SchaumburgStormer Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 1.51” of needed rain here. Con on the low end of rain locally but you wouldn’t know it with the green up that quickly occurred 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 9 hours ago, SolidIcewx said: Pretty sure your under that Nader watch right? Going to be interesting for y’all tonight. If I didn’t work early I’d blast the 120 miles home Got woken up to Warning and sirens. The cell was moving perfectly to MBY. Moved my cars away from trees. Sirens turn off. Looked at radar. Per NWS: Warning canceled as storm lost severe capabilities. Next the lightning stopped 3 miles from MBY. Winds maybe gusted to 5-10 MPH. Howell airport => 0.7" of rain. Flint airport => 2.5" of rain. Models that had this system north => correct. Others NG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 13 minutes ago, Lightning said: Got woken up to Warning and sirens. The cell was moving perfectly to MBY. Moved my cars away from trees. Sirens turn off. Looked at radar. Per NWS: Warning canceled as storm lost severe capabilities. Next the lightning stopped 3 miles from MBY. Winds maybe gusted to 5-10 MPH. Howell airport => 0.7" of rain. Flint airport => 2.5" of rain. Models that had this system north => correct. Others NG. 1.91" at home, 1.68" at GRR through midnight, close to 3" at Grand Ledge and numerous totals in the 2" range. Overall I'd say GRR forecasted this one pretty well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 14 hours ago, WestMichigan said: 1.91" at home, 1.68" at GRR through midnight, close to 3" at Grand Ledge and numerous totals in the 2" range. Overall I'd say GRR forecasted this one pretty well. Glad to see SW MI did well. As you can see so did the northern 1/2 of DTX. Unfortunately I was on the southern edge and the greater totals just to my north. It happens. Just a bit annoying as yesterday morning my forecast was 2-3" and even the evening update had 1-2" totals. Some models agreed with this forecast but others had it just to my north. I think NWS did great but unfortunately for me the further north models were correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 Good news is that rain is going into Quebec so hopefully will help with the fires out there 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 9 hours ago, WestMichigan said: 1.91" at home, 1.68" at GRR through midnight, close to 3" at Grand Ledge and numerous totals in the 2" range. Overall I'd say GRR forecasted this one pretty well. This area is where the bust happened again. Forecasted 1-2 inches of rain and ended up with .75! Good news is the grass is green again thanks to the recent rains that has fallen here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 Oh joy, more thick wildfire smoke is forecast to move into Minnesota overnight and degrade our air quality. 0.57” of precip in July and no relief in sight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 Near-constant thunder in Madison now. Between yesterday and today, Goosebumps Girl's prayers are being answered after the last 90 days of absolute dog shit. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 2 hours ago, Harry said: This area is where the bust happened again. Forecasted 1-2 inches of rain and ended up with .75! Good news is the grass is green again thanks to the recent rains that has fallen here. Is that a bust though? .75 vs 1-2" is pretty close to the lower bound. Yeah its an under performance sure, but a bust no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 Mid-Michigan went from drought to 2-4" of rain yesterday, with, of course, more before that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 3 hours ago, CheeselandSkies said: Near-constant thunder in Madison now. Between yesterday and today, Goosebumps Girl's prayers are being answered after the last 90 days of absolute dog shit. I drove right next to that lower cell today as it was developing. It was very cool!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 4 hours ago, OrdIowPitMsp said: Oh joy, more thick wildfire smoke is forecast to move into Minnesota overnight and degrade our air quality. 0.57” of precip in July and no relief in sight. Just drove all the way to Waseca MN today. Was driving around with those storms along the 14 between Rochester and Waseca. Way cool to see the full storm cell structure. Too many trees in MI. I was loving it today driving with these storms too play with I will say Rochester MN was the driest area on my drive between MI to MN. Couple parts in southern WI were a bit dry too. Southern MI, Northern IN and northern IL are very green now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 1 hour ago, Lightning said: Just drove all the way to Waseca MN today. Was driving around with those storms along the 14 between Rochester and Waseca. Way cool to see the full storm cell structure. Too many trees in MI. I was loving it today driving with these storms too play with I will say Rochester MN was the driest area on my drive between MI to MN. Couple parts in southern WI were a bit dry too. Southern MI, Northern IN and northern IL are very green now That part of MN is basically a northern extension of Iowa. Southern Minnesota has gotten more rains this summer, it’s been between the twin cities and Duluth that seems to have it the worst. Feeling blessed though, just had a garden variety storm roll through. MSP gusted to 60mph whoa. