Itstrainingtime Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 18 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: I have been completely screwed here all day, fringed in every way imaginable on all sides with every cell or band. Serves me right for staying positive haha. Glad to see others are making out well though. You are just missing a nice blob of rain to your east. I'm in East Pete and it's a deluge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 It rained for like, twenty minutes out this way this morning and not a drop since. I miss the sun. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 Stuff down near DC currently might impact more of the LSV in the next few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 .83 of rain of rain in Marysville so far today. 1.49 of rain so far this week in Marysville. Lots of green is reappearing outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: .83 of rain of rain in Marysville so far today. 1.49 of rain so far this week in Marysville. Lots of green is reappearing outside. I will need to resume my mow count soon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 Stuff down near DC currently might impact more of the LSV in the next few hours.The good stuff getting shunted east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 Our favorite California locationMammoth LakesSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 22 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: Our favorite California location Mammoth Lakes Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Did you steal ITT pics? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 Did you steal ITT pics? LOLMore like a different sub forum Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 The good stuff getting shunted east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 It's super humid, misting, with low visibility and low ceiling. Looked at WPC 7 day rain forecast. Ranges from 1"-1.25" down by Bubbler ramping up to 2" for Mechanicsburg, Harrisburg, York, and Lancaster and ramping up further as you go northeast with Pottsville looking at 3"+Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 Here is NOAA observed precipitation for the last 180, 90, 60, 30, 14, 7 days. Would just like to know if any of these are wrong for anyone's location. Thanks!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 Looks like Palmyra to Campbelltown to MT. Joy are our 180 day drought champions Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted June 24, 2023 Share Posted June 24, 2023 1 hour ago, Jns2183 said: It's super humid, misting, with low visibility and low ceiling. Looked at WPC 7 day rain forecast. Ranges from 1"-1.25" down by Bubbler ramping up to 2" for Mechanicsburg, Harrisburg, York, and Lancaster and ramping up further as you go northeast with Pottsville looking at 3"+ Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk How much for Marysville…. & Philly?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted June 24, 2023 Share Posted June 24, 2023 It's that time of the year! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted June 24, 2023 Share Posted June 24, 2023 How much for Marysville…. & Philly?!Marysville 2", Philadelphia 1.25", king of Prussia 2", Allentown 3", Poconos 4"+State College 1.5", Clearfield 1", Williamsport 2"Johnstown, Altoona, Pittsburgh 0.50"Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 24, 2023 Share Posted June 24, 2023 48 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: Marysville 2", Philadelphia 1.25", king of Prussia 2", Allentown 3", Poconos 4"+ State College 1.5", Clearfield 1", Williamsport 2" Johnstown, Altoona, Pittsburgh 0.50" Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk I probably post more WPC maps than anyone in here, but they have really struggled this week. Earlier in the week their 5 day map ending 7am Sunday had me between 3-5". With a day to go I'm sitting at .66" and there are quite a few with less than me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted June 24, 2023 Share Posted June 24, 2023 I probably post more WPC maps than anyone in here, but they have really struggled this week. Earlier in the week their 5 day map ending 7am Sunday had me between 3-5". With a day to go I'm sitting at .66" and there are quite a few with less than me.True, the thing is earlier in the week most models were showing a strong upper low in southwestern pa at this time pumping our area with 4 standard Deviation for this time of year easterly low level jet. That idea fell apart hard 24-36 hours ago on globals but mesos were still unsure and a mess. Frankly models the past month with this very unique pattern have been a bit of a hot mess nationwide but in a manner such that they nail stuff perfectly for awhile then majorly shit the bed for a bit. You saw some issues with the severe/flooding threat in gulf coast, and you saw all short term models completely whiff on storms even effecting Houston last night let alone 90mph winds, while still nailing the severe storms further west. Don't really know what you can even do. It's like nailing 90% of the nationwide forecast while whiffing bad on 10%, just that the area you whiff on is randomly generated each daySent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted June 24, 2023 Share Posted June 24, 2023 I believe Rex blocks have a long detailed and studied history of causing fits for models. Throw in that we've had for the last few years patterns that seem to get "stuck" for much longer time periods than climo says, upper lows being notoriously fickle, and driving convection as main precipitation mode and you get models that in long term default more and more on climo when pattern is unknown, thus leading to this situation. They did nail the cloudy "rainy weather for days part". I think them drawing a big circle over the northeast and Mid-Atlantic with a caption saying "cloudy, dreary, wet, rainfall between .50" and 6" next 3 days, we will let you know which camp you are in as convection fires each day" wouldn't go over to well. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 24, 2023 Share Posted June 24, 2023 6 hours ago, Jns2183 said: True, the thing is earlier in the week most models were showing a strong upper low in southwestern pa at this time pumping our area with 4 standard Deviation for this time of year easterly low level jet. That idea fell apart hard 24-36 hours ago on globals but mesos were still unsure and a mess. Frankly models the past month with this very unique pattern have been a bit of a hot mess nationwide but in a manner such that they nail stuff perfectly for awhile then majorly shit the bed for a bit. You saw some issues with the severe/flooding threat in gulf coast, and you saw all short term models completely whiff on storms even effecting Houston last night let alone 90mph winds, while still nailing the severe storms further west. Don't really know what you can even do. It's like nailing 90% of the nationwide forecast while whiffing bad on 10%, just that the area you whiff on is randomly generated each day Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk The following of the models makes the hobby fun for some...if they were always right it would be less exciting IMO. Most met's would not be needed either. Every friend I can think of knows how to read the GFS and specifically the precip panels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 24, 2023 Share Posted June 24, 2023 Speaking of models, the meso's have doubled down on the primary rains being done for the next couple days sans some widely scattered cells this afternoon and Sun afternoon. Graduation parties proceed with caution! