Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,597
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    DAinDC
    Newest Member
    DAinDC
    Joined

June/July 2023 Severe Discussion


Quincy
 Share

Recommended Posts

Wild atmospheric conditions around the Southern Plains tonight. I just encountered nearly tennis ball size hail from modest (at first glance) looking reflectivity returns. 

 

00z FWD and OUN soundings have crazy elements as well:

 

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Isolated severe storms across the region today, but tomorrow dials up the risk again. In fact, tomorrow looks similar to yesterday.

A belt of unseasonably strong upper level flow in place from the Southern Rockies to the Lower Mississippi Valley with a shortwave ejecting toward KS/OK.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Between increased cloud cover, a weaker shortwave, somewhat weaker low level flow and somewhat drier air, today's setup looks a bit more messy than Thursday's. That's not saying much though, because the parameters are still impressive when you disregard Thursday's extremely high ceiling.

It's looking more like a damaging straight-line wind threat today than anything. And it seems there will potentially be 2 separate areas of organized activity to watch later this afternoon / tonight.

1. I-20/I-30 corridors in Texas from Abilene to Texarkana (including DFW)

2. North/Central OK, including OKC and Tulsa.

Many of the areas that got hit hardest on Thursday in Southern OK and parts of North Texas may very well be spared today.

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Storms should be predominantly discrete/semi-discrete through 00z, especially around the Texas panhandle vicinity. Storm initiation with southward extent is a bit of a question mark, but Northwest Texas could get in on the action too, before storms grow upscale.

Agreed that most of the later stuff is messy. More heavy rain and wind anticipated for much of central Oklahoma and North Texas. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Tornado Watch up for the OK/TX panhandles and western Oklahoma.

There will probably be a few tornadoes, but huge hail seems to be the more widespread hazard. (Wind will, probably, become the biggest hazard overnight, as storms merge)

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...