Bubbler86 Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 10 minutes ago, canderson said: Don’t worry he’ll get 60” snow while we get 4” I will catch up on my mows then! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 I see lightning from the storm s across the river. Let's see if they make it to the river, or will thy fall apart again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 I will catch up on my mows then!I understand great valley and such, but part of the great valley got nailed. Your rain luck is about as good as my ex's slot machine luck. At least you don't beg for money saying "I'm due".Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 36 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I will catch up on my mows then! This got my attention. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 10 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: I understand great valley and such, but part of the great valley got nailed. Your rain luck is about as good as my ex's slot machine luck. At least you don't beg for money saying "I'm due". Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk The great valley is not absolute....sometimes we get it, but it does promote the philosophy that any flaws will magnify when it comes to convection. That blob near Waynesboro was headed right toward us then felt the mountain and shrank like a scared turtle. Out here we are stuck at the nickel machines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 29, 2023 Author Share Posted July 29, 2023 Nice storm complex missing me 10 miles to the north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 The storms made it and didn't die Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 1 minute ago, canderson said: Nice storm complex missing me 10 miles to the north Even down this far the lightning show is quite impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 29, 2023 Author Share Posted July 29, 2023 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Even down this far the lightning show is quite impressive. For sure. The thunder is low and rumbling too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 25 minutes ago, canderson said: For sure. The thunder is low and rumbling too. Lots of thunder & lightning in Marysville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 All in all, this was a very active day for only a 30% chance on the point and click forecast! We always overperform on days with low POPs in the forecast and it always busts with over-hyped severe days lol… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 64/58 this AM. Quite nice. Precip to the west already drying up per the meso's suggesting that would happen. Other than the RGEM, the rest of the models are quiet in the LSV for today...outside a random Meso Monday AM, a very dry period upcoming as modeled. Hope the models are wrong (again) with today and we get a late afternoon line. On the GFS, many areas get little to no rain through August 10th. Euro and CMC are mostly dry after today until 7 days out so not as "bad". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 .34 rain overnight for this month so far 9.22 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 Low of 71 here. I actually got a couple of batches of moderate rain after the initial line of storms last night. All in all, it added up to another solid haul of .65”. There may be some additional isolated winners later this afternoon before cooler air arrives during the overnight. I will be up in Morgantown most of the day and will be sure to update if there is any activity up ‘er. Toodles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 8:00am and 74 degrees and humid. Got skirted by the storm last night. .03” for rain total overnight. A lot of rumbles of thunder. Radar looks pretty solid to the west this morning. Pretty much all western Pa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 Florida rainSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 2 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: Florida rain Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Thats a huge contrast in a relatively short distance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 49 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: Thats a huge contrast in a relatively short distance. I talk about my grass, most of them have St Augustine which will require all night irrigation 3-4 days a week or it dies....it does not really go into hibernation, it just dies with no rain or irrigation even in the winter. it needs less water in the winter. Most people who grow grass there have the irrigation systems; it is just so very expensive. When I was doing it was 20-30 dollars per night so some of those people are paying over $500 a month to keep their grass alive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 64/58 this AM. Quite nice. Precip to the west already drying up per the meso's suggesting that would happen. Other than the RGEM, the rest of the models are quiet in the LSV for today...outside a random Meso Monday AM, a very dry period upcoming as modeled. Hope the models are wrong (again) with today and we get a late afternoon line. On the GFS, many areas get little to no rain through August 10th. Euro and CMC are mostly dry after today until 7 days out so not as "bad". Some of the other NWS locations near us are lamenting over the extreme run to run inconsistentcy of all the meso models. So much so where they are whole sale throwing them out and hand drawing precipitation totals and rain probability. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 1 minute ago, Jns2183 said: Some of the other NWS locations near us are lamenting over the extreme run to run inconsistentcy of all the meso models. So much so where they are whole sale throwing them out and hand drawing precipitation totals and rain probability. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk It has been very bad. Outside maybe timing of event, and even that has not been good, the average day has featured very low model scores and inability to use them for too much detail. With that said, they scored the victory on the last flood watches issued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 This summer has showed me just how much work needs to be done on the meso models in convection rich environments. For NWS offices to admit in afd of their futility and frustration with them as well as to throwing them all out and "hand drawing", haha. Those are some shots across the bow maybe to the model division. I saw Scott is on his way back up near us. Maybe he can shed some light eventually on the model mayhem. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 Just now, Jns2183 said: This summer has showed me just how much work needs to be done on the meso models in convection rich environments. For NWS offices to admit in afd of their futility and frustration with them as well as to throwing them all out and "hand drawing", haha. Those are some shots across the bow maybe to the model division. I saw Scott is on his way back up near us. Maybe he can shed some light eventually on the model mayhem. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Step 1). Do NOT turn anything off in lieu of the Fv3. (Unless something else is coming to give it a boost). The Wrf-furls are better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 Step 1). Do NOT turn anything off in lieu of the Fv3. (Unless something else is coming to give it a boost). The Wrf-furls are better. Haha, dear God. Notice how FV3 is never never mentioned in afds at all. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 1 minute ago, Jns2183 said: Haha, dear God. Notice how FV3 is never never mentioned in afds at all. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk I think the last thing I read was that the Nam's and Hrrr and maybe the wrf-fuls were being turned off in lieu of it. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 I think the last thing I read was that the Nam's and Hrrr and maybe the wrf-fuls were being turned off in lieu of it. LOL. That's going to get pushed back awhile. If not we can just think of it like a throwback to the 1980s and enjoy the massive surprises Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 13 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: That's going to get pushed back awhile. If not we can just think of it like a throwback to the 1980s and enjoy the massive surprises Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk I wouldn’t mind another January of 2000 surprise snowstorm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: I wouldn’t mind another January of 2000 surprise snowstorm! Can you imagine this place if that went down again? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 Most spots exceeded the 90 degree mark yesterday across Chesco...exceptions being KMQS Coatesville Airport and of course here in East Nantmeal where 86.8 was the best we could do. My Ambient model station only made it to 86.2 (although my rooftop station did hit 90.9). It appears most spots will not hit 90 degrees today. In fact looking ahead it appears yesterday may have been our last 90 degree day for the summer. It looks like here in East Nantmeal we will fail to have reached 90 degrees in summer for the first time since 2015 and for the 4th time in the last 20 years! The other years we failed to touch 90 degrees were 2004, and 2014. More thunderstorms are possible tonight as sharp cold front approaches and moves through the County. Some incredibly comfortable weather moves in this week with most days featuring highs in the 70's and lows in the 50's - a chance to give the AC a break!! Records for today: High 101 (1901) / Low 47 (1956) / Rain 2.48" (1976) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 Really hope that line of rain moving east holds together and hits the Rou'ville. At least the southern part of the line is healthy looking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 Finished yesterday with .45" of rain. @Mount Joy Snowman - decisive W for you yesterday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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