Blizzard of 93 Posted August 2, 2023 Share Posted August 2, 2023 Happy August 1st everyone! Only 1 month of Met Summer to go !!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted August 2, 2023 Share Posted August 2, 2023 On 7/30/2023 at 4:44 PM, TheClimateChanger said: Actually, looking a little closer at the map, it indicates this year has been 0.45F above the 1991-2020 mean. Using that anomaly, this would be the 20th warmest (of 129 years). I believe this is the better way to compare this data to the official numbers, since they might calculate somewhat different means. Not sure yet where June & July two-month period will fall, but Ryan Maue says July will be 10-12th warmest in the rankings nationally. Looking at the list, only 1936, 1934, 1901, 1931 & 1980 were the only pre-21st century years with hotter Julys than this year nationally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted August 2, 2023 Share Posted August 2, 2023 52 this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted August 2, 2023 Share Posted August 2, 2023 Slightly chilly on the morning walk wish I had grabbed my sweat shirt. Wish it would stay like this all day (ok maybe warm up to the mid-60s) 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 2, 2023 Share Posted August 2, 2023 58 for the low, 61 now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted August 2, 2023 Share Posted August 2, 2023 A splendid 56/51 when I left the house this morning. Another ‘beaut on tap. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted August 2, 2023 Share Posted August 2, 2023 8 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said: Not sure yet where June & July two-month period will fall, but Ryan Maue says July will be 10-12th warmest in the rankings nationally. Looking at the list, only 1936, 1934, 1901, 1931 & 1980 were the only pre-21st century years with hotter Julys than this year nationally. I wonder what caused the warm year back in 1901….those horse carriages must really have done it….? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted August 2, 2023 Share Posted August 2, 2023 55 in Marysville this morning…. Perfect Summer morning! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted August 2, 2023 Share Posted August 2, 2023 9 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said: Not sure yet where June & July two-month period will fall, but Ryan Maue says July will be 10-12th warmest in the rankings nationally. Looking at the list, only 1936, 1934, 1901, 1931 & 1980 were the only pre-21st century years with hotter Julys than this year nationally. This National average is also heavily impacted by the Summer heat in the South west. Remember that the south west was very below normal this Winter thanks to our friend @Voyager It’s just a balancing act to me… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 2, 2023 Share Posted August 2, 2023 25 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: I wonder what caused the warm year back in 1901….those horse carriages must really have done it….? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 2, 2023 Share Posted August 2, 2023 An incredible 56 for the low this morning in Maytown. Blue skies east of town, a smoky haze to my west. @Bubbler86 - very, very unusual for me to have a lower temp than you in the morning, especially on a day like this. I have to think it's in part due to the smoke. Much less over this way and we likely radiated out better. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 2, 2023 Share Posted August 2, 2023 NWS State College @NWSStateCollege Temperatures are starting off on the cool side this morning, especially up across the northern tier! We've seen temperatures as low as 44°F in Warren and McKean Counties. With partly to mostly sunny skies today, we'll see highs in the 70s and low 80s this afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted August 2, 2023 Share Posted August 2, 2023 30 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: This National average is also heavily impacted by the Summer heat in the South west. Remember that the south west was very below normal this Winter thanks to our friend @Voyager It’s just a balancing act to me… My neighbor said to me some 40 years ago and I remember to this day. When we were talking about weather extremes ie: heat, cold, droughts, floods. That mother nature always makes up for its self, I still believe that to this day. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 2, 2023 Share Posted August 2, 2023 10 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: An incredible 56 for the low this morning in Maytown. Blue skies east of town, a smoky haze to my west. @Bubbler86 - very, very unusual for me to have a lower temp than you in the morning, especially on a day like this. I have to think it's in part due to the smoke. Much less over this way and we likely radiated out better. The models last night were also showing the valleys lower than the higher spots. The yellow on this previous HRRR shows some of the higher elevations like mine and Western Adams (yellow meaning over or near 60). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted August 2, 2023 Share Posted August 2, 2023 19 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said: Doubtful. You observed only a 13.7F diurnal range in July. That has to be the smallest diurnal range on record, no? I would argue that is an unnatural climate for anywhere in Pennsylvania. Even adjacent to Lake Erie, the diurnal range in Erie is typically larger than that. Philadelphia, in the core of the urban heat island, had a diurnal range of 16.7F. I have my doubts that a diurnal range that small is possible in a summer month in Pennsylvania, without some sort of external influence on the temperature. The facts are not doubtful...the data is clear as stated above....can't change weather data after the fact! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted August 2, 2023 Share Posted August 2, 2023 Lows were well below normal this morning with temps in the low to mid-50's which is over 10 degrees below normal for today. Below normal temps look to continue all week with an increasing chance of showers by Friday and Friday night. Records for today: High 100 (1955) / Low 47 (1959) / Rain 2.00" (1950) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 2, 2023 Share Posted August 2, 2023 12Z HRRR continues to promote scattered showers/convection Thursday afternoon and night for much of Southern PA. 6Z Rgem as well...Nam a bit stingier. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 2, 2023 Author Share Posted August 2, 2023 56 was my low. Bottle up and sell it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoralRed Posted August 2, 2023 Share Posted August 2, 2023 I see you all are already talking about heat. I just saw this on Twitter. Evidently Chile in South America -- which of course is currently experiencing winter -- is having quite a heat wave. I cannot explain it or understand how it can be but they have had temperatures over 100F! In winter! I am surprised this wasn't all over the news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 2, 2023 Share Posted August 2, 2023 10 minutes ago, CoralRed said: I see you all are already talking about heat. I just saw this on Twitter. Evidently Chile in South America -- which of course is currently experiencing winter -- is having quite a heat wave. I cannot explain it or understand how it can be but they have had temperatures over 100F! In winter! I am surprised this wasn't all over the news. Chile is a crazy county in that is it is so long. It is like comparing temps in PA and Florida in Winter. I think it is normally hot all year in the Northern Chile desert but not sure about the Andes area so would be interesting to hear more about this if anyone has more details. Did not see much on a quick Google search. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 2, 2023 Share Posted August 2, 2023 Sunny skies and 78 degrees. Light breeze has veered SW today so it won't be long until dews start to creep up just a tad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted August 2, 2023 Share Posted August 2, 2023 4 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: Chile is a crazy county in that is it is so long. It is like comparing temps in PA and Florida in Winter. I think it is normally hot all year in the Northern Chile desert but not sure about the Andes area so would be interesting to hear more about this if anyone has more details. Did not see much on a quick Google search. I don't think those areas have nearly the seasonal variations that we do. Nevertheless, some areas have reached all-time record highs, so it is certainly way out of the norms either way (as evidenced by those ECMWF maps showing 20C + anomalies in spots). It appears some of the extreme warmth is being driven by Foehn winds, also known as Chinook winds in North America (i.e., extreme compressional heating downwind of the mountain peaks). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted August 2, 2023 Share Posted August 2, 2023 8 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said: I don't think those areas have nearly the seasonal variations that we do. Nevertheless, some areas have reached all-time record highs, so it is certainly way out of the norms either way (as evidenced by those ECMWF maps showing 20C + anomalies in spots). It appears some of the extreme warmth is being driven by Foehn winds, also known as Chinook winds in North America (i.e., extreme compressional heating downwind of the mountain peaks). Sorry, for off-topic, but I wasn't the one who brought up Chile. Just for additional context, here are the records for La Serena, Chile in the Coquimba region where the heat has been most pronounced. While average highs are lower this time of the year, some of the warmest readings on record have occurred in the wintertime. In general, it's a very temperate location that has never exceeded 28.5C. So while the intensity of the heat is very impressive, and perhaps unprecedented, the fact that it's occurring in the middle of winter is not particularly noteworthy. These areas do not experience winters like we do here in the United States. Instead, it's only a little bit cooler than summertime but with more daily variability. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 3, 2023 Author Share Posted August 3, 2023 Happy hour on the roof and it’s so nice pit I drank 6 beers. Happpppppy August - my birthday month! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoralRed Posted August 3, 2023 Share Posted August 3, 2023 11 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: Chile is a crazy county in that is it is so long. It is like comparing temps in PA and Florida in Winter. I think it is normally hot all year in the Northern Chile desert but not sure about the Andes area so would be interesting to hear more about this if anyone has more details. Did not see much on a quick Google search. This story got covered by the Washington Post. The comments people left on this Tweet are contradictory and people are arguing a lot. Maybe others will get more out of them them than I did. But by being covered by the Washington Post, more people should be talking about and covering this, which should be a plus for everyone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted August 3, 2023 Share Posted August 3, 2023 58 degrees here this morning. Has been an enjoyable week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 3, 2023 Share Posted August 3, 2023 A smokey 64 for the low. Surface smoke was pretty bad last night and is totally blotting out the sun (higher up) this AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted August 3, 2023 Share Posted August 3, 2023 Gonna be a warm one today; perfect day for Baldurs Gate 3 launch and stay inside and play! (Who am I kidding Im working) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted August 3, 2023 Share Posted August 3, 2023 A pretty progressive and generally near normal temperature pattern looks to continue over the next week. Humidity will be a bit higher then the last couple days but still below normal temps. Rain chances increase tomorrow into the evening but then another beautiful weekend with temps rising to slightly above normal on Sunday before another cold front swings through on Monday drop us back to normal to slightly below. Records for today: High 96 (1957) / Low 48 (1964) / Rain 1.36" (1898) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 3, 2023 Author Share Posted August 3, 2023 It's pretty dang smokey out today. Hurry up winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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