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Central PA Summer 2023


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  On 7/9/2023 at 6:36 PM, canderson said:
Wow 
I'm thinking we hit 2.5" unless some backbuilding occurs. I really have no idea. Every meso was out to lunch in there own way. Props to NWS for falling back on good old analysis and not budging when a few mesos wanted to give Waynesboro less than a 0.25". No one is going to be able to pinpoint huge convective totals, but it was funny this morning seeing Twitter weather folk takes on all this. What's nuts is outside philly already got smoked by morning convection. There was one young meteorologist from Cornell that his senior project all about the great floods of northeast and Mid-Atlantic that put his neck out about what he thought purely based on dynamics and history, saying this might be the closest event as compared to Irene and Lee the whole area has had since those events. It's not there yet, but it sure is trending there in some places.

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  On 7/9/2023 at 6:44 PM, canderson said:
It’s currently stoped. 1.4”. I’m actually thankful I missed all the pre-game activity.
 
I did see a video and they might have to close the Harvey Taylor westbound. It looks pretty flooded right where the bridge hits the west shore. 
You're about to get whacked hard once more

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  On 7/9/2023 at 6:40 PM, Bubbler86 said:
Definitely cannot assume rain based on radar.    The cells reform/adjust in whatever direction they want. .9 (not .09) here with it winding down to lighter rain.   2.2" the last 26-27 days. 
Radar estimate is 1", 2 Davis weather stations say 1.5"

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  On 7/9/2023 at 6:53 PM, Jns2183 said:

Radar estimate is 1", 2 Davis weather stations say 1.5"

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It only rained hard here for about 30-40 min so we did not get 1.5'.  Any wunderground or other reports out of West Wanynesboro that are under 3" are faulty.  Most of that area had 1-2" or higher rates for over 120 min.  I have one 5.2" reading and one 4.6"

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  On 7/9/2023 at 7:08 PM, Bubbler86 said:
It only rained hard here for about 30-40 min so we did not get 1.5'.  Any wunderground or other reports out of West Wanynesboro that are under 3" are faulty.  Most of that area had 1-2" or higher rates for over 120 min.  I have one 5.2" reading and one 4.6"
I'm saying the dual-pol radar estimates are way under weather station rain gauges, which tend to happen in events like this

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