Anduril Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 18 minutes ago, canderson said: That’s ambitious. There is no instability so I don’t see strong winds (over 40) mixing down. Im not seeing anything really that shows particularly heavy wind other than some cells that look to come through in the overnight hours but maybe this is what they're basing the rain on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 Tonight Showers and thunderstorms likely before 11pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm between 11pm and 2am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 72. Southeast wind 6 to 9 mph becoming south after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: Tonight Showers and thunderstorms likely before 11pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm between 11pm and 2am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 72. Southeast wind 6 to 9 mph becoming south after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible. CTP sounds confident for the Harrisburg area tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted August 14, 2023 Share Posted August 14, 2023 Whoops forgot to post what my image was about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 41 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: First wave/round crushed me! .02" in the bucket. How much for Mt Joy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 27 minutes ago, Anduril said: Im not seeing anything really that shows particularly heavy wind other than some cells that look to come through in the overnight hours but maybe this is what they're basing the rain on I am sure the wind comments were based on weather during storms. They actually had damaging winds listed as a moderate possibility which is high for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 They actually mention tornados. ___________________ Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible Monday evening as a storm system moves over southern Pennsylvania. First a warm front lifts from south to north allowing for incredibly high levels of moisture to pool ahead of developing showers and thunderstorms to our southwest as we head past sunset. As the front lifts to our north these scattered showers and thunderstorms may increase in strength and number closer to sunset and into the early overnight hours. The biggest concerns are storms that produce strong damaging wind gusts greater than 60 miles per hour. There may storms that produce very heavy rainfall leading to localized flash flooding. Because of the advancing warm front and western motion of the thunderstorms that could create enough "spin" in the atmosphere to get these storms to rotate and a brief, spin-up tornado could form. https://www.wgal.com/article/impact-scattered-strong-to-severe-storms-possible-overnight/44812277# 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 19 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: How much for Mt Joy? I was in Mount Joy during the rain and it was very harden to tell. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 6 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I was in Mount Joy during the rain and it was very harden to tell. I bet it seemed to be great early but then tapered off as the serie....storm progressed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 15, 2023 Author Share Posted August 15, 2023 34 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: They actually mention tornados. ___________________ Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible Monday evening as a storm system moves over southern Pennsylvania. First a warm front lifts from south to north allowing for incredibly high levels of moisture to pool ahead of developing showers and thunderstorms to our southwest as we head past sunset. As the front lifts to our north these scattered showers and thunderstorms may increase in strength and number closer to sunset and into the early overnight hours. The biggest concerns are storms that produce strong damaging wind gusts greater than 60 miles per hour. There may storms that produce very heavy rainfall leading to localized flash flooding. Because of the advancing warm front and western motion of the thunderstorms that could create enough "spin" in the atmosphere to get these storms to rotate and a brief, spin-up tornado could form. https://www.wgal.com/article/impact-scattered-strong-to-severe-storms-possible-overnight/44812277# Did S&S or whatever those fools were called take over? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoralRed Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 Funny to read this while watching end of Twister, the ultimate weather geek movie. Either someone has had a bad day or an anti-weather geek managed to get hired at NWS: SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... As the rain moves away, there won`t be much of a break before showers move back through as the tail end of the storms systemd Drags a short wave across the lower lakes on Tuesday. All of this nonsense moves out for Wednesday with a nice day in store. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 15, 2023 Author Share Posted August 15, 2023 I was wrong. Big storm about to hit. Special weather statement for hail and 50+ mph winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 Massive downpour right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 Manual rain gauge 1.04” Weather station rain gauge showing. 1.54” Williamsport is showing them getting 1.59” Some steady rain last night. 68 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 .05 here for the evening. Looks like MDT did .36. Warm 71 this AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 Looks like Lanco did not do a lot last night but the HRRR and 3K both have a wave ride the front this afternoon to put them in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 .98 rain last night. Kudos to NWS for sticking to their game plan. On another note DT is mentioning 2 possible Derecho threats next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 15, 2023 Author Share Posted August 15, 2023 No wind at all and ..38” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 Grand total of .02” here. Yawn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 50 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Looks like Lanco did not do a lot last night but the HRRR and 3K both have a wave ride the front this afternoon to put them in the game. That might be the biggest understatement of the year. In the past 5 days, 2 separate systems were forecast to drop 1.5 - 2.5" of rain between them. My grand total from both was .04" I got nada last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 I got crushed last night with 1.17 of rain in Marysville. I want to save some of my winnings for the Winter… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 28 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Grand total of .02” here. Yawn. some mesos showed my area getting split in the qpf distribution yesterday, and that was a correct map. akron got a couple drops yesterday evening, and NWS showing no rain overnight (although the ground was moist when leaving for office). looks like many did well though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 .07” of rain in the bucket. Barely measurable.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 23 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: I got crushed last night with 1.17 of rain in Marysville. I want to save some of my winnings for the Winter… I'm hoping we are using all of our "colder than normal" chips up for the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Summit Snow Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 1.41" last night and now over 4" for the month. 19.42" since June 1st after not a drop in May. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 35 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Grand total of .02” here. Yawn. 33 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: That might be the biggest understatement of the year. In the past 5 days, 2 separate systems were forecast to drop 1.5 - 2.5" of rain between them. My grand total from both was .04" I got nada last night. I should clarify my post: I did receive .02" early yesterday evening. That was in addition to the .02" that I got from the last big rain event late last week. I did not receive anything overnight last night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 20 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I should clarify my post: I did receive .02" early yesterday evening. That was in addition to the .02" that I got from the last big rain event late last week. I did not receive anything overnight last night. Oh, so you got .04". I hope USGS took note of that! LOL. Parts of PA now have less the entire year than some posters here have had in ~ 2 or 2.5 months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 9 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Oh, so you got .04". I hope USGS took note of that! LOL. Parts of PA now have less the entire year than some posters here have had in ~ 2 or 2.5 months. Yes, .04" from both last week and yesterday/overnight combined. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 51 minutes ago, Superstorm said: .07” of rain in the bucket. Barely measurable. . I would have given my left arm for .07" to be in the cylinder this morning! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 On 8/13/2023 at 7:11 PM, TheDreamTraveler said: I'd love to know where these top coldest summers are here in Cumberland because I want to sleep with my windows open at night in the summer which I used to be able to do as a kid but can't anymore because it's just way too hot lmao You need to come on over to the soaring "peaks" of the Welsh Mountain anticline here in NW Chester County to enjoy those chilling nights of yesteryear!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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