Mount Joy Snowman Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 48 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Looks like we go through another strong storm with trailing frontal passage scenario around the Monday timeframe, and that could bring yet another bout of severe weather... Yeah I’ve been keeping a keen eye on that time frame. Hey @Bubbler86, some storms about to hit you or are they gonna slide by to the north? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 9 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Yeah I’ve been keeping a keen eye on that time frame. Hey @Bubbler86, some storms about to hit you or are they gonna slide by to the north? Thanks, looks like they may hit us or clip us at least. I was not watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 1 hour ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Yeah I’ve been keeping a keen eye on that time frame. Hey @Bubbler86, some storms about to hit you or are they gonna slide by to the north? The closest cell actually went south of us in a surprise move. All good, hope it to be pouring by the time I get up tomorrow. Edit, the storm reached back and watered us to the tune of .02. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 27 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The closest cell actually went south of us in a surprise move. All good, hope it to be pouring by the time I get up tomorrow. Edit, the storm reached back and watered us to the tune of .02. Mini bonus appetizer before tomorrow. CTP has upped expected amounts it looks like...calling for a general .5" - 1". Hopefully we can keep an every few/several days of rain pace. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 Sky getting dark I hear thunder looks like I'm in for a thunderstorm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 14 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Mini bonus appetizer before tomorrow. CTP has upped expected amounts it looks like...calling for a general .5" - 1". Hopefully we can keep an every few/several days of rain pace. Flood watches to our SW in West Virgina. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 CTP confirms high-end EF1 in York Co.... Public Information Statement National Weather Service State College PA 223 PM EDT Wed Aug 9 2023 ...NWS Damage Survey for 08/07/2023 Tornado Event... .Fulton School Rd Tornado... Rating: EF1 Estimated Peak Wind: 107 mph Path Length /statute/: 0.43 miles Path Width /maximum/: 50 yards Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 0 Start Date: 08/07/2023 Start Time: 05:26 PM EDT Start Location: 2 SE Felton / York County / PA Start Lat/Lon: 39.8328 / -76.5459 End Date: 08/07/2023 End Time: 05:28 PM EDT End Location: 2 SE Felton / York County / PA End Lat/Lon: 39.8383 / -76.5423 Survey Summary: A brief narrow tornado touched down in York County PA, within East Hopewell Township. The tornado began on the edge of a corn field north of Century Farms Road and caused damage to two fields before it snapped and uprooted a couple dozen trees. The tornado lifted just north of Fulton School Road. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 A few big raindrops here at work now. MU cranking the heavy rain threat for tomorrow... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: A few big raindrops here at work now. MU cranking the heavy rain threat for tomorrow... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Despite zero mention of rain in today's forecast, it's actually raining pretty darn hard out there right now. Edit: It's raining quite hard here at work. No rain at home. Wife says "whaddya talkin' about?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Despite zero mention of rain in today's forecast, it's actually raining pretty darn hard out there right now. Yea, the models and forecasters were too far north with the pop up's. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Yea, the models and forecasters were too far north with the pop up's. And now it's a full-on downpour. It's riding right down the river. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: And now it's a full-on downpour. It's riding right down the river. Cells are punching down into the MA board too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 Picked up .02 from the so called t storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 1 minute ago, mahantango#1 said: Picked up .02 from the so called t storm. Hey, just like me. We took the L to ITT though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 9, 2023 Share Posted August 9, 2023 24 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Hey, just like me. We took the L to ITT though. To be fair...ITT recorded 0.00" officially at home. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 10, 2023 Author Share Posted August 10, 2023 Wait it rained places? Huh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 10, 2023 Share Posted August 10, 2023 15 minutes ago, canderson said: Wait it rained places? Huh MDT scored a T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 10, 2023 Author Share Posted August 10, 2023 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: MDT scored a T Huh wild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 10, 2023 Share Posted August 10, 2023 Welcome to Philadelphia, Michael Lorenzen. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted August 10, 2023 Share Posted August 10, 2023 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Welcome to Philadelphia, Michael Lorenzen. What a great night for him & the Phillies! Better yet, he seems like a genuinely good guy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 10, 2023 Share Posted August 10, 2023 17 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: What a great night for him & the Phillies! Better yet, he seems like a genuinely good guy. Great that his mother, wife and baby girl saw it live. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 10, 2023 Author Share Posted August 10, 2023 CTP has me at .75-1” rain tomorrow. Since I had far less than most everyone around the other day I’m going with .2 or so total for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoralRed Posted August 10, 2023 Share Posted August 10, 2023 Just saw 11:00 Channel 16 weather. Guy said newest models showing far less rain. His newest rain map showed almost nothing for South East and South Central PA. We in Williamsport got about the highest with .37. He pointed out that prior future radar was lit up like a Christmas tree with lots of colors. No more. Now just greens, some very pale. Sorry. Who knows though, maybe things will change overnight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted August 10, 2023 Share Posted August 10, 2023 Carpet and tile guys: Today’s rainfall has not been handled particularly well by model guidance. The timing has been all over the place as well as the amount. It appears as of this morning that much of today’s rainfall will come during the first half of today. Expect a dreary and damp start to this Thursday with rain and embedded thunder moving to the north of an area of low pressure. The warm front stays to our south, so while it will be humid, it won’t be that warm today. Highs will be in the mid-70s. Rainfall amounts are tricky to forecast but right around 0.25″ seems fair for most. The rain should exit our eastern counties by mid-afternoon and late-day clearing is expected. Tonight will be mostly clear and comfy with lows in the mid-60s. NWS:Rain and thunderstorms before 3pm, then rain likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 3pm and 4pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. High near 72. Calm wind becoming west around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible. A big discrepancy... still. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 10, 2023 Share Posted August 10, 2023 Radar does not look overly inspired but the HRRR and 3K are still a nice hit for much of the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted August 10, 2023 Share Posted August 10, 2023 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Radar does not look overly inspired but the HRRR and 3K are still a nice hit for much of the LSV. I guess we'll see the results when we total it all up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted August 10, 2023 Share Posted August 10, 2023 Wow the radar really looks anemic this morning. Most of the rain is to the north. This storm appears to be a big swing and a miss, compared to what they was calling for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 10, 2023 Share Posted August 10, 2023 1 minute ago, pawatch said: Wow the radar really looks anemic this morning. Most of the rain is to the north. This storm appears to be a big swing and a miss, compared to what they was calling for. True central PA is getting hammered. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 10, 2023 Share Posted August 10, 2023 Surprised that the sun is out here at work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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