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 19 minutes ago, OrdIowPitMsp said: That part of MN is basically a northern extension of Iowa. Southern Minnesota has gotten more rains this summer, it’s been between the twin cities and Duluth that seems to have it the worst. Feeling blessed though, just had a garden variety storm roll through. MSP gusted to 60mph whoa. Yeah these storms are moving fast. That's a good gust. Hopefully things get wets for points north as summer progresses Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 0.16” overnight with the quick storm. Jah Blessed 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 upcoming stretch looks nice, off and on storm chances and no real heat, best climo stuff now that the drought is in check 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 I miss heat and storms with good lightning. Its lush again, but still an uninteresting summer up here and the long range is disappointing again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 On 7/10/2023 at 11:15 PM, Jonger said: Do you really believe anything pre 1860s? Yes, I have a lot of confidence in those readings. It's measuring air temperature, not rocket science. They used sheltered mercury thermometers that were properly calibrated, and carefully observed the temperature three times daily. These aren't records from a random Joe, but War Department records from the Signal Service Corps generally taken by army surgeons. The tri-daily mean actually produces a warming bias compared to the average of maximum and minimum, so if anything it was cooler than reported. In any case, it's a LOT easier to produce spuriously high temperatures than low temperatures. The readings also line up with each other, as well as our understanding of climate change and impacts of land use changes and urbanization over time. And they are in line with the earliest Weather Bureau readings which show a lot of cool temperatures, especially in 1875. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 22 hours ago, OrdIowPitMsp said: Oh joy, more thick wildfire smoke is forecast to move into Minnesota overnight and degrade our air quality. 0.57” of precip in July and no relief in sight. Yep, over me right now. Thick enough to block the Sun a bit. Nasty skies. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 Indiana Dept of Environmental Management an Air Quality Alert for Sunday for that smoke. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted July 14, 2023 Author Share Posted July 14, 2023 3 hours ago, frostfern said: I miss heat and storms with good lightning. Its lush again, but still an uninteresting summer up here and the long range is disappointing again. This month is shot. Going through the whole month of July without a 90-degree day is an absolute lock. We've maxed out on the highest temp of the month earlier last week. If we're not going to get any real heat, bring on Fall. I'm surprised Scott Sabol on Twitter has not brought up anything about the recent overdue ridging in the Bering Sea that has been occurring since Tuesday. Backloaded heat in August, anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjwise Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 Looking hazy and intermittently smoky on the surface on the smoke HRRR for Northern Ill starting Sat morning all the way through Sun. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 Had a nice little period of 40 mph gusts with the gust front a short while ago. That knocked the temp back a good 20 degrees. Now the heavy rain is moving in, and thunder is getting louder. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 15, 2023 Share Posted July 15, 2023 Got about a quarter inch. About 3.5" for July now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted July 15, 2023 Share Posted July 15, 2023 My place has had some late night warm-frontish showers last night at 10:30. Starting this morning, there was steady rain, some of which was moderate. That has mainly stopped. There still hasn't been lightning in these two days. It's just incredible, there's been like 2 days of lightning this summer. I guess Thor went elsewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted July 15, 2023 Share Posted July 15, 2023 22 hours ago, mjwise said: Looking hazy and intermittently smoky on the surface on the smoke HRRR for Northern Ill starting Sat morning all the way through Sun. It's baaaaaack. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted July 16, 2023 Share Posted July 16, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowtie` Posted July 16, 2023 Share Posted July 16, 2023 ^ ugly morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted July 16, 2023 Share Posted July 16, 2023 Smoke has mostly cleared up this way. Nice day on tap with a high forecast of 70 and a decent shot at some thundershowers later in the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 This is a swath of smokiness that rivals some of the ones from earlier this summer. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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