Central PA Summer 2023

[Itstrainingtime]

Just now, sauss06 said:

Are you going up? 

I wont be able to watch it because of our parade, i guess i should be thankful this is the game on peacock

I am not - my football slate for 2023 is the PSU White Out game and Pittsburgh - Green Bay. 

 

[Jns2183]

I am not - my football slate for 2023 is the PSU White Out game and Pittsburgh - Green Bay. 
 

The 2005 Ohio State game is my vote for craziest atmosphere and loudest I ever heard that stadium

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[Superstorm]

Was only able to get down to 70.0F this morning. Going to be a hot one next three days.


.

[canderson]

17 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

The 2005 Ohio State game is my vote for craziest atmosphere and loudest I ever heard that stadium

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I think the loudest sports event I've ever attended was when Texas played and beat OSU at the Horseshoe in 2005. My teeth hurt from the chattering the noise caused. Fenway in the ALCS 2004 Game 5 was really, really loud too. 

[Mount Joy Snowman]

14 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

The 2005 Ohio State game is my vote for craziest atmosphere and loudest I ever heard that stadium

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I was there and I agree.  A total program-shifting moment.

As for weather, so to recap.......we broke the record Monday, tied yesterday's record, and have legit shots at today and tomorrow's records, which stand at 96.  Quite the impressive event we've got going here.  Then hopefully some rain and relief. 

[Bubbler86]

Early 12Z Meso's suggest Friday will be cooler for much of PA with the LSV's chances of staying under 90 depending on front timing and where it stalls.   Not as hot as today or tomorrow though.    Tomorrow is a frying pan for the Central and Southern LSV, Lehigh Valley and SE PA while clouds and rain keep the rest of PA out of the 90's tomorrow as well.   HRRR and 3K both have scattered thunder/showers for Western LSV overnight tonight as a piece of energy moves by to the N/W. 

[mitchnick]

Jumping back to the Euro Seasonal, I would definitely not give up on December.  The only free maps the Euro site offers are world and N. Hemisphere views. As such, attached are the World 850 temp ensemble mean anomaly maps for December and January. Both months have us in the normal range with December closer to slightly AN and January closer to slightly BN. 

Thus, we could definitely score in December, mostly likely a single event like 12/82 where BWI had a coastal that dropped 6.7" with Biglerville at 2". And despite that event, BWI was still +3.4 degrees AN for December.

Finally, also attached is the 500mb anomaly for 12/82 that was butt ugly but still didn't prevent a coastal.

[Itstrainingtime]

9 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Early 12Z Meso's suggest Friday will be cooler for much of PA with the LSV's chances of staying under 90 depending on front timing and where it stalls.   Not as hot as today or tomorrow though.    Tomorrow is a frying pan for the Central and Southern LSV, Lehigh Valley and SE PA while clouds and rain keep the rest of PA out of the 90's tomorrow as well.   HRRR and 3K both have scattered thunder/showers for Western LSV overnight tonight as a piece of energy moves by to the N/W. 

For Lanco, MU is going 96-100 for today, 94-98 tomorrow, and 90-94 for Friday. 

Currently in Maytown it's 88.3, which is the hottest it's been prior to 11am in 2023. 

[Itstrainingtime]

1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

Jumping back to the Euro Seasonal, I would definitely not give up on December.  The only free maps the Euro site offers are world and N. Hemisphere views. As such, attached are the World 850 temp ensemble mean anomaly maps for December and January. Both months have us in the normal range with December closer to slightly AN and January closer to slightly BN. 

Thus, we could definitely score in December, mostly likely a single event like 12/82 where BWI had a coastal that dropped 6.7" with Biglerville at 2". And despite that event, BWI was still +3.4 degrees AN for December.

Finally, also attached is the 500mb anomaly for 12/82 that was butt ugly but still didn't prevent a coastal.

Thanks - we had that early snow in '82 that you mentioned and then it was a long, mostly snowless wait until the big boy arrived on 2/13/83. 

[Bubbler86]

3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

For Lanco, MU is going 96-100 for today, 94-98 tomorrow, and 90-94 for Friday. 

Currently in Maytown it's 88.3, which is the hottest it's been prior to 11am in 2023. 

Right now, I think you guys get over 90 Friday.  Western LSV not so sure.  82 here right now.  We have reached 89 and 91 the last 2 days.    The Valley over here was warmer both days. 

[Bubbler86]

1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said:

For Lanco, MU is going 96-100 for today, 94-98 tomorrow, and 90-94 for Friday. 

Currently in Maytown it's 88.3, which is the hottest it's been prior to 11am in 2023. 

This RGEM map is a great example of how hard the forecast looks for the LSV on Friday.   I have to get a roof on at a place, so it is a personal worry here. 

 

[pasnownut]

1 hour ago, sauss06 said:

yep, this is the earliest in awhile that i have taken notice to the leaf drop. My 100+ year old lilacs are about 80% off.  

Yeah my plumb trees are over 50% dropped as well.  Forgot to mention them. 

