frostfern Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 4 hours ago, Lightning said: It is very nice to see/get a good rain. While not a ton but definitely a good start. I really fear the lake shadow screw zone this weekend. Just give me a damn warm front. What ever happened to warm fronts anyways? Its like they don’t exist anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 Once again, I must say that this just nuts. For the entire time I've been watching weather since 2002, drought flops back and forth between the Southeast and the western half of the country. This year, there seems to be undeniable tendency for the atmosphere to stop the rain over central Midwest over to NW Ohio and Michigan. Today was kind of rainy... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted June 24, 2023 Share Posted June 24, 2023 1 hour ago, frostfern said: I really fear the lake shadow screw zone this weekend. Just give me a damn warm front. What ever happened to warm fronts anyways? Its like they don’t exist anymore. I think you will do okay. I know what you mean about the warm front/ nocturnal events. It's crazy how few there have been the past few years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 Ended up with a little over 1.5" here today. Thankfully the lake shadow didn't seem to come into play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 5 hours ago, WestMichigan said: Ended up with a little over 1.5" here today. Thankfully the lake shadow didn't seem to come into play. Only 0.5 here. Not a lake shadow problem so much as fast storm motion and high variability. The small cellular stuff that was popping out ahead of the main line kept missing northwest, then the main line gusted through very fast. Intense but very short storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 3 hours ago, frostfern said: Only 0.5 here. Not a lake shadow problem so much as fast storm motion and high variability. The small cellular stuff that was popping out ahead of the main line kept missing northwest, then the main line gusted through very fast. Intense but very short storm. Yeah pretty common for the fast moving lines of storms. Got about 3/4" around here. I much prefer nocturnal training storms. I will say I don't mind missing out on the tornadoes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 managed over an inch on the weekend, can't complain shaves off some of the worst high end drought potential in the near/mid term Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 LOT sings one of my favorite summer tunes this AM. More help to ease the pain...perhaps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DLMKA Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 Just west of Peoria and got enough rain to wet the sidewalk. I’m going to have to haul a bunch of water from the neighbor’s pond to get pumpkins to germinate and hope for some substantial enough rain to get some pumpkins for fall. Have 2 acres of them planted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 19 minutes ago, Baum said: LOT sings one of my favorite summer tunes this AM. More help to ease the pain...perhaps. got a miss south feel for mby, hoping for at least some crumbs 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 Yeah, GFS and now NAM suggesting any potential late week RoF will set up a little further south than most I-80 and north folks would like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 6 hours ago, CheeselandSkies said: Yeah, GFS and now NAM suggesting any potential late week RoF will set up a little further south than most I-80 and north folks would like. The next system is probably a miss south for you and me, but the pattern is at least looking better now. It looks progressive with no return to blocking, and the next system after that might be stronger and farther north (though a long ways out, unfortunately). Baby steps at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted June 26, 2023 Share Posted June 26, 2023 EPS is showing where the ring of fire may set up. Southern Minnesota, northern Iowa, and southern Wisconsin may end up pretty dry. The op Euro shows little to no rain over much of that area over the next ten days. I'm sure glad we got some solid rain Saturday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 28, 2023 Share Posted June 28, 2023 miss south imby aside, should be a good stretch for the heart of the corn belt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted June 28, 2023 Share Posted June 28, 2023 17 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: miss south imby aside, should be a good stretch for the heart of the corn belt While it favors south, thinking we pull some decent rains out of this pattern, even up here. Fingers crossed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted June 28, 2023 Share Posted June 28, 2023 Gonna miss the main LLJ event by a long shot, but trying to be hopeful there will be a secondary batch with the upper level system coming in from the NW Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted June 28, 2023 Share Posted June 28, 2023 5 minutes ago, frostfern said: Gonna miss the main LLJ event by a long shot, but trying to be hopeful there will be a secondary batch with the upper level system coming in from the NW Thursday. Sometimes it’s better to miss it by a long shot. If it just barely misses then you’re usually screwed for getting anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted June 28, 2023 Share Posted June 28, 2023 Just now, roardog said: Sometimes it’s better to miss it by a long shot. If it just barely misses then you’re usually screwed for getting anything. Yea. Hate when decaying blobs of evaporating anvil precip ruin chances of anything at all. I just want one good LLJ event this summer. Been screwed for years here it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted June 28, 2023 Share Posted June 28, 2023 The region-wide drought may get a kick in the nuts over the next couple weeks... especially south of I-80. I just hope the storm complexes don't continuously reinforce the boundary south and prevent good rain from reaching areas farther north. This is what I'm worried about... the op Euro scenario. A corridor from Nebraska to the Ohio Valley gets drought-denting rain, maybe even more, while pockets north of I-80 get little to nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 28, 2023 Share Posted June 28, 2023 i'll take it^ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 28, 2023 Share Posted June 28, 2023 lol @ saukville tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted June 28, 2023 Share Posted June 28, 2023 That Euro run is a steaming turd. Michigan problems yet again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted June 28, 2023 Share Posted June 28, 2023 19 minutes ago, frostfern said: That Euro run is a steaming turd. Michigan problems yet again. I don’t have hopes this go around. More severe storms equals overtime for me. I have a gut feeling we still will get a strong MCS at some point this summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted June 28, 2023 Share Posted June 28, 2023 1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said: lol @ saukville tho time for a conversion to cactus. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted June 28, 2023 Share Posted June 28, 2023 hardypalmguy might have to change his name to hardycactusguy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 Typical I-80 south greed in play. You’d think climate change might bring the ring of fire a little more north once in a great while. Seems smoke is all I can manage. Ready to flush this entire summer down the toilet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 1 hour ago, frostfern said: Typical I-80 south greed in play. You’d think climate change might bring the ring of fire a little more north once in a great while. Seems smoke is all I can manage. Ready to flush this entire summer down the toilet. Yeah that northern convection is gonna mess it up edit: also capping in place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 Continued wet south like that is usually a bad sign to the north. We shall see though as this could just be a pattern change process which later July and August might have better results for the northern areas. At least it's more active and all I need is a renegade storms like Alek is getting this morning 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 16 minutes ago, Lightning said: Continued wet south like that is usually a bad sign to the north. We shall see though as this could just be a pattern change process which later July and August might have better results for the northern areas. At least it's more active and all I need is a renegade storms like Alek is getting this morning A nice good morning supercell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 41 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said: A nice good morning supercell No kidding!! Hoping that stuff in SW MI holds together as it gets here. Any precip would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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