sauss06 Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 11 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Mild 60 this AM. Rain almost here. feels damp Big W. have to pull out a Saturday win before heading to the other coast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 5 minutes ago, sauss06 said: feels damp Big W. have to pull out a Saturday win before heading to the other coast I was looking for you in there waving your pom pom/towel but alas, I do not know what you look like. Ha ha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 GFS drying up...today is the last rain for 10 days on the 6Z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 Don't know if this will happen...thoughts? Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 433 AM EDT Fri Jun 16 2023 PAZ036-057>059-063>066-170845- Franklin-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- 433 AM EDT Fri Jun 16 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Locally heavy showers and scattered strong thunderstorms will impact the region during the late morning and afternoon hours today. Some of the storms will be accompanied by gusty winds, frequent cloud to ground lightning and perhaps small hail. Ponding of water in low lying areas and rapid rises in some small streams could also occur. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 GFS drying up...today is the last rain for 10 days on the 6Z GFS. The GFS waffles between 8 days of rain and this every day it seemsSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 2 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: The GFS waffles between 8 days of rain and this every day it seems Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk True, but the pattern is what I am more looking at re: it does not have that blocky/ULL rotating near us look like it did recently. Next week looked quite wet just a few runs ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 9 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: Don't know if this will happen...thoughts? Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 433 AM EDT Fri Jun 16 2023 PAZ036-057>059-063>066-170845- Franklin-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- 433 AM EDT Fri Jun 16 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Locally heavy showers and scattered strong thunderstorms will impact the region during the late morning and afternoon hours today. Some of the storms will be accompanied by gusty winds, frequent cloud to ground lightning and perhaps small hail. Ponding of water in low lying areas and rapid rises in some small streams could also occur. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Radar looks juiced. The HRRR does have some of it tailing off as it advances east but if we get enough sun this afternoon, I suspect someone will get a decent storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 50 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: GFS drying up...today is the last rain for 10 days on the 6Z GFS. So I guess I better stock up on gas to pump water for the garden. I was hoping that the dryness was going to be a memory next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 5 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: So I guess I better stock up on gas to pump water for the garden. I was hoping that the dryness was going to be a memory next week. Who knows but it is not looking nearly as wet as a few days ago and much warmer without the clouds and rain....the whole setup is gone. 100 degrees 7 days from now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Who knows but it is not looking nearly as wet as a few days ago and much warmer without the clouds and raind....the whole setup is gone. 100 degrees 7 days from now. The carpet and tile guys mentioned this morning we might have to deal with wildfire smoke next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 Surely some terrain enhancement going on here but quite the slug still heading East. Should give yard waterers a break for the holiday weekend. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: GFS drying up...today is the last rain for 10 days on the 6Z GFS. Looks like the western southern tier is going to get a good hit. Just sprinkles up here. Edit: picked up 0.15” overnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 Mostly cloudy and 65. Really hoping that slug makes it here in a couple of hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 If that slug is all we have the next 10 days we will surely be in D3Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 38 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Mostly cloudy and 65. Really hoping that slug makes it here in a couple of hours. It is indeed minimizing as it comes out of the higher elevations. Fingers crossed it still gives you a good grass watering. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 32 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: If that slug is all we have the next 10 days we will surely be in D3 Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Sounds like it might not be: As expected, an initial band of rain and embedded T-storms is traversing northern MD and south-central PA from west-to-east this morning. Most areas will pick up 0.25-0.50” of rain from this. After a brief lull early this afternoon, a second round of showers/storms should erupt. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 Just now, Bubbler86 said: It is indeed minimizing as it comes out of the higher elevations. Fingers crossed it still gives you a good grass watering. I just posted MU's thoughts - I don't see any way that we get his amounts from that line over here in Lanco. I'm shocked he went that high for this initial round. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted June 16, 2023 Author Share Posted June 16, 2023 So I can't get in touch with my parents. They had a really really bad storm late last night. Have some friends driving an hour out to check on them, so send good vibes please and hope it's just a cell tower down there. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 1 minute ago, canderson said: So I can't get in touch with my parents. They had a really really bad storm late last night. Have some friends driving an hour out to check on them, so send good vibes please and hope it's just a cell tower down there. God that sucks. Really hope all is well and you get good news soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 I think the reason the models keep pushing back a pattern chance is that they basically throw up their hands after two weeks and default climate. When it gets closer the OP catch on to yet another wonky cut of low that acts as a block of any meaningful systems. Regardless, counting on a cut of low to get us out of this drought is like counting on penny slot winnings to pay the mortgage. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 Some showers and a couple t-storms already starting to pop both to the West and SE of Chester County PA. We should see this activity ramp up over the next couple hours. Most models have at least 0.25" with the NAM showing almost an inch for those lucky spots that get underneath one of the storms. Tomorrow looks nice with slightly below normal temps in the upper 70's. This chilly start to June is the 17th coldest first half of the month across 130 years of records for here in Chester County! Records for today: High 97 (1957) / Low 43 (1961) / 2.60" (1916) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 18 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I just posted MU's thoughts - I don't see any way that we get his amounts from that line over here in Lanco. I'm shocked he went that high for this initial round. I think we break 1/4" here...some juicer cells coming up toward Lanco from the SE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 15 minutes ago, canderson said: So I can't get in touch with my parents. They had a really really bad storm late last night. Have some friends driving an hour out to check on them, so send good vibes please and hope it's just a cell tower down there. shit. Wishing good thoughts for them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 17 minutes ago, canderson said: So I can't get in touch with my parents. They had a really really bad storm late last night. Have some friends driving an hour out to check on them, so send good vibes please and hope it's just a cell tower down there. Hopes that they are ok and just a phone issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 Well I was able to sneak in my mow this morning juuuust in time. Storms on the doorstep. Skies have darkened tremendously. Let’s get it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 Ended up with .40 here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Ended up with .40 here. Good deal! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 17 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Well I was able to sneak in my mow this morning juuuust in time. Storms on the doorstep. Skies have darkened tremendously. Let’s get it. Mow #16 will take place tomorrow in Maytown. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 Thunder is roaring in Conestoga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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