[pasnownut]

41 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Jumping back to the Euro Seasonal, I would definitely not give up on December.  The only free maps the Euro site offers are world and N. Hemisphere views. As such, attached are the World 850 temp ensemble mean anomaly maps for December and January. Both months have us in the normal range with December closer to slightly AN and January closer to slightly BN. 

Thus, we could definitely score in December, mostly likely a single event like 12/82 where BWI had a coastal that dropped 6.7" with Biglerville at 2". And despite that event, BWI was still +3.4 degrees AN for December.

Finally, also attached is the 500mb anomaly for 12/82 that was butt ugly but still didn't prevent a coastal.

Yeah we gotta feel some kinda special if those maps verify.  To your point, if we can pull off a normalish December, I'd think many would be just fine w/ that.  While its not prime time, if its feeling seasonal, thats a big + in my book.  While we were sans snow...last year was the most normal feeling December that I can remember in a while.  Was nice.

Noone wants to revisit the mental images of @sauss06 in bermuda shorts for Christmas.  J/k buddy.  If anyone can pull it off, you can.

[WX-PA]

52 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Jumping back to the Euro Seasonal, I would definitely not give up on December.  The only free maps the Euro site offers are world and N. Hemisphere views. As such, attached are the World 850 temp ensemble mean anomaly maps for December and January. Both months have us in the normal range with December closer to slightly AN and January closer to slightly BN. 

Thus, we could definitely score in December, mostly likely a single event like 12/82 where BWI had a coastal that dropped 6.7" with Biglerville at 2". And despite that event, BWI was still +3.4 degrees AN for December.

Finally, also attached is the 500mb anomaly for 12/82 that was butt ugly but still didn't prevent a coastal.

Hey Mitch welcome to Central PA.

[sauss06]

1 hour ago, pasnownut said:

Yeah we gotta feel some kinda special if those maps verify.  To your point, if we can pull off a normalish December, I'd think many would be just fine w/ that.  While its not prime time, if its feeling seasonal, thats a big + in my book.  While we were sans snow...last year was the most normal feeling December that I can remember in a while.  Was nice.

Noone wants to revisit the mental images of @sauss06 in bermuda shorts for Christmas.  J/k buddy.  If anyone can pull it off, you can.

Believe me, i don't want that either. 

[Bubbler86]

2PM:  CXY 97, MDT 93, ROU 88. 

[Itstrainingtime]

11 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

2PM:  CXY 97, MDT 93, ROU 88. 

MAY 93

[Bubbler86]

9 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

MAY 93

Both CXY and MDT have vacillated up and down from the peak over the last 30 main so may be near top as both stations reporting little to no clouds.   MDT actually snuck a 94 in between readings/round up at some point earlier. 

[Bubbler86]

SLGT in September. 

 

 

 

 

[Itstrainingtime]

33 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

SLGT in September. 

 

 

 

 

Pretty rare minus tropical influence. 

[canderson]

95 at the house

[Itstrainingtime]

Even with all of the records that have already been set...is it fair to suggest that in some small way that the heat has actually underperformed just a bit? 

The 97 on Monday was impressive. It seems like the past 2 days have fallen a little short of "what could have been."

[Jns2183]

Even with all of the records that have already been set...is it fair to suggest that in some small way that the heat has actually underperformed just a bit? 
The 97 on Monday was impressive. It seems like the past 2 days have fallen a little short of "what could have been."

99,97,97 is pretty hot

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[Itstrainingtime]

1 minute ago, Jns2183 said:

99,97,97 is pretty hot

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No doubt - but those aren't indicative of all areas. I was forecast to reach the upper 90s the past 2 days and have not done so. In fact, the worst of the heatwave was to be the past 2 days, but Monday was the worst. 

My comment/question was really intended to be more fun than critical. Maybe I'm looking for positives to help stay cool.   

[Itstrainingtime]

I'll try once again - the last several of these that I posted were pretty big fails. Has to be right this time...

[Bubbler86]

9 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

No doubt - but those aren't indicative of all areas. I was forecast to reach the upper 90s the past 2 days and have not done so. In fact, the worst of the heatwave was to be the past 2 days, but Monday was the worst. 

My comment/question was really intended to be more fun than critical. Maybe I'm looking for positives to help stay cool.   

I reached 90 one of the 3 days.  

[Bubbler86]

6 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

I'll try once again - the last several of these that I posted were pretty big fails. Has to be right this time...

Bring it Cap'n! 

[Itstrainingtime]

2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Bring it Cap'n! 

Trying...

[Mount Joy Snowman]

48 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Even with all of the records that have already been set...is it fair to suggest that in some small way that the heat has actually underperformed just a bit? 

The 97 on Monday was impressive. It seems like the past 2 days have fallen a little short of "what could have been."

We’ll see what tomorrow brings. I know you’re a fan of the “last day always pops the highest” mantra ha. But yeah, I think overall that’s a fair statement. 

[Bubbler86]

Looks like MDT topped out at 94.  88 here....CXY 97 or 98....THV 96 or 97.