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 24, 2023 Share Posted June 24, 2023 7 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: I probably post more WPC maps than anyone in here, but they have really struggled this week. Earlier in the week their 5 day map ending 7am Sunday had me between 3-5". With a day to go I'm sitting at .66" and there are quite a few with less than me. Still just .6 here so on the same boat as you. That is .6 over a 5-day period which means I lost ground to the drought as to ground water this week as I should have had .66...who would have thunk after all the gaudy forecats and earlier model love for big rains? The news is better for grass as the lack of sun has limited top level surface drying despite the limited rain compared to what was forecasted. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted June 24, 2023 Share Posted June 24, 2023 10 hours ago, Jns2183 said: Marysville 2", Philadelphia 1.25", king of Prussia 2", Allentown 3", Poconos 4"+ State College 1.5", Clearfield 1", Williamsport 2" Johnstown, Altoona, Pittsburgh 0.50" Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Lol, Thanks… my post was was just joking around. It was in reference to the old weather board days when a Winter storm was approaching, some poster would always ask, “How much for Philly!” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted June 24, 2023 Share Posted June 24, 2023 10 hours ago, Jns2183 said: Marysville 2", Philadelphia 1.25", king of Prussia 2", Allentown 3", Poconos 4"+ State College 1.5", Clearfield 1", Williamsport 2" Johnstown, Altoona, Pittsburgh 0.50" Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Showing me only having 0.94” for the month. Radar is clear and it’s raining here....go figure. yesterday only picked up 0.03” Not sure what I got overnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted June 24, 2023 Share Posted June 24, 2023 .16 of rain overnight in Marysville. My total for the week is now 1.65. This is putting a little dent in the drought around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted June 24, 2023 Share Posted June 24, 2023 Dew point in Marysville is up to a disgusting 67. This is the highest that my dew point has been in some time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted June 24, 2023 Share Posted June 24, 2023 Today A chance of showers before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between noon and 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. Areas of fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 83. Calm wind becoming west around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Tonight Showers and thunderstorms likely before midnight, then a slight chance of showers between midnight and 4am. Areas of fog after 11pm. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 65. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Sunday A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. West wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Sunday Night A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Light southeast wind. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Monday Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce gusty winds. High near 85. Southeast wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible. Monday Night Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then a chance of showers. Low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible. Tuesday Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. High near 80. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Tuesday Night Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Wednesday A chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 80. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Wednesday Night Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Thursday A chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Thursday Night A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Friday A chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted June 24, 2023 Share Posted June 24, 2023 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: Today A chance of showers before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between noon and 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. Areas of fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 83. Calm wind becoming west around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Tonight Showers and thunderstorms likely before midnight, then a slight chance of showers between midnight and 4am. Areas of fog after 11pm. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 65. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Sunday A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. West wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Sunday Night A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Light southeast wind. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Monday Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce gusty winds. High near 85. Southeast wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible. Monday Night Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then a chance of showers. Low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible. Tuesday Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. High near 80. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Tuesday Night Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Wednesday A chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 80. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Wednesday Night Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Thursday A chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Thursday Night A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Friday A chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 30%. This is the CTP forecast near me… Lots of chances this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted June 24, 2023 Share Posted June 24, 2023 I get up, get my morning coffee, go sit outside on the patio, and was shocked at how chilly it felt. Looked at the two closest PW stations, and holy crap... It's 58 degrees...in late June...in Phoenix, AZ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted June 24, 2023 Share Posted June 24, 2023 5 minutes ago, Voyager said: I get up, get my morning coffee, go sit outside on the patio, and was shocked at how chilly it felt. Looked at the two closest PW stations, and holy crap... It's 58 degrees...in late June...in Phoenix, AZ! Enjoy! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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