Bubbler86 Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 59 for the low here this AM. Just 2-3 days ago, a soaker was on tap for this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 19 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 59 for the low here this AM. Just 2-3 days ago, a soaker was on tap for this weekend. 66 was the low here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 53 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: 66 was the low here. I suspect the continued drought here plays a role in allowing slightly lower temps than normal. Only 1/2" of rain in the last 3-4 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 22 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I suspect the continued drought here plays a role in allowing slightly lower temps than normal. Only 1/2" of rain in the last 3-4 weeks. Things have definitely turned dryer this week. Wonder if severe storms will materialize later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 14 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: Things have definitely turned dryer this week. Wonder if severe storms will materialize later today. Models are not suggesting much....the GFS is fairly dry for the next 7 days. You can chop 1/2 to 2/3 off those totals in most areas as the precip maps are smoothed out and do not reflect the convective nature of what it is predicting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 Following clouds today and showers tonight It looks like a great weekend ahead across the area. Sunshine low humidity and temps in the low to mid-80's should make for a near perfect summer weekend! Our next chance of showers following this evening looks to be Monday night before another stretch of pleasant near normal days kick in again for most of next week. Records for today: High 98 (1944) / Low 47 (1951) / Rain 5.83" (2020) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 3K drastically upped the ante for this evening....HRRR did not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 Also according to NWS AFD central PA is under a severe thunderstorm watch till 8pm but Im not seeing it pop up yet Quote Main concern is increasing bulk shear mid to late afternoon as a belt of 35-45kt mid level flow clips the northeast quadrant of the state, contributing to a few strong to severe storms and deep layer shear perhaps capable of supporting a few supercells. Supercell composite parameter lights up in the HRRR and NAM3km from around 21z to 01z with the HREF 0-3km SRH and updraft helicity fields indicating the best chance of rotating updrafts accompanied by isolated damaging wind gusts/large hail will be over the Middle Susq Valley and Western Poconos during mid to late afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 Not a peek of sun so far today over here. Solid deck. Only 74 later nooners. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 Sun punched through here in Harrisburg about 20-30mins ago. Quite bright (I dont like it) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 12Z GFS and CMC both much wetter on Sunday afternoon into Mon...hope that trend continues and gets us back to where we were a few days ago. Rain enters the LSV on both sometime mid afternoon Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 On a large scale, rain has not been an issue on the 1/4 side of the East coast recently. Only two small areas in severe drought with one of those two also having an extreme portion. Quite the clean map I must say. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 The Euro joins the bandwagon with significant rains on Sunday now. Such a drastic change from 0Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 Heads up East Shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 4, 2023 Author Share Posted August 4, 2023 It is really dark to the northwest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 Picked up .10 from a thunderstorm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 9 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: Picked up .10 from a thunderstorm. Youa re off the Schneid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 4, 2023 Author Share Posted August 4, 2023 Had pea sized hail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 4, 2023 Author Share Posted August 4, 2023 And only .04” rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 4, 2023 Author Share Posted August 4, 2023 And I’m in Lemoyne now and it didn’t even rain here. Sharp cutoff. Linglestown got nailed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 41 minutes ago, canderson said: And I’m in Lemoyne now and it didn’t even rain here. Sharp cutoff. Linglestown got nailed. we got some rain drops in (discount) Camp Hill 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 Storm evaporated upon approach. Nothing doing here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 18Z GFS stays with much of PA having a rainy Sunday in to next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coop_Mason Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 9 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 18Z GFS stays with much of PA having a rainy Sunday in to next week. Haven’t seen a forecast take the bait yet. No local stations, NWS, or weather world. Had a nice storm roll through. .35 ☔️ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 5 minutes ago, Coop_Mason said: Haven’t seen a forecast take the bait yet. No local stations, NWS, or weather world. Had a nice storm roll through. .35 ☔️ Wgal said rain Sunday afternoon and Mon. Not Joe Calhoun...backup met. Mowing part of HIA https://www.yahoo.com/news/mind-blowing-side-side-photos-173000249.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 16 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 18Z GFS stays with much of PA having a rainy Sunday in to next week. NWS tends to disagree, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 2 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: NWS tends to disagree, Models flipped the last 2 runs. Let's see what they tomorrow am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Models flipped the last 2 runs. Let's see what they tomorrow am. Yes, maybe a complete flip, just like winter storms. There always last to get on board, when snow comes from the south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 Lordy. Lordy is is actually raining. After 5 weeks it is finally raining. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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