Bubbler86 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Definitely cannot assume rain based on radar. The cells reform/adjust in whatever direction they want. .9 (not .09) here with it winding down to lighter rain. 2.2" the last 26-27 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Checking in from West Hempfield. We finally got in on the action here. Got absolutely mauled to the tune of almost 3/4” in like 15 mins. Gonna be a wild ride! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 9, 2023 Author Share Posted July 9, 2023 It’s currently stoped. 1.4”. I’m actually thankful I missed all the pre-game activity. I did see a video and they might have to close the Harvey Taylor westbound. It looks pretty flooded right where the bridge hits the west shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Wow I'm thinking we hit 2.5" unless some backbuilding occurs. I really have no idea. Every meso was out to lunch in there own way. Props to NWS for falling back on good old analysis and not budging when a few mesos wanted to give Waynesboro less than a 0.25". No one is going to be able to pinpoint huge convective totals, but it was funny this morning seeing Twitter weather folk takes on all this. What's nuts is outside philly already got smoked by morning convection. There was one young meteorologist from Cornell that his senior project all about the great floods of northeast and Mid-Atlantic that put his neck out about what he thought purely based on dynamics and history, saying this might be the closest event as compared to Irene and Lee the whole area has had since those events. It's not there yet, but it sure is trending there in some places. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 It’s currently stoped. 1.4”. I’m actually thankful I missed all the pre-game activity. I did see a video and they might have to close the Harvey Taylor westbound. It looks pretty flooded right where the bridge hits the west shore. You're about to get whacked hard once moreSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 9, 2023 Author Share Posted July 9, 2023 2 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: You're about to get whacked hard once more Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk My wife is upstairs napping so I haven’t said anything for her to hit me. I’m good I swear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Definitely cannot assume rain based on radar. The cells reform/adjust in whatever direction they want. .9 (not .09) here with it winding down to lighter rain. 2.2" the last 26-27 days. Radar estimate is 1", 2 Davis weather stations say 1.5"Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Over an inch here and still dumping. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 0.71" here in the last 90 minutes. Diminishing now, just light to moderate. 68.0 degrees. MTD rainfall = 3.19" ; YTD = 19.03". Rapidly closing the big precip gap, down to less than 3" deficit to date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 9, 2023 Author Share Posted July 9, 2023 It’s weakening south/sw of me. Radar looks like much lighter rain so that’s good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Started pouring again. 1.95in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Started pouring again. 1.95inThis has all fallen since 1:30Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 13 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: Radar estimate is 1", 2 Davis weather stations say 1.5" Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk It only rained hard here for about 30-40 min so we did not get 1.5'. Any wunderground or other reports out of West Wanynesboro that are under 3" are faulty. Most of that area had 1-2" or higher rates for over 120 min. I have one 5.2" reading and one 4.6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Started pouring again. 1.95in1.91" hereSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 1 minute ago, Jns2183 said: This has all fallen since 1:30 Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Yup my station had 0.00 when we got home around 12:30pm today. Impressive storms. Wonder what highest totals are gonna be wouldn't suprise me if we see some 6+ readings in areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 It only rained hard here for about 30-40 min so we did not get 1.5'. Any wunderground or other reports out of West Wanynesboro that are under 3" are faulty. Most of that area had 1-2" or higher rates for over 120 min. I have one 5.2" reading and one 4.6"I'm saying the dual-pol radar estimates are way under weather station rain gauges, which tend to happen in events like thisSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Have surged well past an inch here with the upstream radar looking diabolical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 2.10" now@canderson we now get into more strata rain but still think we end up with closer to 2.5"Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Anyone have link to 5 min observation from kmdtSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 So apparently we get pwat values near 2" once more for the end of next weekSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 9, 2023 Author Share Posted July 9, 2023 Crazy but I’m going to finish with more than 1” less than I got Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Crazy but I’m going to finish with more than 1” less than I got Friday. What are you at?That cell Friday sat over you for 90 minutes though. I never thought you would break 3"Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 9, 2023 Author Share Posted July 9, 2023 2 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: What are you at? That cell Friday sat over you for 90 minutes though. I never thought you would break 3" Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Had 3.1” Friday. 1.6” currently and it’s very very light and nothing heavy on the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Had 3.1” Friday. 1.6” currently and it’s very very light and nothing heavy on the way. Seems like next 2 hours will be that way. I was hoping for 1.5"+. Have close to 2.25". I'm wondering if kmdt even sees 1.5"Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 2.01 here now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 9, 2023 Author Share Posted July 9, 2023 3 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: Seems like next 2 hours will be that way. I was hoping for 1.5"+. Have close to 2.25". I'm wondering if kmdt even sees 1.5" Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk River really was a cutoff here today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 River really was a cutoff here today There's going to be multiple small cutoffs. North of reading has 7". Waynesboro has 5', New Bloomfield has 6", York and Lancaster aren't over yet. Welcome to convection lottery Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 42 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: Anyone have link to 5 min observation from kmdt Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=Kmdt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Biglerville has 0.31"Gettysburg has 0.18"So what I take from this is everyone's predictions good and bad verified within 25 miles of any location, which is the standard the NWS usesSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 9, 2023 Author Share Posted July 9, 2023 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=Kmdt So ~1.4”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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