms produced 12.58 inches of rain at Biloxi, MS, in six hours, and 10.73 inches at Gulfport MS. Flooding in Mississippi over the first six days of the month caused 55 million dollars damage. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2002: San Antonio, Texas recorded 9.52 inches of rain on this day to set a new record for its greatest rainfall for the entire month of July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 Looks like a near normal weekend temperature wise and finally some real warmth for those who like it, this coming week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 More clouds than sun approaching Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 NAM has a line of storms coming through the NYC metro tomorrow evening. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 10 hours ago, CIK62 said: June ended at 70.0[-2.0]. I thought we were using 71.8 as the norm. The first 8 days of July are averaging 81degs.(73/89) or +4. It gets worse in Week 2. Comments? Typical GFS fluff? Reached at 80 at Noon---then fell back. Today: 80-85, wind s. to e., cloudy by Noon, Rain by midnight, 70 tomorrow AM. 71*(82%RH) here at 7am{was 69 earlier}. 73* at 9am. 75* at Noon. Are these GFS temps ever right?!?!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 3 hours ago, JonClaw said: NAM has a line of storms coming through the NYC metro tomorrow evening. That would be incredible if it verified. That’s a beautiful little MCS that would definitely have wind. I don’t want to jinx it, it’s been tuff getting anything to survive east of the city. The good news is water temps have warmed up tremendously in the last week, into the low 70s near shore. From wetsuits needed to nice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 And we’re back. Rain chances for tomorrow dwindling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 1, 2023 Share Posted July 1, 2023 An advancing warm front will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region tonight through tomorrow night. Afterward, it will turn warmer than normal. The Tuesday-Thursday period could see temperatures reach or exceed 90° in parts of the region. Afterward, near to somewhat above normal readings will likely prevail through mid-month. The hottest weather so far has now moved into the Desert Southwest. Through 4 pm PST, Phoenix had a high temperature of 114°, which was just below the daily record of 115° from 1990. Phoenix could see temperatures reach or exceed 115° tomorrow and Monday. Death Valley will likely exceed 120°. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.0°C for the week centered around June 21. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.37°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.77°C. El Niño conditions have developed and will likely continue to strengthen through at least the summer. The SOI was +18.77 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.347 today. On June 29 the MJO was in Phase 2 at an amplitude of 0.962 (RMM). The June 28-adjusted amplitude was 0.831 (RMM). 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 7/1 New Brnswck: 84 PHL: 84 TTN: 84 EWR: 83 TEB: 83 LGA: 83 NYC: 83 BLM: 80 JFK: 80 ACY: 80 ISP: 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 oh look we are gunna miss that precip over pa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 1 hour ago, Snowlover11 said: oh look we are gunna miss that precip over pa Storms firing ahead of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LAVistaNY Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 The legendary Dr Frank Field has passed at 100 https://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/local/pioneering-former-wnbc-meteorologist-dr-frank-field-dies-at-100/4471040/ 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 Just had really good downpour on the south shore, it’s about time. Somehow all the precip managed to miss Manhattan though, the strike out streak continues there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 Very little rain here overnight. Surprising because most of the models had some. We shall see what happens this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 22 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Very little rain here overnight. Surprising because most of the models had some. We shall see what happens this afternoon The rains have been disappointing for our area. NW NJ and parts of SNJ have done well. Not so much for many central regions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 The next 8 days are averaging 83degs.(74/92) or +6. Reached 80 here yesterday at 5pm. Today: 80-85, wind variable, cloudy, Rain by 6pm, 75 tomorrow AM. 72*(94%RH) here at 7am{ was 72 at 4am}. 74* at 9am. 77* at 10am. 80* at 11am. 81* at Noon. 83* at 2pm. Reached 84* at 6pm. 74* at 9pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 We had 3 inches last week. Its fine if we dont get anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 In Smithtown and I’m already .39” with another isolated shower possibly about to scrape me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 77/ 70. Humidity is back and with it the clouds and storms the next 48 hours. Sun(7/2) and Mon (7/3) cloudy with some breaks of sun which will warm it quickly with 850s >18c hovering around the area. Storms will fire in the evening/ pm and some will be soakers. More widespread storms on Mon pm. The fourth looks mainly dry , partly cloudy and warm upper 80s to low 90s where the sun is out for longer periods. There is still energy passing through which could trigger isolated storms. Wed (7/5) - Fri (7/7) hotter and humid. Upper 80s to low 90s. Areas that get a 90 on the fourth could get seasons first heatwave by Thu. Fri storms come later and pending on timing and clouds, could allow a 3rd of 4th for some 90 degrees. Next weekend 7/8 - 7/11 more humid and storms chances caught between ridge shooting over the top into Canada and building southeast ridge. Storms chances but warm in between. Way beyond western Atlarntic ridge expanding west and could commence change to a longer warmer duration. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 Another wiff here on the rains so far...amazing how we keep missing it all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 Records: Highs: EWR: 102 (1966) LGA: 101 (1966) NYC: 100 (1966) Lows: EWR: 56 (2001) NYC: 56 (2001) LGA: 58 (2001) Historical: 1833 - An unusually large New England tornado, one half to three quarters of a mile wide, went from Salem Pond to Norton Pond, VT, and then into Canada. It prostrated nearly everything in its path. (The Weather Channel) 1833: The following is from the "History and Description of New England" published in 1860: "On the 2nd of July, 1833, this town (Holland, Vermont) was visited by a violent tornado, which commenced on Salem Pond in Salem, and passed over this place in a northeasterly direction. It was from half to three-quarters of a mile wide and prostrated and scattered nearly all the trees, fences, and buildings in its course. It crossed the outlet of Norton Pond and passed into Canada, and its path could be traced through the forests nearly to Connecticut River." 1843 - An alligator reportedly fell from the sky onto Anson Street in Charleston, SC, during a thunderstorm. (David Ludlum) 1987 - Thunderstorms in Colorado produced hail as large as golf balls northwest of Kiowa, which accumulated to a depth of twelve inches. Hail two and a half inches in diameter was reported at Black Forest. Hail damaged 900 acres of crops south of the town of Wiggins. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Twenty-six cities in the eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. The morning low of 47 degrees at Roanoke, VA, broke the July record set the previous day. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the south central U.S., with 158 reports of large hail and damaging winds through the day. Evening thunderstorms in northeastern Texas produced softball size hail which caused more than five million dollars damage at Allen, and wind gusts to 90 mph at Dallas, which injured eight persons and caused seven million dollars damage. Winnfield LA reported 29.52 inches of rain in six days, for a total of 62.50 inches for the first six months of the year. Midland, TX, reported an all-time record high of 112 degrees. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 2001: In Michigan, frost and freezing temperatures were observed in some locations with Grant dropping to 29 degrees. Muskegon reported their coldest July temperature on record with 39 degrees. Other daily record lows included: Lansing: 38, Muskegon: 39, Flint: 40, Youngstown, Ohio: 40, and Grand Rapids, Michigan: 43 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 Multiple rounds of heavy showers this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 .27 this morning, around 5.5" over the past 10 days. We good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 .2 today (so far) from 2 rounds of showers early this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted July 2, 2023 Share Posted July 2, 2023 Just .03" here overnight into this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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